Carlos Quentin

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1982-08-28

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	32	AAASEA	19	.176/.263/.235	0	22	—	.176/.263/.235
2016	33	AAAPericos de Pu…	82	.211/.309/.465	5	44	—	.149/.222/.297
2017	34	AAAAcereros del …	40	.212/.350/.424	2	60	—	.171/.275/.286

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	AAA	Tucson Sidewinders	—	561	452	136	28	4	21	72	71	29	9	1	301	429	520	948	219	312	13	13	415	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	191	166	42	13	3	9	15	34	8	1	0	253	344	530	874	277	266	18	8	377	136	+8	+0	+1	-6	+4	0.8
2006	23	AAA	Tucson Sidewinders	—	396	318	92	30	3	9	45	46	31	5	0	289	426	487	914	198	313	12	11	408	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	263	229	49	16	0	5	18	54	11	2	2	214	302	349	652	135	253	21	7	293	82	-6	-0	+3	-4	+6	-0.2
2007	24	AAA	Tucson Sidewinders	—	135	115	40	12	1	4	9	14	9	0	1	348	436	574	1.010	226	364	10	7	437	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	569	480	138	26	1	36	66	80	20	7	3	287	396	571	967	283	278	14	12	419	170	+47	+0	-9	-6	+12	4.6
2009	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	399	351	83	14	0	21	31	52	15	3	0	236	325	456	781	219	221	13	8	345	117	+8	+1	-18	-5	+9	-0.6
2009	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	45	37	14	3	0	1	5	2	2	0	0	378	477	541	1.018	162	371	4	11	443	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	527	453	110	25	2	26	50	83	20	2	2	243	344	479	823	236	241	16	9	362	127	+17	-0	-30	-6	+11	-0.8
2011	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	483	421	107	31	0	24	34	84	23	1	1	254	343	499	842	245	261	17	7	367	133	+19	-0	-4	-5	+10	2.1
2012	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	340	284	74	21	0	16	36	41	17	0	1	261	377	504	880	243	252	12	11	386	147	+19	-0	-7	-4	+7	1.5
2012	29	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	17	14	4	0	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	286	412	500	912	214	300	18	12	407	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	15	14	6	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	429	467	714	1.181	286	455	13	0	515	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	320	276	76	21	0	13	31	55	9	0	0	275	367	493	860	217	297	17	10	376	144	+17	+0	-8	-3	+7	1.2
2014	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	155	130	23	6	0	4	17	33	4	0	0	177	291	315	607	138	196	21	11	275	74	-5	+0	-3	-2	+3	-0.6
2015	32	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	200	11	0	240	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	71	15	3	0	5	7	12	3	0	0	211	309	465	773	254	182	15	9	338	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	40	33	7	1	0	2	6	7	1	0	0	212	350	424	774	212	208	18	15	350	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3247	2790	702	173	6	154	298	516	127	16	9	252	351	484	834	232	255	16	9	366	134	+130	-0	-75	-41	+70	8.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	561	470	122	24	3	17	54	91	29	9	1	260	371	432	803	172	280	16	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	191	168	42	13	3	9	13	34	8	1	0	250	333	524	857	274	266	18	7	370	136	+8	+0	+1	-6	+4	0.8
2006	23	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	396	330	80	25	2	7	33	59	31	5	0	242	365	394	759	152	276	15	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	263	230	49	16	0	5	17	54	11	2	2	213	298	348	646	135	253	21	6	290	82	-6	-0	+3	-4	+6	-0.2
2007	24	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	135	118	36	10	1	3	6	18	9	0	1	305	383	483	867	178	329	13	4	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	569	480	138	26	1	36	66	80	20	7	3	287	396	571	967	283	278	14	12	419	170	+47	+0	-9	-6	+12	4.6
2009	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	399	353	83	14	0	21	29	52	15	3	0	235	320	453	773	218	221	13	7	342	117	+8	+1	-18	-5	+9	-0.6
2009	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	45	39	14	3	0	1	3	2	2	0	0	359	432	513	945	154	337	4	7	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	527	456	110	25	2	26	47	83	20	2	2	241	338	476	814	235	241	16	9	355	127	+17	-0	-30	-6	+11	-0.8
2011	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	483	421	107	31	0	24	34	84	23	1	1	254	343	499	842	245	261	17	7	365	133	+19	-0	-4	-5	+10	2.1
2012	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	340	286	75	22	0	16	34	41	17	0	1	262	374	507	881	245	252	12	10	386	147	+19	-0	-7	-4	+7	1.5
2012	29	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	17	15	4	0	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	267	353	467	820	200	253	24	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	15	14	5	1	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	357	400	643	1.043	286	385	20	0	414	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	320	276	77	22	0	13	31	55	9	0	0	279	370	500	870	221	297	17	10	381	144	+17	+0	-8	-3	+7	1.2
2014	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	155	130	23	6	0	4	17	33	4	0	0	177	291	315	607	138	196	21	11	278	74	-5	+0	-3	-2	+3	-0.6
2015	32	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	169	11	0	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	74	11	2	0	3	4	16	3	0	0	149	222	297	520	149	135	20	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	40	35	6	1	0	1	4	8	1	0	0	171	275	286	561	114	171	20	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	561	470	122	24	3	17	54	91	29	9	1	260	371	432	803	172	284	16	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA RAW	Tucson Sidewinders	—	561	452	136	28	4	21	72	71	29	9	1	301	429	520	948	219	312	13	13	415	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	587	498	122	38	5	16	46	93	39	6	0	245	355	438	793	193	270	16	8	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	587	484	134	43	6	18	60	80	39	6	0	277	400	502	902	225	298	14	10	398	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	398	348	85	26	1	8	23	72	20	2	3	244	327	394	721	149	281	18	6	322	104	+2	-1	+3	-4	+9	0.9
2007	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	398	344	89	28	1	9	27	68	20	2	3	259	348	424	772	166	293	17	7	342	104	+2	-1	+3	-4	+9	0.9
2008	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	569	480	138	26	1	36	66	80	20	7	3	287	396	571	967	283	278	14	12	419	170	+47	+0	-9	-6	+12	4.6
2008	25	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	569	480	138	26	1	36	66	80	20	7	3	287	396	571	967	283	278	14	12	419	170	+47	+0	-9	-6	+12	4.6
2009	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	444	392	97	17	0	22	32	54	17	3	0	247	331	459	790	212	235	12	7	348	121	+11	+1	-18	-5	+10	-0.2
2009	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	444	388	97	17	0	22	36	54	17	3	0	250	340	464	804	214	238	12	8	355	121	+11	+1	-18	-5	+10	-0.2
2010	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	527	456	110	25	2	26	47	83	20	2	2	241	338	476	814	235	239	16	9	355	127	+17	-0	-30	-6	+11	-0.8
2010	27	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	527	453	110	25	2	26	50	83	20	2	2	243	344	479	823	236	241	16	9	362	127	+17	-0	-30	-6	+11	-0.8
2011	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	483	421	107	31	0	24	34	84	23	1	1	254	343	499	842	245	261	17	7	365	133	+19	-0	-4	-5	+10	2.1
2011	28	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	483	421	107	31	0	24	34	84	23	1	1	254	343	499	842	245	261	17	7	367	133	+19	-0	-4	-5	+10	2.1
2012	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	372	315	83	23	0	17	35	48	19	0	1	263	371	498	870	235	261	13	9	384	146	+20	-0	-7	-4	+8	1.7
2012	29	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	372	312	84	22	0	18	38	46	19	0	1	269	382	513	895	244	263	12	10	392	146	+20	-0	-7	-4	+8	1.7
2013	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	320	276	77	22	0	13	31	55	9	0	0	279	370	500	870	221	302	17	10	381	144	+17	+0	-8	-3	+7	1.2
2013	30	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	320	276	76	21	0	13	31	55	9	0	0	275	367	493	860	217	297	17	10	376	144	+17	+0	-8	-3	+7	1.2
2014	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	155	130	23	6	0	4	17	33	4	0	0	177	291	315	607	138	196	21	11	278	74	-5	+0	-3	-2	+3	-0.6
2014	31	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	155	130	23	6	0	4	17	33	4	0	0	177	291	315	607	138	196	21	11	275	74	-5	+0	-3	-2	+3	-0.6
2015	32	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	200	11	0	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	200	11	0	240	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	74	11	2	0	3	4	16	3	0	0	149	222	297	520	149	143	20	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA RAW	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	71	15	3	0	5	7	12	3	0	0	211	309	465	773	254	182	15	9	338	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	40	35	6	1	0	1	4	8	1	0	0	171	275	286	561	114	192	20	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	40	33	7	1	0	2	6	7	1	0	0	212	350	424	774	212	208	18	15	350	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AAA MLE	Tucson Sidewinders	—	561	473	122	24	3	17	54	91	29	9	1	258	371	429	800	171	280	16	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	587	497	122	38	5	16	46	93	39	6	0	245	355	439	794	193	273	16	8	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	398	352	85	26	1	8	23	72	20	2	3	241	327	389	717	148	279	18	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	569	478	138	26	1	36	66	80	20	7	3	289	396	573	969	285	278	14	12	419	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	444	392	97	17	0	22	32	54	17	3	0	247	331	459	790	212	233	12	7	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	527	455	110	25	2	26	47	83	20	2	2	242	338	477	815	235	241	16	9	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	483	423	107	31	0	24	34	84	23	1	1	253	343	496	840	243	261	17	7	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	372	315	83	23	0	17	35	48	19	0	1	263	371	498	870	235	258	13	9	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	320	277	77	22	0	13	31	55	9	0	0	278	370	498	868	220	297	17	10	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	155	133	23	6	0	4	17	33	4	0	0	173	291	308	600	135	196	21	11	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	169	11	0	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	82	75	11	2	0	3	4	16	3	0	0	147	222	293	516	147	135	20	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	40	35	6	1	0	1	4	8	1	0	0	171	275	286	561	114	171	20	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3247	2790	702	173	6	154	298	516	127	16	9	252	351	484	834	232	255	16	9	366	129	+130	-0	-75	-41	+70	8.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	559	141	35	1	31	60	103	25	3	2	252	351	485	836	233	255	16	9	366	129	+26	-0	-15	-8	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4557	3912	984	242	12	187	393	719	206	30	11	252	351	463	814	211	261	16	9	358	129	+130	-0	-75	-41	+70	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	141	35	2	27	56	103	29	4	2	253	351	468	819	215	263	16	9	358	129	+26	-0	-15	-8	+14	1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAAcereros del Norte · 40 PAwOBA .341 → .257 (−84)K% 17.5% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.50%	÷0.996	×1.200	—	—	21.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.00%	÷0.985	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.87%
HBP% /PA	2.50%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	2.21%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷1.025	×0.930	—	×0.940	13.12%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷0.958	×0.830	—	×0.940	3.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.109	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷0.969	×0.700	—	×0.940	5.22%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 122, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .341 → .257; ISO .212 → .152; BABIP .208 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAPericos de Puebla · 82 PAwOBA .332 → .233 (−99)K% 14.6% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.63%	÷0.921	×1.200	—	—	19.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.54%	÷1.091	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.07%
HBP% /PA	3.66%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	3.23%
Singles /BIP	11.86%	÷1.048	×0.930	×0.955	×0.940	9.46%
Doubles /BIP	5.08%	÷1.075	×0.830	×0.955	×0.940	3.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.008	×0.920	×0.955	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.47%	÷1.024	×0.700	—	×0.940	5.45%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 115, 3B 102, K 84, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .332 → .233; ISO .254 → .167; BABIP .182 → .135. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAATacoma Rainiers · 19 PAwOBA .234 → .201 (−33)K% 10.5% → 12.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.53%	÷1.049	×1.290	—	—	12.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.046	×0.710	—	×0.942	0.00%
HBP% /PA	10.53%	—	×0.980	—	×0.942	9.72%
Singles /BIP	13.33%	÷0.995	×0.900	—	×0.942	11.36%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.910	×0.810	—	×0.942	5.59%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.127	×0.780	—	×0.942	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 110, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .234 → .201; ISO .059 → .048; BABIP .200 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAATucson Padres · 17 PAwOBA .397 → .309 (−88)K% 17.6% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	23.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×0.972	7.72%
HBP% /PA	5.88%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	5.60%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷1.007	×0.900	—	×0.972	23.68%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.013	×0.810	—	×0.972	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷1.050	×0.780	—	×0.972	6.56%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .397 → .309; ISO .214 → .152; BABIP .300 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 15 PAwOBA .499 → .414 (−86)K% 13.3% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷0.993	×1.340	—	—	17.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.979	×0.710	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	6.67%	—	×0.790	—	×0.940	4.95%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷0.973	×0.910	—	×0.940	29.30%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.036	×0.820	—	×0.940	6.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.993	×0.760	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷0.930	×0.920	—	×0.940	7.75%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 95, 2B 107, 3B 99, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .499 → .414; ISO .286 → .243; BABIP .455 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAACharlotte Knights · 45 PAwOBA .442 → .400 (−42)K% 4.4% → 5.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	4.44%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	5.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.69%
HBP% /PA	4.44%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	4.19%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×1.003	26.65%
Doubles /BIP	8.57%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.003	7.14%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.86%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.003	2.41%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .442 → .400; ISO .162 → .145; BABIP .371 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAATucson Sidewinders · 135 PAwOBA .430 → .384 (−47)K% 10.4% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.37%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	13.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.93%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.033	4.35%
HBP% /PA	6.67%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	6.75%
Singles /BIP	22.77%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.017	×1.033	21.52%
Doubles /BIP	11.88%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.017	×1.033	10.11%
Triples /BIP	0.99%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.017	×1.033	0.84%
Home runs /BIP	3.96%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.19%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .430 → .384; ISO .226 → .189; BABIP .364 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAATucson Sidewinders · 396 PAwOBA .399 → .346 (−53)K% 11.6% → 15.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.62%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	14.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.048	8.27%
HBP% /PA	7.83%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	8.04%
Singles /BIP	18.38%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.980	×1.048	16.99%
Doubles /BIP	11.03%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.980	×1.048	9.17%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.980	×1.048	0.92%
Home runs /BIP	3.31%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.70%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .399 → .346; ISO .198 → .164; BABIP .313 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).