Robinzon Diaz

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1983-09-19

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	30	AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs	421	.253/.278/.326	5	1	49	—	.244/.261/.314
2015	31	AAA/A+/INTL3 orgs	201	.280/.308/.316	0	0	40	—	.232/.250/.256
2016	32	AAAOlmecas de Ta…	142	.278/.324/.383	2	4	61	—	.237/.275/.326

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	414	386	115	17	6	1	16	28	6	5	2	298	336	381	717	83	316	7	4	318	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	447	418	128	21	1	3	20	37	3	8	1	306	342	383	725	77	329	8	4	323	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	69	65	22	3	0	1	1	6	1	0	0	338	358	431	789	92	362	9	1	343	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	319	301	95	17	1	3	11	16	3	5	0	316	346	409	755	93	324	5	3	334	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	155	145	37	7	2	1	5	10	0	1	3	255	280	352	632	97	263	6	3	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	25	25	8	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	320	320	480	800	160	292	0	0	352	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	50	44	17	3	0	2	2	4	2	0	0	386	438	591	1.028	205	375	8	4	435	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	138	129	36	7	0	1	3	9	3	0	1	279	311	357	668	78	289	7	2	295	86	-2	-0	-1	+5	+3	0.5
2009	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	163	149	39	4	0	3	9	12	1	0	1	262	306	349	655	87	269	7	6	291	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	262	251	64	17	2	1	5	13	1	0	0	255	272	351	623	96	263	5	2	272	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	94	87	26	4	1	0	4	6	0	0	0	299	330	368	697	69	317	6	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	149	142	43	3	0	4	5	8	0	0	1	303	327	408	735	106	298	5	3	324	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	62	56	20	1	0	3	4	4	2	0	0	357	419	536	955	179	347	6	6	424	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	82	77	26	3	0	2	3	9	1	1	2	338	370	455	825	117	358	11	4	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	192	183	53	12	1	4	6	10	1	2	1	290	316	432	747	142	288	5	3	327	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	213	195	54	12	0	4	12	20	1	2	0	277	321	400	721	123	289	9	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	193	177	58	9	1	4	14	16	0	0	2	328	377	458	835	130	342	8	7	368	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	179	174	48	12	1	3	4	14	0	1	1	276	292	408	700	132	287	8	2	307	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	89	80	19	3	0	1	2	8	4	1	0	237	291	312	603	75	247	9	2	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	148	142	33	6	0	3	4	15	0	0	0	232	253	338	591	106	242	10	3	260	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	160	150	44	7	0	0	7	15	0	1	0	293	325	340	665	47	319	9	4	296	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	113	107	24	1	0	2	3	10	0	0	0	224	245	290	535	65	224	9	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	127	121	39	4	0	0	6	7	0	0	0	322	354	355	710	33	342	6	5	323	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	A+	Brevard County Manatees	—	45	44	9	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	205	222	227	449	23	231	11	2	205	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	29	28	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	214	241	286	527	71	222	3	0	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	142	133	37	6	1	2	6	12	3	4	0	278	324	383	707	105	294	8	4	318	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	138	129	36	7	0	1	3	9	3	0	1	279	311	357	668	78	289	7	2	295	86	-2	-0	-1	+5	+3	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	414	390	110	17	5	1	12	40	6	5	2	282	314	359	673	77	304	10	3	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	447	425	124	21	1	3	13	53	3	8	1	292	317	367	685	75	319	12	3	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	69	65	23	3	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	354	373	446	819	92	360	10	1	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	319	306	97	16	1	2	6	19	3	5	0	317	337	395	732	78	326	6	2	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	155	148	38	7	2	1	2	12	0	1	3	257	267	351	618	95	260	8	1	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	25	25	7	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	280	280	440	720	160	263	0	0	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	50	45	14	2	0	2	1	6	2	0	0	311	354	489	843	178	280	12	2	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	138	129	36	7	0	1	3	9	3	0	1	279	311	357	668	78	289	7	2	295	86	-2	-0	-1	+5	+3	0.5
2009	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	163	153	39	4	0	3	6	14	1	0	1	255	287	340	627	85	254	9	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	262	252	60	16	2	1	4	15	1	0	0	238	253	329	582	91	241	6	2	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	149	143	39	3	0	3	4	11	0	0	1	273	293	357	649	84	264	7	3	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	62	57	17	1	0	2	3	5	2	0	0	298	355	421	776	123	302	8	5	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	192	185	48	11	1	3	4	12	1	2	1	259	279	378	657	119	256	6	2	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	193	182	51	7	1	3	9	21	0	0	2	280	314	379	693	99	294	11	5	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	179	175	40	10	1	2	3	18	0	1	1	229	242	331	573	103	247	10	2	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	148	144	30	5	0	3	2	20	0	0	0	208	219	306	525	97	216	14	1	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	160	152	42	7	0	0	5	18	0	1	0	276	299	322	622	46	295	11	3	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	127	124	32	3	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	258	276	282	558	24	278	7	2	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	45	44	7	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	159	178	182	360	23	193	16	2	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	142	135	32	4	1	2	4	15	3	4	0	237	275	326	601	89	255	11	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	414	390	110	17	5	1	12	40	6	5	2	282	314	359	673	77	309	10	3	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	414	386	115	17	6	1	16	28	6	5	2	298	336	381	717	83	316	7	4	318	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	447	425	124	21	1	3	13	53	3	8	1	292	317	367	685	75	326	12	3	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	447	418	128	21	1	3	20	37	3	8	1	306	342	383	725	77	329	8	4	323	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	371	119	19	1	3	7	27	4	5	0	321	340	402	742	81	338	7	2	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	388	366	117	20	1	4	12	22	4	5	0	320	348	413	761	93	330	6	3	336	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	230	218	59	10	2	3	3	18	2	1	3	271	287	376	663	106	277	8	1	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	230	214	62	11	2	4	7	14	2	1	3	290	318	416	734	126	289	6	3	316	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	301	282	75	11	0	4	9	23	4	0	2	266	298	348	646	82	276	8	3	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	301	278	75	11	0	4	12	21	4	0	2	270	308	353	661	83	278	7	4	293	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	356	342	81	21	3	1	5	21	1	0	0	237	250	325	575	88	247	6	1	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	356	338	90	21	3	1	9	19	1	0	0	266	287	355	642	89	276	5	3	280	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	293	278	77	5	0	7	9	21	3	1	3	277	307	371	677	94	278	7	3	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	293	275	89	7	0	9	12	21	3	1	3	324	359	447	806	124	324	7	4	356	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	405	388	99	22	1	7	9	26	2	4	1	255	276	371	647	116	257	6	2	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	405	378	107	24	1	8	18	30	2	4	1	283	318	415	734	132	289	7	4	321	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	461	437	113	21	2	7	14	48	4	2	3	259	288	364	652	105	275	10	3	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	461	431	125	24	2	8	20	38	4	2	3	290	327	411	738	121	302	8	4	325	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA MLE	3 teams	—	421	404	96	15	0	3	9	52	0	1	0	238	254	297	551	59	262	12	2	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA RAW	3 teams	—	421	399	101	14	0	5	14	40	0	1	0	253	278	326	604	73	267	10	3	267	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	201	195	45	4	0	0	5	19	1	0	1	231	254	251	505	21	256	9	2	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	201	193	54	7	0	0	7	13	1	0	1	280	308	316	625	36	300	6	3	284	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	142	135	32	4	1	2	4	15	3	4	0	237	275	326	601	89	254	11	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA RAW	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	142	133	37	6	1	2	6	12	3	4	0	278	324	383	707	105	294	8	4	318	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	414	393	110	17	5	1	12	40	6	5	2	280	314	356	670	76	304	10	3	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	447	428	124	21	1	3	13	53	3	8	1	290	317	364	682	75	319	12	3	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	374	119	19	1	3	7	27	4	5	0	318	340	398	739	80	332	7	2	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	230	223	59	10	2	3	3	18	2	1	3	265	287	368	655	103	265	8	1	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	301	285	75	11	0	4	9	23	4	0	2	263	298	344	642	81	270	8	3	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	356	347	81	21	3	1	5	21	1	0	0	233	250	320	570	86	241	6	1	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	293	279	77	5	0	7	9	21	3	1	3	276	307	369	676	93	275	7	3	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	405	391	99	22	1	7	9	26	2	4	1	253	276	368	644	115	256	6	2	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	461	440	113	21	2	7	14	48	4	2	3	257	288	361	649	105	271	10	3	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA MLE	3 teams	—	421	409	96	15	0	3	9	52	0	1	0	235	254	293	548	59	257	12	2	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	201	193	45	4	0	0	5	19	1	0	1	233	254	254	508	21	256	9	2	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	142	134	32	4	1	2	4	15	3	4	0	239	275	328	603	90	255	11	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	138	129	36	7	0	1	3	9	3	0	1	279	311	357	668	78	289	7	2	295	74	-2	-0	-1	+5	+3	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	170	33	0	5	14	42	14	0	5	280	311	359	670	79	289	6	2	295	74	-11	-2	-4	+25	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4059	3865	1030	170	16	41	99	363	33	31	16	266	291	351	641	84	283	9	2	277	74	-2	-0	-1	+5	+3	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	619	166	27	3	7	16	58	5	5	3	268	292	355	648	87	284	9	2	277	74	-11	-2	-4	+25	+14	2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 142 PAwOBA .310 → .258 (−52)K% 8.5% → 10.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.45%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	10.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.23%	÷0.933	×0.690	—	×0.942	2.94%
HBP% /PA	2.11%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.87%
Singles /BIP	23.14%	÷1.022	×0.930	×1.050	×0.942	20.82%
Doubles /BIP	4.96%	÷1.142	×0.830	×1.050	×0.942	3.56%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×0.942	0.75%
Home runs /BIP	1.65%	÷0.872	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.25%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .310 → .258; ISO .105 → .080; BABIP .294 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 127 PAwOBA .311 → .248 (−63)K% 5.5% → 7.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.51%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	7.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.94%	÷1.015	×0.710	—	×0.952	2.62%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.70%	÷1.044	×0.900	×1.014	×0.952	25.55%
Doubles /BIP	3.51%	÷1.214	×0.810	×1.014	×0.952	2.26%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.014	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.886	×0.780	—	×0.952	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 109, 2B 143, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .311 → .248; ISO .033 → .021; BABIP .342 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Brevard County Manatees · 45 PAwOBA .199 → .159 (−41)K% 11.1% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.11%	÷0.986	×1.420	—	—	16.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.22%	÷0.987	×0.750	—	×0.940	1.59%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.51%	÷1.057	×0.920	×0.999	×0.940	16.77%
Doubles /BIP	2.56%	÷0.911	×0.960	×0.999	×0.940	2.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.999	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.887	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 111, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .199 → .159; ISO .023 → .021; BABIP .231 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAHuntsville Stars · 160 PAwOBA .294 → .268 (−25)K% 9.4% → 11.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.38%	÷1.015	×1.220	—	—	11.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.38%	÷0.945	×0.680	—	×0.940	2.96%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.41%	÷0.974	×0.920	×1.039	×0.940	25.29%
Doubles /BIP	5.19%	÷0.950	×0.910	×1.039	×0.940	4.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.880	×1.039	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.047	×0.800	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 103, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .294 → .268; ISO .047 → .044; BABIP .319 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAANashville Sounds · 148 PAwOBA .249 → .215 (−34)K% 10.1% → 13.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.14%	÷0.964	×1.290	—	—	13.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.03%	÷1.040	×0.710	—	×0.962	1.33%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.90%	÷0.975	×0.900	×1.045	×0.962	17.53%
Doubles /BIP	4.72%	÷1.051	×0.810	×1.045	×0.962	3.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.018	×0.810	×1.045	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.36%	÷0.875	×0.780	—	×0.962	2.03%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .249 → .215; ISO .106 → .086; BABIP .242 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAANashville Sounds · 193 PAwOBA .360 → .299 (−61)K% 8.3% → 11.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.29%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	11.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.25%	÷1.054	×0.710	—	×0.972	4.75%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.33%	÷1.001	×0.900	×1.022	×0.972	24.42%
Doubles /BIP	5.59%	÷1.119	×0.810	×1.022	×0.972	4.02%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.022	×0.972	0.56%
Home runs /BIP	2.48%	÷0.934	×0.780	—	×0.972	2.02%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 124, 3B 80, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .360 → .299; ISO .130 → .103; BABIP .342 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAHuntsville Stars · 179 PAwOBA .299 → .249 (−49)K% 7.8% → 9.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.82%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	9.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.23%	÷1.001	×0.680	—	×0.948	1.44%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.029	×0.920	×1.015	×0.948	17.21%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷1.007	×0.910	×1.015	×0.948	6.52%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷0.900	×0.880	×1.015	×0.948	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	1.88%	÷1.040	×0.800	—	×0.948	1.37%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .299 → .249; ISO .132 → .108; BABIP .287 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARound Rock Express · 192 PAwOBA .320 → .282 (−38)K% 5.2% → 6.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.21%	÷1.046	×1.290	—	—	6.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.12%	÷0.963	×0.710	—	×0.982	2.26%
HBP% /PA	0.52%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.50%
Singles /BIP	20.81%	÷0.997	×0.900	×1.017	×0.982	18.77%
Doubles /BIP	6.94%	÷0.925	×0.810	×1.017	×0.982	6.07%
Triples /BIP	0.58%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.017	×0.982	0.41%
Home runs /BIP	2.31%	÷0.883	×0.780	—	×0.982	2.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 99, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 109, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .320 → .282; ISO .142 → .123; BABIP .288 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .