Jesus Cota
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 715 | .252/.335/.423 | 22 | 6 | 68 | — | .192/.252/.301 |
| 2014 | 32 | INTLCharros de Ja… | 112 | .255/.315/.333 | 1 | 0 | 85 | — | |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 176 | .227/.308/.325 | 4 | 0 | 32 | — | .175/.221/.234 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 23 | AAA | Tucson Sidewinders | — | 133 | 126 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 119 | 235 | 17 | 5 | 258 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 388 | 349 | 93 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 266 | 330 | 427 | 757 | 160 | 268 | 12 | 7 | 333 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 482 | 446 | 104 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 285 | 377 | 661 | 143 | 249 | 16 | 6 | 293 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 258 | 236 | 70 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 297 | 357 | 479 | 835 | 182 | 324 | 17 | 8 | 370 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 382 | 349 | 93 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 65 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 266 | 325 | 375 | 700 | 109 | 314 | 17 | 8 | 313 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 384 | 354 | 117 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 41 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 331 | 381 | 562 | 943 | 232 | 337 | 11 | 6 | 411 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 444 | 397 | 132 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 56 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 332 | 399 | 476 | 875 | 144 | 361 | 13 | 9 | 388 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 188 | 175 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 274 | 317 | 457 | 774 | 183 | 311 | 20 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 436 | 395 | 109 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 71 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 276 | 336 | 446 | 782 | 170 | 303 | 16 | 7 | 344 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 163 | 142 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 271 | 275 | 546 | 70 | 235 | 17 | 8 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 374 | 338 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 65 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 272 | 339 | 432 | 771 | 160 | 302 | 17 | 9 | 342 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 269 | 239 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 60 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 316 | 364 | 680 | 134 | 279 | 22 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 484 | 421 | 110 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 54 | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 261 | 348 | 432 | 780 | 171 | 295 | 19 | 11 | 344 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 231 | 205 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 308 | 405 | 713 | 171 | 266 | 19 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 32 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 112 | 102 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 315 | 333 | 649 | 78 | 338 | 25 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 149 | 131 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 310 | 351 | 661 | 115 | 281 | 22 | 9 | 293 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 27 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 296 | 174 | 470 | 235 | 22 | 15 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tucson Sidewinders | — | 133 | 127 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 212 | 268 | 480 | 87 | 216 | 21 | 4 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 388 | 361 | 89 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 56 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 247 | 288 | 385 | 673 | 139 | 251 | 14 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 482 | 459 | 92 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 93 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 232 | 316 | 548 | 115 | 221 | 19 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 258 | 245 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 261 | 298 | 396 | 694 | 135 | 299 | 20 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 382 | 362 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 227 | 261 | 312 | 573 | 86 | 274 | 20 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 384 | 365 | 100 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 274 | 308 | 444 | 752 | 170 | 288 | 13 | 3 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 444 | 416 | 113 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 65 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 272 | 313 | 373 | 686 | 101 | 299 | 15 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 436 | 409 | 89 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 89 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 218 | 258 | 340 | 597 | 122 | 245 | 20 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 374 | 356 | 74 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 208 | 242 | 317 | 559 | 110 | 244 | 22 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 484 | 442 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 112 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 192 | 252 | 301 | 552 | 109 | 229 | 23 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 149 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 175 | 221 | 234 | 454 | 58 | 229 | 29 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 489 | 113 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 85 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 231 | 268 | 356 | 624 | 125 | 249 | 16 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 521 | 475 | 120 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 34 | 68 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 309 | 402 | 711 | 149 | 259 | 13 | 7 | 314 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 482 | 459 | 92 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 93 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 232 | 316 | 548 | 115 | 224 | 19 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 482 | 446 | 104 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 285 | 377 | 661 | 143 | 249 | 16 | 6 | 293 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 258 | 245 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 261 | 298 | 396 | 694 | 135 | 303 | 20 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 258 | 236 | 70 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 297 | 357 | 479 | 835 | 182 | 324 | 17 | 8 | 370 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 382 | 362 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 227 | 261 | 312 | 573 | 86 | 278 | 20 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 382 | 349 | 93 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 65 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 266 | 325 | 375 | 700 | 109 | 314 | 17 | 8 | 313 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 384 | 365 | 100 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 274 | 308 | 444 | 752 | 170 | 289 | 13 | 3 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 384 | 354 | 117 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 41 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 331 | 381 | 562 | 943 | 232 | 337 | 11 | 6 | 411 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 632 | 592 | 162 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 93 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 274 | 314 | 380 | 694 | 106 | 304 | 15 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 632 | 572 | 180 | 24 | 4 | 19 | 52 | 93 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 315 | 375 | 470 | 845 | 156 | 347 | 15 | 8 | 373 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 599 | 558 | 122 | 25 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 122 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 219 | 256 | 342 | 598 | 124 | 252 | 20 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 599 | 537 | 138 | 27 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 99 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 257 | 319 | 400 | 719 | 143 | 284 | 17 | 7 | 316 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 643 | 614 | 126 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 145 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 205 | 239 | 309 | 548 | 104 | 243 | 23 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 643 | 577 | 147 | 22 | 2 | 20 | 63 | 125 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 255 | 329 | 404 | 733 | 149 | 293 | 19 | 10 | 328 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 715 | 651 | 126 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 165 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 194 | 254 | 301 | 555 | 108 | 234 | 23 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 715 | 626 | 158 | 33 | 4 | 22 | 74 | 134 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 252 | 335 | 423 | 759 | 171 | 285 | 19 | 10 | 334 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 32 | INTL MLE | Charros de Jalisco | — | 112 | 102 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 315 | 333 | 649 | 78 | 338 | 25 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 32 | INTL RAW | Charros de Jalisco | — | 112 | 102 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 315 | 333 | 649 | 78 | 338 | 25 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 176 | 163 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 227 | 258 | 484 | 74 | 243 | 29 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 176 | 154 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 308 | 325 | 633 | 97 | 274 | 22 | 10 | 285 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 491 | 113 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 85 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 230 | 268 | 354 | 623 | 124 | 242 | 16 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 482 | 460 | 92 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 93 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 232 | 315 | 547 | 115 | 221 | 19 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 258 | 243 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 263 | 298 | 399 | 698 | 136 | 299 | 20 | 5 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 382 | 362 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 227 | 261 | 312 | 573 | 86 | 274 | 20 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 384 | 363 | 100 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 275 | 308 | 446 | 754 | 171 | 288 | 13 | 3 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 632 | 592 | 162 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 93 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 274 | 314 | 380 | 694 | 106 | 299 | 15 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 599 | 566 | 122 | 25 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 122 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 216 | 256 | 337 | 593 | 122 | 245 | 20 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 643 | 611 | 126 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 145 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 206 | 239 | 311 | 550 | 105 | 244 | 23 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 715 | 656 | 126 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 165 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 192 | 254 | 299 | 553 | 107 | 229 | 23 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 176 | 165 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 227 | 255 | 481 | 73 | 229 | 29 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4904 | 4600 | 1043 | 169 | 15 | 109 | 226 | 961 | 27 | 51 | 27 | 227 | 267 | 341 | 608 | 114 | 262 | 20 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -218 | -1 | +0 | -53 | +106 | -16.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 137 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 127 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 225 | 266 | 336 | 602 | 111 | 259 | 20 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -29 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAPericos de Puebla · 149 PAwOBA .287 → .211 (−76)K% 22.1% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷0.913 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.72% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.49% | ÷1.075 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×0.940 | 20.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.06% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.940 | 2.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.53% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 115, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .287 → .211; ISO .115 → .073; BABIP .281 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 484 PAwOBA .333 → .247 (−85)K% 18.6% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.60% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷0.937 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.75% | ÷1.057 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 17.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.83% | ÷1.129 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 2.85% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 111, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 93, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .333 → .247; ISO .171 → .114; BABIP .295 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 374 PAwOBA .328 → .248 (−80)K% 17.4% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.38% | ÷0.928 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.95% | ÷1.136 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.27% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×0.964 | ×0.962 | 19.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.003 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.962 | 3.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×0.962 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 107, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 86, BB 127 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .328 → .248; ISO .160 → .113; BABIP .302 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 436 PAwOBA .334 → .261 (−73)K% 16.3% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.28% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.19% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.91% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×0.969 | ×0.972 | 18.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×0.972 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.972 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.32% | ÷0.920 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 3.19% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 91, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .334 → .261; ISO .170 → .128; BABIP .303 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 444 PAwOBA .375 → .305 (−70)K% 12.6% → 14.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.61% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.88% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.91% | ÷1.073 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 25.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.118 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.52% | ÷0.963 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 115, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 106, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .375 → .305; ISO .144 → .108; BABIP .361 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 384 PAwOBA .396 → .327 (−69)K% 10.7% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 20.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 6.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.77% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .396 → .327; ISO .232 → .174; BABIP .337 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 382 PAwOBA .302 → .253 (−49)K% 17.0% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.02% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.961 | ×1.003 | 20.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×1.003 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×1.003 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.99% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .302 → .253; ISO .109 → .086; BABIP .314 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 258 PAwOBA .355 → .301 (−53)K% 16.7% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 24.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.06% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .355 → .301; ISO .182 → .136; BABIP .324 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .