Luke Scott
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 34 | A+Charlotte Sto… | 32 | .308/.438/.577 | 2 | 0 | 108 | — | .241/.312/.483 | |
| 2012 | 34 | MLBTB | 344 | .229/.288/.439 | 14 | 5 | 98 | -0.0 | ||
| 2013 | 35 | MLBTB | 291 | .241/.331/.415 | 9 | 1 | 108 | 0.5 | ||
| 2015 | 37 | AAATOR | 337 | .258/.344/.436 | 11 | 1 | 72 | — | .215/.273/.356 | |
| 2016 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 44 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 45 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 46 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 47 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 48 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 89 | 80 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 270 | 287 | 557 | 100 | 263 | 26 | 10 | 256 | 54 | -5 | -0 | -1 | -6 | +2 | -1.0 |
| 2005 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 449 | 398 | 114 | 25 | 4 | 31 | 43 | 96 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 286 | 365 | 603 | 968 | 317 | 304 | 21 | 10 | 415 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 249 | 214 | 72 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 336 | 427 | 621 | 1.049 | 285 | 383 | 17 | 12 | 451 | 184 | +25 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +5 | 2.3 |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 381 | 318 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 20 | 52 | 66 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 299 | 405 | 541 | 946 | 242 | 316 | 17 | 14 | 409 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 425 | 369 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 18 | 53 | 95 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 351 | 504 | 855 | 249 | 296 | 22 | 12 | 374 | 135 | +18 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2008 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 536 | 475 | 122 | 29 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 257 | 338 | 472 | 809 | 215 | 280 | 19 | 10 | 355 | 118 | +11 | -0 | +1 | -6 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2009 | 31 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 506 | 449 | 116 | 26 | 1 | 25 | 55 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 341 | 488 | 828 | 229 | 283 | 21 | 11 | 364 | 128 | +17 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2010 | 32 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 517 | 447 | 127 | 29 | 1 | 27 | 59 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 284 | 373 | 535 | 907 | 251 | 304 | 19 | 11 | 392 | 140 | +25 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2011 | 33 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 236 | 209 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 303 | 402 | 705 | 182 | 250 | 23 | 10 | 313 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 34 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 344 | 314 | 72 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 80 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 229 | 288 | 439 | 728 | 210 | 259 | 23 | 6 | 317 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2012 | 34 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 32 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 438 | 577 | 1.014 | 269 | 353 | 22 | 19 | 442 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 291 | 253 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 331 | 415 | 746 | 174 | 281 | 22 | 10 | 330 | 108 | +3 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2013 | 35 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 19 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 278 | 541 | 56 | 308 | 26 | 0 | 249 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 337 | 298 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 344 | 436 | 780 | 178 | 296 | 19 | 11 | 349 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3193 | 2810 | 725 | 181 | 20 | 135 | 334 | 662 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 258 | 342 | 481 | 823 | 223 | 290 | 21 | 10 | 360 | 130 | +113 | +1 | -13 | -50 | +69 | 12.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 89 | 81 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 258 | 284 | 542 | 99 | 263 | 26 | 9 | 248 | 54 | -5 | -0 | -1 | -6 | +2 | -1.0 |
| 2005 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 449 | 411 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 23 | 30 | 124 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 219 | 282 | 448 | 730 | 229 | 248 | 28 | 7 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 249 | 218 | 72 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 330 | 411 | 610 | 1.021 | 280 | 383 | 17 | 10 | 440 | 184 | +25 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +5 | 2.3 |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 381 | 338 | 83 | 12 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 85 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 246 | 320 | 429 | 749 | 183 | 269 | 22 | 8 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 425 | 373 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 18 | 49 | 95 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 342 | 499 | 841 | 247 | 296 | 22 | 12 | 367 | 135 | +18 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2008 | 30 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 536 | 485 | 122 | 29 | 2 | 23 | 43 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 252 | 319 | 462 | 781 | 210 | 280 | 19 | 8 | 342 | 118 | +11 | -0 | +1 | -6 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2009 | 31 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 506 | 454 | 116 | 26 | 1 | 25 | 50 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 331 | 482 | 813 | 227 | 283 | 21 | 10 | 357 | 128 | +17 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2010 | 32 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 517 | 451 | 124 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 55 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 275 | 359 | 506 | 864 | 231 | 304 | 19 | 11 | 376 | 140 | +25 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2011 | 33 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 236 | 210 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 295 | 381 | 676 | 167 | 250 | 23 | 10 | 302 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 34 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 344 | 317 | 71 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 80 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 224 | 276 | 432 | 709 | 208 | 259 | 23 | 5 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2012 | 34 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 32 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 312 | 483 | 795 | 241 | 283 | 31 | 9 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 291 | 254 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 324 | 409 | 733 | 173 | 281 | 22 | 10 | 328 | 108 | +3 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2013 | 35 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 268 | 37 | 0 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 337 | 312 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 76 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 273 | 356 | 629 | 141 | 255 | 23 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 492 | 105 | 23 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 147 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 213 | 278 | 421 | 699 | 207 | 253 | 27 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 538 | 478 | 129 | 29 | 6 | 31 | 52 | 119 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 270 | 349 | 550 | 899 | 280 | 297 | 22 | 10 | 389 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 556 | 155 | 31 | 7 | 26 | 58 | 128 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 279 | 356 | 500 | 856 | 221 | 316 | 20 | 9 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 630 | 532 | 167 | 34 | 7 | 30 | 82 | 109 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 314 | 414 | 573 | 987 | 259 | 343 | 17 | 13 | 426 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 425 | 373 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 18 | 49 | 95 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 342 | 499 | 841 | 247 | 291 | 22 | 12 | 367 | 135 | +18 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2007 | 29 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 425 | 369 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 18 | 53 | 95 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 351 | 504 | 855 | 249 | 296 | 22 | 12 | 374 | 135 | +18 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2008 | 30 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 536 | 485 | 122 | 29 | 2 | 23 | 43 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 252 | 319 | 462 | 781 | 210 | 273 | 19 | 8 | 342 | 118 | +11 | -0 | +1 | -6 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2008 | 30 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 536 | 475 | 122 | 29 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 257 | 338 | 472 | 809 | 215 | 280 | 19 | 10 | 355 | 118 | +11 | -0 | +1 | -6 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2009 | 31 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 506 | 454 | 116 | 26 | 1 | 25 | 50 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 331 | 482 | 813 | 227 | 279 | 21 | 10 | 357 | 128 | +17 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2009 | 31 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 506 | 449 | 116 | 26 | 1 | 25 | 55 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 341 | 488 | 828 | 229 | 283 | 21 | 11 | 364 | 128 | +17 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2010 | 32 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 517 | 451 | 124 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 55 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 275 | 359 | 506 | 864 | 231 | 298 | 19 | 11 | 376 | 140 | +25 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2010 | 32 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 517 | 447 | 127 | 29 | 1 | 27 | 59 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 284 | 373 | 535 | 907 | 251 | 304 | 19 | 11 | 392 | 140 | +25 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2011 | 33 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 236 | 210 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 295 | 381 | 676 | 167 | 247 | 23 | 10 | 302 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2011 | 33 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 236 | 209 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 303 | 402 | 705 | 182 | 250 | 23 | 10 | 313 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 34 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 346 | 78 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 225 | 280 | 436 | 716 | 211 | 254 | 24 | 6 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2012 | 34 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 376 | 340 | 80 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 87 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 235 | 301 | 450 | 751 | 215 | 266 | 23 | 7 | 328 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2013 | 35 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 310 | 272 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 70 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 317 | 397 | 714 | 165 | 274 | 23 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 35 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 310 | 271 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 68 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 327 | 406 | 733 | 166 | 283 | 22 | 10 | 325 | 102 | +1 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 337 | 312 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 76 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 273 | 356 | 629 | 141 | 256 | 23 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 337 | 298 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 344 | 436 | 780 | 178 | 296 | 19 | 11 | 349 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 489 | 105 | 23 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 147 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 215 | 278 | 423 | 701 | 209 | 251 | 27 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 558 | 155 | 31 | 7 | 26 | 58 | 128 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 278 | 356 | 498 | 855 | 220 | 314 | 20 | 9 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 425 | 371 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 18 | 49 | 95 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 253 | 342 | 501 | 843 | 248 | 296 | 22 | 12 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 30 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 536 | 483 | 122 | 29 | 2 | 23 | 43 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 319 | 464 | 783 | 211 | 280 | 19 | 8 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 31 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 506 | 450 | 116 | 26 | 1 | 25 | 50 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 331 | 487 | 817 | 229 | 283 | 21 | 10 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 32 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 517 | 453 | 124 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 55 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 359 | 503 | 862 | 230 | 304 | 19 | 11 | 376 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 33 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 236 | 210 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 295 | 381 | 676 | 167 | 250 | 23 | 10 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 34 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 347 | 78 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 225 | 280 | 435 | 715 | 210 | 261 | 24 | 6 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 35 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 310 | 273 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 70 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 317 | 396 | 713 | 165 | 280 | 23 | 9 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 37 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 337 | 309 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 76 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 273 | 359 | 632 | 142 | 255 | 23 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3193 | 2810 | 725 | 181 | 20 | 135 | 334 | 662 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 258 | 342 | 481 | 823 | 223 | 290 | 21 | 10 | 360 | 115 | +113 | +1 | -13 | -50 | +69 | 12.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 147 | 37 | 4 | 27 | 68 | 135 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 341 | 477 | 818 | 220 | 289 | 21 | 10 | 360 | 115 | +23 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +14 | 2.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4411 | 3951 | 969 | 230 | 25 | 181 | 388 | 964 | 41 | 26 | 10 | 245 | 319 | 454 | 773 | 208 | 278 | 22 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +113 | +1 | -13 | -50 | +69 | 12.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 144 | 34 | 4 | 27 | 57 | 142 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 247 | 320 | 459 | 779 | 211 | 281 | 22 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +23 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +14 | 2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 337 PAwOBA .338 → .275 (−63)K% 19.0% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.99% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.39% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.09% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×0.940 | 17.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.944 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.940 | 6.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×0.940 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.70% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.940 | 3.84% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .338 → .275; ISO .178 → .148; BABIP .296 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 19 PAwOBA .242 → .180 (−62)K% 26.3% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷0.950 | ×1.420 | — | — | 39.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 4.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 19.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.983 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.940 | 7.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.888 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .242 → .180; ISO .056 → .042; BABIP .308 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 32 PAwOBA .414 → .328 (−86)K% 21.9% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷1.020 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.966 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.940 | 9.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.067 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 21.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.002 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.940 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.106 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.940 | 7.87% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 104, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .414 → .328; ISO .269 → .211; BABIP .353 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AAARound Rock Express · 381 PAwOBA .399 → .328 (−71)K% 17.3% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 8.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 6.14% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .399 → .328; ISO .242 → .194; BABIP .316 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AAARound Rock Express · 449 PAwOBA .404 → .311 (−93)K% 21.4% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.960 | ×1.003 | 15.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×1.003 | 6.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×1.003 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 8.03% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .404 → .311; ISO .317 → .237; BABIP .304 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).