Donnie Murphy

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1983-03-10

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	30	AAACHC	340	.265/.341/.457	12	5	59	—	.197/.261/.323
2013	30	MLBCHC	163	.255/.319/.530	11	2	136	1.1
2014	31	AAAGwinnett Brav…	104	.138/.206/.266	3	0	-4	—	.104/.157/.188
2014	31	MLBTEX	128	.196/.274/.330	4	0	60	-0.3
2015	32	AAAColorado Spri…	162	.257/.354/.371	2	0	50	—	.190/.261/.272
2016	33	No MLB games played
2017	34	No MLB games played
2018	35	No MLB games played
2019	36	No MLB games played
2020	37	No MLB games played
2021	38	No MLB games played
2022	39	No MLB games played
2023	40	No MLB games played
2024	41	No MLB games played
2025	42	No MLB games played
2026	43	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2004	21	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	27	27	5	3	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	185	185	296	481	111	250	26	0	210	28	-2	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.0
2005	22	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	88	77	12	5	0	1	9	23	0	0	1	156	244	260	504	104	204	26	10	230	42	-6	-0	-3	+1	+2	-0.7
2005	22	AA	Wichita Wranglers	—	235	214	67	13	1	10	13	32	4	1	1	313	364	523	887	210	329	14	6	383	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA	Wichita Wranglers	—	395	366	91	25	1	14	19	65	8	6	3	249	300	437	737	189	268	16	5	324	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	132	118	26	8	0	6	10	35	2	1	0	220	292	441	733	220	256	27	8	319	102	+0	+0	-1	+4	+3	0.6
2007	24	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	199	175	57	19	2	3	17	44	2	4	2	326	392	509	900	183	415	22	9	387	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	117	103	19	3	0	3	11	38	2	2	1	184	276	301	577	117	254	32	9	265	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2008	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	154	141	38	10	2	11	8	46	2	1	0	270	318	603	921	333	318	30	5	387	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	47	44	14	6	1	3	2	19	0	0	0	318	348	705	1.052	386	500	40	4	438	200	+6	+0	+2	+1	+1	1.0
2010	27	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	224	206	57	12	1	12	16	41	2	0	0	277	335	519	854	243	294	18	7	373	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	100	92	17	4	1	2	4	21	3	0	0	185	242	315	558	130	214	21	4	250	57	-5	+0	+3	+2	+2	0.2
2011	28	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	26	23	2	2	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	87	192	174	366	87	105	15	12	179	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	30	23	3	0	1	0	5	6	2	0	0	130	333	217	551	87	176	20	17	279	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	129	116	25	6	2	3	9	35	2	1	1	216	283	379	663	164	278	27	7	291	87	-2	-0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2012	29	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	125	106	32	6	0	13	14	28	4	1	0	302	403	726	1.130	425	288	22	11	474	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	18	17	6	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	353	353	706	1.059	353	357	17	0	427	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	163	149	38	8	0	11	8	48	6	2	0	255	319	530	849	275	300	29	5	370	136	+7	+0	-2	+2	+4	1.1
2013	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	340	302	80	18	2	12	27	75	8	5	3	265	341	457	798	192	312	22	8	351	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	128	112	22	3	0	4	11	38	1	0	1	196	274	330	605	134	247	30	9	267	60	-6	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2014	31	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	104	94	13	3	0	3	5	24	3	0	0	138	206	266	472	128	145	23	5	213	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	162	140	36	6	2	2	18	28	3	0	0	257	354	371	725	114	306	17	11	330	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	931	838	178	46	4	33	64	264	16	7	4	212	281	395	676	183	264	28	7	297	87	-14	-0	-1	+12	+20	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2004	21	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	27	27	5	3	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	185	185	296	481	111	250	26	0	210	28	-2	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.0
2005	22	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	88	77	12	5	0	1	9	23	0	0	1	156	244	260	504	104	204	26	10	230	42	-6	-0	-3	+1	+2	-0.7
2005	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wranglers	—	235	218	59	11	1	8	9	39	4	1	1	271	312	440	752	170	291	17	4	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wranglers	—	395	373	79	21	1	11	12	79	8	6	3	212	252	362	614	150	236	20	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	132	118	26	8	0	6	10	35	2	1	0	220	292	441	733	220	256	27	8	319	102	+0	+0	-1	+4	+3	0.6
2007	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	199	181	50	16	2	2	11	57	2	4	2	276	325	420	745	144	367	29	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	117	103	19	3	0	3	11	38	2	2	1	184	276	301	577	117	254	32	9	265	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2008	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	154	143	31	8	2	8	6	59	2	1	0	217	258	469	727	252	271	38	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	47	44	15	7	1	3	2	19	0	0	0	341	370	750	1.120	409	500	40	4	464	200	+6	+0	+2	+1	+1	1.0
2010	27	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	224	209	47	9	1	10	13	50	2	0	0	225	277	421	698	196	245	22	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	100	93	17	4	1	2	3	21	3	0	0	183	232	312	544	129	214	21	3	252	57	-5	+0	+3	+2	+2	0.2
2011	28	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	26	24	2	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	83	154	167	321	83	87	19	8	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	30	24	3	0	1	0	4	8	2	0	0	125	300	208	508	83	154	27	13	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	129	117	26	7	2	3	8	35	2	1	1	222	283	393	677	171	278	27	6	297	87	-2	-0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2012	29	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	125	110	26	5	0	10	10	36	4	1	0	236	323	555	877	318	246	29	8	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	18	17	5	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	0	294	294	647	941	353	290	22	0	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	163	150	38	8	0	11	7	48	6	2	0	253	313	527	840	273	300	29	4	369	136	+7	+0	-2	+2	+4	1.1
2013	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	340	310	61	13	1	8	19	97	8	5	3	197	261	323	584	126	250	29	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	128	112	22	3	0	4	11	38	1	0	1	196	274	330	605	134	247	30	9	257	60	-6	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2014	31	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	104	96	10	2	0	2	3	30	3	0	0	104	157	188	344	83	120	29	3	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	162	147	28	4	1	2	11	37	3	0	0	190	261	272	533	82	240	23	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	21	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	27	27	5	3	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	185	185	296	481	111	250	26	0	210	28	-2	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.0
2004	21	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	27	27	5	3	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	185	185	296	481	111	250	26	0	210	28	-2	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.0
2005	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	295	71	16	1	9	18	62	4	1	2	241	293	393	687	153	274	19	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	323	291	79	18	1	11	22	55	4	1	2	271	331	454	785	182	300	17	7	341	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wranglers	—	395	373	79	21	1	11	12	79	8	6	3	212	252	362	614	150	240	20	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA RAW	Wichita Wranglers	—	395	366	91	25	1	14	19	65	8	6	3	249	300	437	737	189	268	16	5	324	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	331	299	76	24	2	8	21	92	4	5	2	254	312	428	740	174	337	28	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	331	293	83	27	2	9	27	79	4	5	2	283	352	481	833	198	356	24	8	360	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	246	50	11	2	11	17	97	4	3	1	203	266	398	664	195	279	36	6	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	271	244	57	13	2	14	19	84	4	3	1	234	300	475	775	242	291	31	7	334	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	253	62	16	2	13	15	69	2	0	0	245	293	478	771	233	287	25	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	271	250	71	18	2	15	18	60	2	0	0	284	337	552	889	268	320	22	7	384	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	156	141	22	6	2	2	9	35	5	0	0	156	232	270	502	113	190	22	6	225	39	-11	+0	+3	+2	+3	-0.3
2011	28	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	156	138	22	6	2	2	12	31	5	0	0	159	252	275	527	116	189	20	8	244	39	-11	+0	+3	+2	+3	-0.3
2012	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	272	244	58	13	3	14	18	75	6	2	1	238	306	488	794	250	278	28	7	336	114	+4	+0	-1	+1	+6	1.0
2012	29	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	272	239	63	13	3	17	23	66	6	2	1	264	343	556	900	293	289	24	8	384	114	+4	+0	-1	+1	+6	1.0
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	503	460	98	20	1	19	26	145	14	7	3	213	276	385	661	172	264	29	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	503	451	118	26	2	23	35	123	14	7	3	262	334	481	815	220	308	24	7	357	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	232	208	32	5	0	6	14	68	4	0	1	154	221	264	486	111	187	29	6	214	31	-19	-0	+0	+1	+5	-1.4
2014	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	232	206	35	6	0	7	16	62	4	0	1	170	243	301	544	131	197	27	7	243	31	-19	-0	+0	+1	+5	-1.4
2015	32	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	162	147	28	4	1	2	11	37	3	0	0	190	261	272	533	82	239	23	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA RAW	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	162	140	36	6	2	2	18	28	3	0	0	257	354	371	725	114	306	17	11	330	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	21	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	27	27	5	3	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	185	185	296	481	111	250	26	0	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	298	71	16	1	9	18	62	4	1	2	238	293	389	683	151	267	19	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wranglers	—	395	372	79	21	1	11	12	79	8	6	3	212	252	363	615	151	236	20	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	331	303	76	24	2	8	21	92	4	5	2	251	312	422	734	172	323	28	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	248	50	11	2	11	17	97	4	3	1	202	266	395	661	194	264	36	6	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	252	62	16	2	13	15	69	2	0	0	246	293	480	773	234	289	25	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	156	141	22	6	2	2	9	35	5	0	0	156	232	270	502	113	181	22	6	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	272	246	58	13	3	14	18	75	6	2	1	236	306	484	790	248	264	28	7	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	503	458	98	20	1	19	26	145	14	7	3	214	276	386	662	172	266	29	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	232	212	32	5	0	6	14	68	4	0	1	151	221	259	481	108	190	29	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	162	147	28	4	1	2	11	37	3	0	0	190	261	272	533	82	240	23	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	931	838	178	46	4	33	64	264	16	7	4	212	281	395	676	183	264	28	7	297	79	-14	-0	-1	+12	+20	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	124	32	3	23	45	184	11	5	3	212	281	395	676	183	263	28	7	297	79	-10	-0	-1	+8	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2943	2693	581	139	15	95	161	766	54	25	13	216	274	384	658	169	262	26	5	285	79	-14	-0	-1	+12	+20	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	128	31	3	21	36	169	12	6	3	215	274	383	657	168	262	26	6	285	79	-10	-0	-1	+8	+14	1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 162 PAwOBA .321 → .242 (−79)K% 17.3% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.28%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	22.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.49%	÷1.015	×0.710	—	×0.952	6.99%
HBP% /PA	1.85%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	1.73%
Singles /BIP	23.21%	÷1.044	×0.900	×1.008	×0.952	19.20%
Doubles /BIP	5.36%	÷1.214	×0.810	×1.008	×0.952	3.43%
Triples /BIP	1.79%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.008	×0.952	1.21%
Home runs /BIP	1.79%	÷0.886	×0.780	—	×0.952	1.50%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 109, 2B 143, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .321 → .242; ISO .114 → .082; BABIP .306 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAGwinnett Braves · 104 PAwOBA .211 → .162 (−49)K% 23.1% → 28.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.08%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	28.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.81%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×0.962	3.24%
HBP% /PA	2.88%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	2.61%
Singles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.012	×0.930	×0.973	×0.962	8.61%
Doubles /BIP	4.29%	÷0.992	×0.830	×0.973	×0.962	3.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.973	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.29%	÷1.120	×0.840	—	×0.962	3.09%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .211 → .162; ISO .128 → .092; BABIP .145 → .120. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAIowa Cubs · 340 PAwOBA .345 → .256 (−89)K% 22.1% → 28.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.06%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	28.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.94%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.972	5.48%
HBP% /PA	2.35%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	2.24%
Singles /BIP	21.15%	÷1.009	×0.900	×0.979	×0.972	17.94%
Doubles /BIP	7.93%	÷1.050	×0.810	×0.979	×0.972	5.82%
Triples /BIP	0.88%	÷1.012	×0.810	×0.979	×0.972	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	5.29%	÷1.130	×0.780	—	×0.972	3.55%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .345 → .256; ISO .192 → .128; BABIP .312 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 125 PAwOBA .464 → .374 (−90)K% 22.4% → 28.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.40%	÷1.013	×1.290	—	—	28.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.20%	÷0.997	×0.710	—	×0.982	7.84%
HBP% /PA	3.20%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	3.08%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷0.976	×0.900	×0.976	×0.982	14.72%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.868	×0.810	×0.976	×0.982	6.87%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.976	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	16.67%	÷0.942	×0.780	—	×0.982	13.55%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 74, 3B 130, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .464 → .374; ISO .425 → .339; BABIP .288 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 18 PAwOBA .439 → .351 (−87)K% 16.7% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.956	×1.420	—	—	24.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.750	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.027	×0.920	—	×0.940	18.04%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.977	×0.960	—	×0.940	6.60%
Triples /BIP	7.14%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.940	4.73%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.939	×0.880	—	×0.940	6.29%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .439 → .351; ISO .353 → .278; BABIP .357 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 30 PAwOBA .274 → .214 (−60)K% 20.0% → 28.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.005	×1.420	—	—	28.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.016	×0.750	—	×0.948	11.66%
HBP% /PA	6.67%	—	×0.930	—	×0.948	5.88%
Singles /BIP	11.76%	÷0.971	×0.920	—	×0.948	10.57%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.938	×0.960	—	×0.948	0.00%
Triples /BIP	5.88%	÷0.943	×0.810	—	×0.948	4.79%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.848	×0.880	—	×0.948	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 94, 2B 88, 3B 89, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .274 → .214; ISO .087 → .068; BABIP .176 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 26 PAwOBA .175 → .136 (−40)K% 15.4% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.38%	÷1.007	×1.290	—	—	19.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.54%	÷0.973	×0.710	—	×0.992	8.35%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.983	×0.900	—	×0.992	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	10.53%	÷0.971	×0.810	—	×0.992	8.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.939	×0.780	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .175 → .136; ISO .087 → .071; BABIP .105 → .087. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 224 PAwOBA .363 → .294 (−68)K% 18.3% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.30%	÷1.056	×1.290	—	—	22.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.14%	÷0.887	×0.710	—	×1.003	5.73%
HBP% /PA	0.89%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.88%
Singles /BIP	19.39%	÷1.007	×0.900	×0.958	×1.003	16.66%
Doubles /BIP	7.27%	÷0.963	×0.810	×0.958	×1.003	5.88%
Triples /BIP	0.61%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.958	×1.003	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	7.27%	÷0.939	×0.780	—	×1.003	6.06%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 111, BB 77 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .363 → .294; ISO .243 → .194; BABIP .294 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).