Brendan Harris

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1980-08-26

Age (2027)46

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	32	AAATEX	136	.237/.360/.342	3	0	57	—	.183/.279/.250
2013	32	MLBLAA	117	.206/.254/.355	4	0	66	-0.3
2014	33	AAA/INTL2 orgs	124	.349/.444/.406	0	0	140	—	.312/.421/.375
2015	34	AAA/AADET	188	.238/.375/.331	2	0	60	—	.202/.293/.258
2016	35	No MLB games played
2017	36	No MLB games played
2018	37	No MLB games played
2019	38	No MLB games played
2020	39	No MLB games played
2021	40	No MLB games played
2022	41	No MLB games played
2023	42	No MLB games played
2024	43	No MLB games played
2025	44	No MLB games played
2026	45	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2004	23	MLB	Montreal Expos	—	63	59	10	3	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	169	222	271	493	102	196	19	5	225	39	-5	+0	-3	+0	+1	-0.6
2005	24	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	519	470	127	22	4	13	40	77	3	9	5	270	331	417	748	147	297	15	8	330	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	47	42	10	2	0	1	4	7	1	0	0	238	319	357	676	119	265	15	9	309	95	-0	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.2
2006	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	422	367	110	28	1	10	40	85	10	5	2	300	384	463	847	163	364	20	9	374	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	576	521	149	35	3	12	42	96	4	4	1	286	344	434	778	148	331	17	7	341	116	+11	+0	-2	+6	+12	2.9
2008	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	490	434	115	29	3	7	39	98	4	1	1	265	331	394	725	129	322	20	8	318	101	+1	-0	-1	+5	+11	1.5
2009	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	453	414	108	22	1	6	29	78	3	0	2	261	314	362	676	101	304	17	6	301	90	-6	-1	-3	+5	+10	0.6
2010	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	120	108	17	3	0	1	9	23	2	0	0	157	235	213	448	56	188	19	8	212	30	-10	+0	-2	+1	+3	-0.8
2010	29	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	258	232	54	14	1	4	14	41	7	1	0	233	296	353	650	121	262	16	5	289	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	565	516	115	21	2	10	37	87	5	2	2	223	281	329	611	107	249	15	7	274	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	47	44	9	1	1	1	3	9	0	0	0	205	255	341	596	136	235	19	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	424	357	113	33	4	9	52	44	7	2	3	317	413	507	920	190	334	10	12	400	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	117	107	22	4	0	4	6	29	1	0	1	206	254	355	610	150	240	25	5	265	66	-5	-0	-3	+3	+3	-0.3
2013	32	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	136	114	27	3	0	3	20	19	2	0	0	237	360	342	702	105	261	14	15	327	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	19	15	5	1	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	333	474	400	874	67	385	11	21	405	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	105	91	32	1	2	0	10	21	4	0	0	352	438	407	845	55	457	20	10	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	67	57	13	3	1	0	7	7	1	0	0	228	323	316	639	88	255	10	10	287	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	121	94	23	3	0	2	22	18	3	0	1	245	403	340	744	96	280	15	18	346	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1866	1685	431	98	7	32	132	343	16	5	5	256	316	379	695	123	301	18	7	307	94	-13	-1	-13	+22	+40	3.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2004	23	MLB MLE	Montreal Expos	—	63	59	10	3	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	169	222	271	493	102	196	19	5	225	39	-5	+0	-3	+0	+1	-0.6
2005	24	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	519	483	117	19	3	10	27	99	3	9	5	242	287	356	643	114	281	19	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	47	42	10	2	0	1	4	7	1	0	0	238	319	357	676	119	265	15	9	309	95	-0	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.2
2006	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	422	381	104	24	1	9	26	102	10	5	2	273	336	412	748	139	341	24	6	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	576	522	149	35	3	12	41	96	4	4	1	285	342	433	775	148	331	17	7	340	116	+11	+0	-2	+6	+12	2.9
2008	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	490	434	115	29	3	7	39	98	4	1	1	265	331	394	725	129	322	20	8	318	101	+1	-0	-1	+5	+11	1.5
2009	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	453	414	108	22	1	6	29	78	3	0	2	261	314	362	676	101	304	17	6	301	90	-6	-1	-3	+5	+10	0.6
2010	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	120	108	17	3	0	1	9	23	2	0	0	157	235	213	448	56	188	19	8	212	30	-10	+0	-2	+1	+3	-0.8
2010	29	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	258	237	48	11	1	4	9	48	7	1	0	203	253	308	561	105	228	19	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	565	528	100	17	2	8	25	109	5	2	2	189	233	275	508	85	218	19	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	424	371	93	24	3	7	38	63	7	2	3	251	332	388	720	137	271	15	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	117	107	22	4	0	4	6	29	1	0	1	206	254	355	610	150	240	25	5	266	66	-5	-0	-3	+3	+3	-0.3
2013	32	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	136	120	22	2	0	2	14	25	2	0	0	183	279	250	529	67	217	18	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	19	16	5	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	312	421	375	796	62	318	16	16	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	67	60	12	2	1	0	4	8	1	0	0	200	262	267	528	67	215	12	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	121	103	21	2	0	1	13	23	3	0	1	204	311	252	563	49	247	19	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	23	MLB MLE	Montreal Expos	—	63	59	10	3	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	169	222	271	493	102	196	19	5	225	39	-5	+0	-3	+0	+1	-0.6
2004	23	MLB RAW	Montreal Expos	—	63	59	10	3	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	169	222	271	493	102	196	19	5	225	39	-5	+0	-3	+0	+1	-0.6
2005	24	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	519	483	117	19	3	10	27	99	3	9	5	242	287	356	643	114	283	19	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA RAW	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	519	470	127	22	4	13	40	77	3	9	5	270	331	417	748	147	297	15	8	330	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	469	423	114	26	1	10	30	109	11	5	2	270	334	407	741	137	339	23	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	469	409	120	30	1	11	44	92	11	5	2	293	377	452	829	159	353	20	9	368	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	576	522	149	35	3	12	41	96	4	4	1	285	342	433	775	148	330	17	7	340	116	+11	+0	-2	+6	+12	2.9
2007	26	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	576	521	149	35	3	12	42	96	4	4	1	286	344	434	778	148	331	17	7	341	116	+11	+0	-2	+6	+12	2.9
2008	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	490	434	115	29	3	7	39	98	4	1	1	265	331	394	725	129	322	20	8	318	101	+1	-0	-1	+5	+11	1.5
2008	27	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	490	434	115	29	3	7	39	98	4	1	1	265	331	394	725	129	322	20	8	318	101	+1	-0	-1	+5	+11	1.5
2009	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	453	414	108	22	1	6	29	78	3	0	2	261	314	362	676	101	304	17	6	301	90	-6	-1	-3	+5	+10	0.6
2009	28	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	453	414	108	22	1	6	29	78	3	0	2	261	314	362	676	101	304	17	6	301	90	-6	-1	-3	+5	+10	0.6
2010	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	378	345	65	14	1	5	18	71	9	1	0	188	247	278	526	90	219	19	5	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	378	340	71	17	1	5	23	64	9	1	0	209	277	309	586	100	239	17	6	264	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	612	572	107	18	2	8	28	118	5	2	2	187	231	267	499	80	220	19	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	612	560	124	22	3	11	40	96	5	2	2	221	279	330	610	109	248	16	7	273	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	424	371	93	24	3	7	38	63	7	2	3	251	332	388	720	137	279	15	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA RAW	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	424	357	113	33	4	9	52	44	7	2	3	317	413	507	920	190	334	10	12	400	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	253	227	45	7	0	6	20	54	3	0	1	198	272	308	580	110	232	21	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	253	221	49	7	0	7	26	48	3	0	1	222	312	348	660	127	251	19	10	299	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	124	103	28	5	0	0	17	18	4	0	0	272	395	320	716	49	329	15	14	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	124	106	37	2	2	0	14	23	4	0	0	349	444	406	849	57	446	19	11	390	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AA MLE	2 teams	—	188	162	33	5	1	1	18	31	4	0	1	204	299	265	564	62	242	16	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AA RAW	2 teams	—	188	151	36	6	1	2	29	25	4	0	1	238	375	331	706	93	270	13	15	325	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	23	MLB MLE	Montreal Expos	—	63	59	10	3	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	169	222	271	493	102	196	19	5	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	519	484	117	19	3	10	27	99	3	9	5	242	287	355	642	114	281	19	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	469	425	114	26	1	10	30	109	11	5	2	268	334	405	739	136	333	23	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	—	576	526	149	35	3	12	41	96	4	4	1	283	342	430	772	146	331	17	7	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	490	444	115	29	3	7	39	98	4	1	1	259	331	385	716	126	322	20	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	453	418	108	22	1	6	29	78	3	0	2	258	314	359	673	100	304	17	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	378	348	65	14	1	5	18	71	9	1	0	187	247	276	523	89	215	19	5	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	612	574	107	18	2	8	28	118	5	2	2	186	231	267	498	80	218	19	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	424	376	93	24	3	7	38	63	7	2	3	247	332	383	715	136	271	15	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	253	228	45	7	0	6	20	54	3	0	1	197	272	307	579	110	228	21	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	124	102	28	5	0	0	17	18	4	0	0	275	395	324	719	49	318	15	14	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AA MLE	2 teams	—	188	164	33	5	1	1	18	31	4	0	1	201	299	262	561	61	236	16	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1866	1685	431	98	7	32	132	343	16	5	5	256	316	379	695	123	301	18	7	307	81	-13	-1	-13	+22	+40	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	149	34	2	11	46	119	6	2	2	254	315	375	689	121	299	18	7	307	81	-4	-0	-5	+8	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4549	4115	984	207	18	73	308	847	58	24	18	239	301	351	653	112	282	19	7	288	81	-13	-1	-13	+22	+40	3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	141	30	3	10	44	121	8	3	3	240	301	352	653	112	284	19	7	288	81	-4	-0	-5	+8	+14	1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAErie SeaWolves · 121 PAwOBA .341 → .271 (−70)K% 14.9% → 18.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.88%	÷0.959	×1.220	—	—	18.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.18%	÷1.077	×0.700	—	×0.940	11.10%
HBP% /PA	2.48%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	1.98%
Singles /BIP	23.68%	÷0.995	×0.970	×0.998	×0.940	21.65%
Doubles /BIP	3.95%	÷1.095	×0.860	×0.998	×0.940	2.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.074	×0.950	×0.998	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.63%	÷1.100	×0.780	—	×0.940	1.75%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 99, 2B 119, 3B 115, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .341 → .271; ISO .096 → .072; BABIP .280 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 67 PAwOBA .284 → .232 (−53)K% 10.4% → 12.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.45%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	12.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.45%	÷1.085	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.25%
HBP% /PA	1.49%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.32%
Singles /BIP	18.00%	÷0.988	×0.930	×1.005	×0.940	15.99%
Doubles /BIP	6.00%	÷1.083	×0.830	×1.005	×0.940	4.34%
Triples /BIP	2.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.005	×0.940	1.59%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.911	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 100, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .284 → .232; ISO .088 → .071; BABIP .255 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 19 PAwOBA .396 → .311 (−85)K% 10.5% → 14.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.53%	÷0.955	×1.290	—	—	14.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.05%	÷1.049	×0.710	—	×0.940	13.39%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.77%	÷1.008	×0.900	—	×0.940	25.83%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.982	×0.810	—	×0.940	5.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.078	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 91, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .396 → .311; ISO .067 → .055; BABIP .385 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARound Rock Express · 136 PAwOBA .320 → .252 (−68)K% 14.0% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.97%	÷0.978	×1.290	—	—	18.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.71%	÷0.984	×0.710	—	×0.942	9.99%
HBP% /PA	1.47%	—	×0.980	—	×0.942	1.36%
Singles /BIP	22.11%	÷1.056	×0.900	×1.050	×0.942	18.64%
Doubles /BIP	3.16%	÷1.009	×0.810	×1.050	×0.942	2.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.050	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.16%	÷0.915	×0.780	—	×0.942	2.54%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .320 → .252; ISO .105 → .085; BABIP .261 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 424 PAwOBA .396 → .314 (−83)K% 10.4% → 14.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.38%	÷0.898	×1.290	—	—	14.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.26%	÷0.927	×0.710	—	×0.952	8.94%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	1.54%
Singles /BIP	21.41%	÷1.006	×0.900	×1.016	×0.952	18.52%
Doubles /BIP	10.54%	÷1.068	×0.810	×1.016	×0.952	7.74%
Triples /BIP	1.28%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.016	×0.952	0.87%
Home runs /BIP	2.88%	÷0.996	×0.780	—	×0.952	2.14%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 80, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .396 → .314; ISO .190 → .141; BABIP .334 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAANorfolk Tides · 565 PAwOBA .268 → .221 (−47)K% 15.4% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.40%	÷0.956	×1.200	—	—	19.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.55%	÷0.966	×0.690	—	×0.962	4.50%
HBP% /PA	0.88%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.80%
Singles /BIP	19.11%	÷1.032	×0.930	×1.038	×0.962	17.21%
Doubles /BIP	4.90%	÷1.038	×0.830	×1.038	×0.962	3.91%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷1.127	×0.970	×1.038	×0.962	0.40%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷1.036	×0.840	—	×0.962	1.82%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 106, 2B 108, 3B 125, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .268 → .221; ISO .107 → .084; BABIP .249 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAARochester Red Wings · 258 PAwOBA .286 → .244 (−42)K% 15.9% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.89%	÷1.025	×1.200	—	—	18.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.43%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×0.972	3.45%
HBP% /PA	2.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	2.48%
Singles /BIP	18.32%	÷1.011	×0.930	×1.002	×0.972	16.42%
Doubles /BIP	7.33%	÷1.009	×0.830	×1.002	×0.972	5.87%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷0.903	×0.970	×1.002	×0.972	0.55%
Home runs /BIP	2.09%	÷0.944	×0.840	—	×0.972	1.81%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 81, K 105, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .286 → .244; ISO .121 → .104; BABIP .262 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAALouisville Bats · 422 PAwOBA .365 → .325 (−39)K% 20.1% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.14%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	24.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.77%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.018	6.16%
HBP% /PA	2.37%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	2.27%
Singles /BIP	25.18%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.025	×1.018	24.44%
Doubles /BIP	9.93%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.025	×1.018	8.60%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.025	×1.018	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	3.55%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.03%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .365 → .325; ISO .163 → .143; BABIP .364 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .