Grady Sizemore
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 28 | MLBCleveland Ind… | 295 | .224/.288/.422 | 10 | 0 | 95 | 0.0 | ||
| 2014 | 31 | AAAPHI | 51 | .283/.353/.370 | 1 | 0 | 69 | — | .250/.294/.333 | |
| 2014 | 31 | MLBPHI | 381 | .233/.300/.354 | 5 | 6 | 85 | -1.0 | ||
| 2015 | 32 | AAA/A+2 orgs | 44 | .244/.279/.341 | 0 | 0 | 38 | — | .214/.232/.285 | |
| 2015 | 32 | MLBTB | 296 | .253/.308/.381 | 6 | 3 | 95 | -0.7 | ||
| 2016 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2004 | 21 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 159 | 138 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 246 | 338 | 406 | 743 | 159 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +3 | 1.2 |
| 2005 | 22 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 706 | 640 | 185 | 37 | 11 | 22 | 52 | 132 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 289 | 349 | 484 | 833 | 195 | 334 | 19 | 7 | 363 | 131 | +26 | +0 | +10 | +3 | +15 | 5.5 |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 751 | 655 | 190 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 78 | 153 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 290 | 377 | 533 | 910 | 243 | 339 | 20 | 10 | 395 | 149 | +43 | +2 | +15 | +3 | +16 | 8.1 |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 748 | 628 | 174 | 34 | 5 | 24 | 101 | 155 | 17 | 33 | 10 | 277 | 391 | 462 | 853 | 185 | 333 | 21 | 14 | 381 | 138 | +34 | +3 | +3 | +3 | +16 | 5.9 |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 745 | 634 | 170 | 39 | 5 | 33 | 98 | 130 | 11 | 38 | 5 | 268 | 376 | 502 | 877 | 233 | 290 | 17 | 13 | 386 | 138 | +34 | +6 | +11 | +3 | +16 | 7.1 |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 503 | 436 | 108 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 60 | 92 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 248 | 344 | 445 | 789 | 197 | 275 | 18 | 12 | 349 | 121 | +13 | -1 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 140 | 128 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 78 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 256 | 62 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 295 | 268 | 60 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 85 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 224 | 288 | 422 | 709 | 198 | 284 | 29 | 6 | 311 | 95 | -2 | -1 | -5 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2011 | 28 | AA | Akron Aeros | — | 22 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 455 | 550 | 1.005 | 150 | 444 | 9 | 9 | 444 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 381 | 347 | 81 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 76 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 233 | 300 | 354 | 654 | 121 | 285 | 20 | 9 | 295 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -8 | -5 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 51 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 353 | 370 | 723 | 87 | 316 | 14 | 10 | 330 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 296 | 273 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 253 | 308 | 381 | 689 | 128 | 303 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -2 | -1 | -7 | -4 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 19 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 222 | 444 | 235 | 11 | 0 | 191 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 32 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 25 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 320 | 435 | 755 | 174 | 333 | 20 | 8 | 334 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 4724 | 4147 | 1098 | 252 | 47 | 150 | 483 | 952 | 67 | 143 | 47 | 265 | 351 | 457 | 808 | 192 | 309 | 20 | 10 | 357 | 128 | +155 | +10 | +20 | +6 | +102 | 29.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2004 | 21 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 159 | 138 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 246 | 338 | 406 | 743 | 159 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +3 | 1.2 |
| 2005 | 22 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 706 | 641 | 185 | 37 | 11 | 22 | 51 | 132 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 289 | 348 | 484 | 831 | 195 | 334 | 19 | 7 | 362 | 131 | +26 | +0 | +10 | +3 | +15 | 5.5 |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 751 | 663 | 190 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 70 | 153 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 366 | 526 | 892 | 240 | 339 | 20 | 9 | 388 | 149 | +43 | +2 | +15 | +3 | +16 | 8.1 |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 748 | 637 | 174 | 34 | 5 | 24 | 92 | 155 | 17 | 33 | 10 | 273 | 379 | 455 | 835 | 182 | 333 | 21 | 12 | 373 | 138 | +34 | +3 | +3 | +3 | +16 | 5.9 |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 745 | 648 | 170 | 39 | 5 | 33 | 84 | 130 | 11 | 38 | 5 | 262 | 357 | 491 | 847 | 228 | 290 | 17 | 11 | 373 | 138 | +34 | +6 | +11 | +3 | +16 | 7.1 |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 503 | 437 | 108 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 59 | 92 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 247 | 342 | 444 | 786 | 197 | 275 | 18 | 12 | 348 | 121 | +13 | -1 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 140 | 128 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 78 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 259 | 62 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 295 | 269 | 60 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 85 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 223 | 284 | 420 | 704 | 197 | 284 | 29 | 6 | 308 | 95 | -2 | -1 | -5 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2011 | 28 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 22 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 381 | 409 | 524 | 933 | 143 | 418 | 9 | 5 | 392 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 381 | 347 | 81 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 76 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 233 | 300 | 354 | 654 | 121 | 285 | 20 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -8 | -5 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 51 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 333 | 627 | 83 | 275 | 16 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 296 | 273 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 249 | 305 | 377 | 682 | 128 | 303 | 20 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -2 | -1 | -7 | -4 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2015 | 32 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 19 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 222 | 444 | 202 | 11 | 0 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 32 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 25 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 240 | 333 | 573 | 125 | 304 | 28 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2004 | 21 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 159 | 138 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 246 | 338 | 406 | 743 | 159 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +3 | 1.2 |
| 2004 | 21 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 159 | 138 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 246 | 338 | 406 | 743 | 159 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +3 | 1.2 |
| 2005 | 22 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 706 | 641 | 185 | 37 | 11 | 22 | 51 | 132 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 289 | 348 | 484 | 831 | 195 | 333 | 19 | 7 | 362 | 131 | +26 | +0 | +10 | +3 | +15 | 5.5 |
| 2005 | 22 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 706 | 640 | 185 | 37 | 11 | 22 | 52 | 132 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 289 | 349 | 484 | 833 | 195 | 334 | 19 | 7 | 363 | 131 | +26 | +0 | +10 | +3 | +15 | 5.5 |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 751 | 663 | 190 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 70 | 153 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 366 | 526 | 892 | 240 | 333 | 20 | 9 | 388 | 149 | +43 | +2 | +15 | +3 | +16 | 8.1 |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 751 | 655 | 190 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 78 | 153 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 290 | 377 | 533 | 910 | 243 | 339 | 20 | 10 | 395 | 149 | +43 | +2 | +15 | +3 | +16 | 8.1 |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 748 | 637 | 174 | 34 | 5 | 24 | 92 | 155 | 17 | 33 | 10 | 273 | 379 | 455 | 835 | 182 | 326 | 21 | 12 | 373 | 138 | +34 | +3 | +3 | +3 | +16 | 5.9 |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 748 | 628 | 174 | 34 | 5 | 24 | 101 | 155 | 17 | 33 | 10 | 277 | 391 | 462 | 853 | 185 | 333 | 21 | 14 | 381 | 138 | +34 | +3 | +3 | +3 | +16 | 5.9 |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 745 | 648 | 170 | 39 | 5 | 33 | 84 | 130 | 11 | 38 | 5 | 262 | 357 | 491 | 847 | 228 | 281 | 17 | 11 | 373 | 138 | +34 | +6 | +11 | +3 | +16 | 7.1 |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 745 | 634 | 170 | 39 | 5 | 33 | 98 | 130 | 11 | 38 | 5 | 268 | 376 | 502 | 877 | 233 | 290 | 17 | 13 | 386 | 138 | +34 | +6 | +11 | +3 | +16 | 7.1 |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 503 | 437 | 108 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 59 | 92 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 247 | 342 | 444 | 786 | 197 | 274 | 18 | 12 | 348 | 121 | +13 | -1 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 503 | 436 | 108 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 60 | 92 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 248 | 344 | 445 | 789 | 197 | 275 | 18 | 12 | 349 | 121 | +13 | -1 | -3 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 140 | 128 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 78 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 259 | 62 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 140 | 128 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 78 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 256 | 62 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 290 | 67 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 87 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 290 | 421 | 710 | 190 | 291 | 27 | 6 | 314 | 99 | -1 | -1 | -5 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 317 | 288 | 68 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 87 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 236 | 299 | 431 | 730 | 194 | 299 | 27 | 6 | 320 | 99 | -1 | -1 | -5 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 395 | 93 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 84 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 235 | 299 | 352 | 651 | 116 | 284 | 19 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -9 | +1 | -8 | -5 | +9 | -1.1 |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 432 | 393 | 94 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 83 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 239 | 306 | 356 | 662 | 117 | 289 | 19 | 9 | 299 | 83 | -9 | +1 | -8 | -5 | +9 | -1.1 |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 340 | 315 | 77 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 244 | 296 | 368 | 664 | 124 | 295 | 21 | 6 | 298 | 88 | -5 | -1 | -7 | -4 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 340 | 314 | 79 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 67 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 252 | 305 | 376 | 681 | 124 | 300 | 20 | 6 | 304 | 88 | -5 | -1 | -7 | -4 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2004 | 21 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 159 | 139 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 245 | 338 | 403 | 740 | 158 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 706 | 642 | 185 | 37 | 11 | 22 | 51 | 132 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 288 | 348 | 483 | 831 | 195 | 334 | 19 | 7 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 751 | 662 | 190 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 70 | 153 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 366 | 527 | 893 | 240 | 339 | 20 | 9 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 748 | 633 | 174 | 34 | 5 | 24 | 92 | 155 | 17 | 33 | 10 | 275 | 379 | 458 | 837 | 183 | 333 | 21 | 12 | 373 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 745 | 644 | 170 | 39 | 5 | 33 | 84 | 130 | 11 | 38 | 5 | 264 | 357 | 494 | 850 | 230 | 290 | 17 | 11 | 373 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 503 | 435 | 108 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 59 | 92 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 248 | 342 | 446 | 788 | 198 | 275 | 18 | 12 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 140 | 128 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 78 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 290 | 67 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 87 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 290 | 421 | 710 | 190 | 293 | 27 | 6 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 393 | 93 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 84 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 237 | 299 | 354 | 653 | 117 | 284 | 19 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 32 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 340 | 314 | 77 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 245 | 296 | 369 | 665 | 124 | 297 | 21 | 6 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4724 | 4147 | 1098 | 252 | 47 | 150 | 483 | 952 | 67 | 143 | 47 | 265 | 351 | 457 | 808 | 192 | 309 | 20 | 10 | 357 | 123 | +155 | +10 | +20 | +6 | +102 | 29.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 571 | 151 | 35 | 6 | 21 | 66 | 131 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 264 | 350 | 457 | 807 | 193 | 308 | 20 | 10 | 357 | 123 | +21 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +14 | 4.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4841 | 4292 | 1125 | 259 | 47 | 151 | 454 | 972 | 67 | 143 | 47 | 262 | 342 | 450 | 792 | 188 | 305 | 20 | 9 | 350 | 123 | +155 | +10 | +20 | +6 | +102 | 29.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 151 | 35 | 6 | 20 | 61 | 131 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 342 | 448 | 790 | 186 | 306 | 20 | 9 | 350 | 123 | +21 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +14 | 4.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 25 PAwOBA .325 → .263 (−62)K% 20.0% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.979 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.940 | 5.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 9.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.978 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.940 | 20.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.822 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .325 → .263; ISO .174 → .146; BABIP .333 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADurham Bulls · 19 PAwOBA .196 → .174 (−21)K% 10.5% → 12.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.148 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.942 | 21.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 105, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .196 → .174; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .235 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 51 PAwOBA .321 → .270 (−51)K% 13.7% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.73% | ÷1.050 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.21% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 24.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 2.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.136 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.922 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 2.22% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 127, K 110, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .270; ISO .087 → .075; BABIP .316 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAkron Aeros · 22 PAwOBA .433 → .392 (−41)K% 9.1% → 11.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.964 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 6.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.955 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.958 | 27.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.931 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 14.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 91, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .433 → .392; ISO .150 → .134; BABIP .444 → .418. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).