Zack Greinke
PosP
B/TR/R
Born1983-10-21
Age (2026)42
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 32 | 223 | 843 | 200 | 39 | 14 | 23.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.66 | 2.56 | +6.9 |
| 2016 | 32 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 28 | 167 | 705 | 144 | 40 | 25 | 20.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 3.87 | +2.7 |
| 2017 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 32 | 32 | 202 | 801 | 215 | 45 | 25 | 26.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.20 | 3.19 | +4.9 |
| 2018 | 34 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 33 | 33 | 208 | 839 | 199 | 40 | 28 | 23.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.21 | 3.62 | +4.0 |
| 2019 | 35 | MLB | Houston Astros | 33 | 33 | 209 | 810 | 187 | 28 | 21 | 23.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.93 | 2.97 | +5.5 |
| 2020 | 36 | MLB | Houston Astros | 12 | 12 | 67 | 273 | 67 | 9 | 6 | 24.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.03 | 2.67 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 37 | MLB | Houston Astros | 31 | 30 | 173 | 704 | 123 | 36 | 30 | 17.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.11 | 4.58 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 38 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 28 | 28 | 149 | 627 | 81 | 28 | 15 | 12.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.56 | 3.96 | +2.3 |
| 2023 | 39 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 30 | 27 | 142 | 593 | 97 | 23 | 25 | 16.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.06 | 4.44 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 42 | MLB | HOU | 20 | 20 | 109 | 460 | 77 | 31 | 15 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.74 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 43 | MLB | HOU | 18 | 18 | 100 | 423 | 67 | 30 | 14 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 4.92 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 259 | 255 | 1539 | 6195 | 1306 | 289 | 184 | 21.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.42 | 3.54 | +30.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 805 | 170 | 38 | 24 | 21.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.42 | 3.54 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zack Greinke (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.92 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 100 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Tim Hudson R 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.40 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 124 | 71 |
| Francisco Campos R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 42 | SP- | 4.76 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .303 | 4.00 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.95 | 332 | 63 |
| Walter Silva R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 42 | SP- | 4.99 | 9.7% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 428 | 59 |
| Rafael Diaz R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 44 | SW | 4.05 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .301 | 3.16 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 152 | -0.89 | 3.06 | 215 | 48 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 40 | SW | 4.46 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 164 | 47 |
| Jose Valverde R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 41 | SU | 5.46 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.20 | 122 | 36 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 42 | SP | 4.51 | 16.7% | 7.9% | 3.3% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 574 | 34 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.89 | 23.3% | 12.9% | 2.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 295 | 33 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 42 | SP | 3.68 | 16.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | .302 | 4.48 | 14.5% | 10.2% | 481 | +0.80 | 3.68 | 676 | 30 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 42 | SU | 5.22 | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 375 | 30 |
| Jason Grilli R 2024 · 5.70 FIP | 40 | SU | 5.70 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.03 | 133 | 29 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 41 | SU | 4.55 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.5% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 9 |