Zack Greinke

PosP

B/TR/R

Born1983-10-21

Age (2026)42

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	32	32	223	843	200	39	14	100%	7.0	23.7%	4.6%	19.1%	1.6%	1.66	2.56	+6.8
2015	31	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	32	32	223	843	200	39	14	100%	7.0	23.7%	4.6%	19.1%	1.7%	1.66	2.65	+6.5
2016	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	28	167	705	144	40	25	100%	6.0	20.1%	5.7%	14.4%	3.4%	4.43	4.00	+1.8
2016	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	28	167	705	144	40	25	100%	6.0	20.4%	5.7%	14.8%	3.5%	4.43	4.04	+1.7
2017	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	32	32	202	801	215	45	25	100%	6.3	26.8%	5.6%	21.2%	3.1%	3.20	3.24	+4.2
2017	33	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	32	32	202	801	215	45	25	100%	6.3	26.8%	5.6%	21.2%	3.1%	3.20	3.25	+4.2
2018	34	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	33	33	208	839	199	40	28	100%	6.3	23.7%	4.8%	19.0%	3.5%	3.21	3.64	+3.2
2018	34	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	33	33	208	839	199	40	28	100%	6.3	23.7%	4.8%	19.0%	3.3%	3.21	3.51	+3.5
2019	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	33	33	209	810	187	28	21	100%	6.3	23.1%	3.5%	19.6%	2.7%	2.93	3.05	+4.9
2019	35	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	33	33	209	810	187	28	21	100%	6.3	23.1%	3.5%	19.6%	2.6%	2.93	3.02	+5.0
2020	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	12	12	67	273	67	9	6	100%	5.6	24.5%	3.3%	21.2%	2.3%	4.03	2.69	+1.9
2020	36	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	12	12	67	273	67	9	6	100%	5.6	24.5%	3.3%	21.2%	2.2%	4.03	2.67	+1.9
2021	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	30	173	704	123	36	30	97%	5.6	17.2%	5.2%	12.1%	4.4%	4.11	4.73	+0.3
2021	37	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	30	173	704	123	36	30	97%	5.6	17.5%	5.1%	12.4%	4.3%	4.11	4.56	+0.7
2022	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	149	627	81	28	15	100%	5.3	12.5%	4.6%	7.9%	2.6%	3.56	4.05	+1.5
2022	38	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	149	627	81	28	15	100%	5.3	12.9%	4.5%	8.5%	2.4%	3.56	3.89	+1.8
2023	39	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	30	27	142	593	97	23	25	90%	4.7	16.4%	3.9%	12.5%	4.6%	5.06	4.71	+0.3
2023	39	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	30	27	142	593	97	23	25	90%	4.7	16.4%	3.9%	12.5%	4.6%	5.06	4.71	+0.3
2023	39	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	30	27	142	593	97	23	25	90%	4.7	16.4%	3.9%	12.5%	4.2%	5.06	4.51	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			254	250	1517	6108	1292	285	186	98%	6.0	21.2%	4.7%	16.5%	3.0%	3.42	3.55	+24.9
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	42	MLB	KC	1	1	9	38	7	3	1	100%	9.0	18.4%	6.8%	11.5%	3.4%	4.60	4.67	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	43	MLB MLE	KC	16	16	94	396	68	30	15	100%	5.9	17.2%	7.5%	9.7%	3.9%	4.90	5.10	-0.2
2027	43	MLB CTX	KC	16	16	94	397	68	30	14	100%	5.9	17.2%	7.5%	9.7%	3.6%	4.74	4.94	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		270	266	1611	6504	1360	315	200	99%	6.0	20.9%	4.8%	16.1%	3.1%	3.50	3.64	+24.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	807	169	39	25	99%	6.0	20.9%	4.8%	16.1%	3.1%	3.50	3.64	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		259	255	1539	6195	1306	289	194	98%	5.9	21.1%	4.7%	16.4%	3.1%	3.42	3.63	+24.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		34	33	200	805	170	38	25	98%	5.9	21.1%	4.7%	16.4%	3.1%	3.42	3.63	+3.1

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zack Greinke (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	18.4%	6.8%	3.4%	—	5.10	17.2%	9.7%	94	+0.43	—	—	—
Tim Hudson R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	40	SP	4.41	12.2%	6.9%	2.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	124	66
Jose Contreras R 2015 · 3.55 FIP	43	SP	3.55	20.2%	8.3%	2.0%	.263	2.96	20.5%	13.4%	57	-0.59	2.96	111	61
Francisco Campos R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	42	SP	4.77	11.5%	7.9%	3.0%	.303	4.08	12.2%	7.0%	197	-0.69	4.06	332	59
Walter Silva R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	42	SP	5.03	9.7%	8.8%	3.0%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	428	55
Bartolo Colon R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	42	SP	3.67	16.7%	2.3%	3.1%	.302	4.60	14.5%	10.2%	481	+0.93	3.67	676	53
R.A. Dickey R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	42	SP	4.44	16.7%	7.9%	3.2%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	574	51
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	0

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	101	17.8%	7.2%	1.40	4.74
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37
Daniel Mengden ('19)	1.5	73	17.3%	7.7%	1.24	4.68
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Alec Mills ('21)	1.1	72	19.0%	6.9%	1.41	4.51
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58

Zack Greinke

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps