Jeff Baker
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 32 | MLBTEX | 175 | .279/.362/.545 | 11 | 1 | 140 | 0.8 | |
| 2014 | 33 | MLBMIA | 225 | .264/.311/.394 | 3 | 1 | 101 | -0.4 | |
| 2015 | 34 | MLBMIA | 80 | .208/.288/.375 | 3 | 0 | 94 | -0.4 | |
| 2016 | 35 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2017 | 36 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2018 | 37 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2019 | 38 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2020 | 39 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2021 | 40 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2022 | 41 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2023 | 42 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2024 | 43 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2025 | 44 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2026 | 45 | No MLB games played | |||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 43 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 302 | 395 | 697 | 184 | 280 | 28 | 12 | 312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2005 | 24 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 248 | 228 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 303 | 351 | 513 | 864 | 211 | 335 | 18 | 6 | 374 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 58 | 57 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 368 | 379 | 825 | 1.204 | 456 | 421 | 24 | 2 | 511 | 232 | +9 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 538 | 482 | 147 | 30 | 4 | 20 | 46 | 110 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 305 | 371 | 508 | 880 | 203 | 357 | 20 | 9 | 384 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 159 | 144 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 296 | 347 | 643 | 125 | 280 | 25 | 8 | 292 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 27 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 259 | 385 | 644 | 154 | 294 | 30 | 4 | 285 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 333 | 299 | 80 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 85 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 268 | 328 | 468 | 796 | 201 | 327 | 26 | 8 | 344 | 116 | +6 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 248 | 226 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 288 | 346 | 425 | 770 | 137 | 357 | 21 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +5 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +5 | 1.7 |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 27 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 333 | 435 | 768 | 217 | 211 | 11 | 15 | 343 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 224 | 206 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 327 | 413 | 740 | 141 | 340 | 22 | 7 | 329 | 107 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 212 | 201 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 303 | 383 | 686 | 114 | 333 | 22 | 5 | 305 | 91 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 201 | 188 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 239 | 281 | 378 | 659 | 138 | 297 | 24 | 5 | 290 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 175 | 154 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 279 | 362 | 545 | 908 | 266 | 333 | 27 | 10 | 394 | 140 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 225 | 208 | 55 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 311 | 394 | 705 | 130 | 331 | 23 | 6 | 310 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 80 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 287 | 375 | 662 | 167 | 273 | 31 | 10 | 298 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1958 | 1793 | 474 | 108 | 15 | 54 | 139 | 472 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 264 | 320 | 432 | 752 | 167 | 327 | 24 | 7 | 331 | 110 | +23 | +2 | -17 | -22 | +42 | 3.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 24 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 43 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 302 | 395 | 697 | 184 | 280 | 28 | 12 | 312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2005 | 24 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 248 | 232 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 298 | 427 | 725 | 168 | 305 | 23 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 58 | 57 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 368 | 379 | 825 | 1.204 | 456 | 421 | 24 | 2 | 511 | 232 | +9 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 538 | 496 | 126 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 142 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 254 | 306 | 411 | 717 | 157 | 318 | 26 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 159 | 145 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 289 | 345 | 634 | 124 | 280 | 25 | 8 | 287 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 27 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 222 | 346 | 568 | 154 | 261 | 37 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 333 | 301 | 80 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 85 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 266 | 322 | 465 | 787 | 199 | 327 | 26 | 7 | 339 | 116 | +6 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 248 | 226 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 288 | 346 | 425 | 770 | 137 | 357 | 21 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +5 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +5 | 1.7 |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 27 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 296 | 417 | 713 | 208 | 176 | 15 | 11 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 224 | 206 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 327 | 413 | 740 | 141 | 340 | 22 | 7 | 326 | 107 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 212 | 201 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 303 | 383 | 686 | 114 | 333 | 22 | 5 | 302 | 91 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 201 | 189 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 233 | 271 | 365 | 636 | 132 | 297 | 24 | 5 | 286 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 175 | 155 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 277 | 356 | 542 | 898 | 265 | 333 | 27 | 10 | 375 | 140 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 225 | 209 | 57 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 315 | 407 | 722 | 134 | 331 | 23 | 5 | 318 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 80 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 287 | 375 | 662 | 167 | 273 | 31 | 10 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2005 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 270 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 69 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 299 | 422 | 721 | 170 | 304 | 24 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 291 | 266 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 56 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 289 | 344 | 496 | 840 | 207 | 328 | 19 | 7 | 365 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 553 | 147 | 31 | 5 | 21 | 33 | 156 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 266 | 313 | 454 | 767 | 188 | 332 | 26 | 6 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 596 | 539 | 168 | 37 | 6 | 25 | 47 | 124 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 312 | 372 | 542 | 914 | 230 | 363 | 21 | 8 | 396 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 171 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 280 | 345 | 625 | 129 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 186 | 170 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 290 | 353 | 643 | 129 | 282 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 73 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 333 | 301 | 80 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 85 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 266 | 322 | 465 | 787 | 199 | 324 | 26 | 7 | 339 | 116 | +6 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB RAW | Colorado Rockies | — | 333 | 299 | 80 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 85 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 268 | 328 | 468 | 796 | 201 | 327 | 26 | 8 | 344 | 116 | +6 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 250 | 70 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 280 | 341 | 424 | 765 | 144 | 342 | 21 | 8 | 334 | 112 | +4 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 275 | 249 | 70 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 281 | 344 | 426 | 770 | 145 | 342 | 20 | 8 | 341 | 112 | +4 | +0 | +5 | +1 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 224 | 206 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 327 | 413 | 740 | 141 | 340 | 22 | 7 | 326 | 107 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | — | 224 | 206 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 327 | 413 | 740 | 141 | 340 | 22 | 7 | 329 | 107 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +1 | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 212 | 201 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 303 | 383 | 686 | 114 | 333 | 22 | 5 | 302 | 91 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | — | 212 | 201 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 303 | 383 | 686 | 114 | 333 | 22 | 5 | 305 | 91 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 201 | 189 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 233 | 271 | 365 | 636 | 132 | 288 | 24 | 5 | 286 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | — | 201 | 188 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 239 | 281 | 378 | 659 | 138 | 297 | 24 | 5 | 290 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 175 | 155 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 277 | 356 | 542 | 898 | 265 | 330 | 27 | 10 | 375 | 140 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 175 | 154 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 279 | 362 | 545 | 908 | 266 | 333 | 27 | 10 | 394 | 140 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 225 | 209 | 57 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 315 | 407 | 722 | 134 | 342 | 23 | 5 | 318 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 225 | 208 | 55 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 311 | 394 | 705 | 130 | 331 | 23 | 6 | 310 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 80 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 287 | 375 | 662 | 167 | 273 | 31 | 10 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 80 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 287 | 375 | 662 | 167 | 273 | 31 | 10 | 298 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2005 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 271 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 69 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 251 | 299 | 421 | 719 | 170 | 301 | 24 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 553 | 147 | 31 | 5 | 21 | 33 | 156 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 266 | 313 | 454 | 767 | 188 | 328 | 26 | 6 | 330 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 169 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 280 | 349 | 629 | 130 | 277 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 333 | 305 | 80 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 85 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 262 | 322 | 459 | 781 | 197 | 327 | 26 | 7 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 250 | 70 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 280 | 341 | 424 | 765 | 144 | 339 | 21 | 8 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 224 | 205 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 327 | 415 | 742 | 141 | 340 | 22 | 7 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 212 | 200 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 303 | 385 | 688 | 115 | 333 | 22 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 201 | 189 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 233 | 271 | 365 | 636 | 132 | 297 | 24 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 175 | 154 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 279 | 356 | 545 | 902 | 266 | 333 | 27 | 10 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 225 | 210 | 57 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 315 | 405 | 720 | 133 | 331 | 23 | 5 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 80 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 287 | 375 | 662 | 167 | 273 | 31 | 10 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1958 | 1793 | 474 | 108 | 15 | 54 | 139 | 472 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 264 | 320 | 432 | 752 | 167 | 327 | 24 | 7 | 331 | 104 | +23 | +2 | -17 | -22 | +42 | 3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 158 | 36 | 5 | 18 | 46 | 157 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 266 | 321 | 434 | 755 | 168 | 329 | 24 | 7 | 331 | 104 | +8 | +1 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2798 | 2577 | 671 | 148 | 19 | 80 | 181 | 685 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 260 | 313 | 426 | 738 | 165 | 322 | 24 | 6 | 322 | 104 | +23 | +2 | -17 | -22 | +42 | 3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 155 | 34 | 4 | 19 | 42 | 159 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 259 | 311 | 424 | 735 | 165 | 319 | 24 | 6 | 322 | 104 | +8 | +1 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2009 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 27 PAwOBA .334 → .265 (−69)K% 11.1% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 10.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.992 | 8.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.87% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .334 → .265; ISO .217 → .173; BABIP .211 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 27 PAwOBA .276 → .210 (−66)K% 29.6% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 38.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 2.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.41% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .276 → .210; ISO .154 → .109; BABIP .294 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 538 PAwOBA .375 → .311 (−64)K% 20.4% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 23.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 4.33% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .375 → .311; ISO .203 → .160; BABIP .357 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 248 PAwOBA .367 → .311 (−56)K% 17.7% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.74% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 4.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.003 | ×1.048 | 21.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.048 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.048 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 4.44% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .367 → .311; ISO .211 → .169; BABIP .335 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).