Brandon Phillips

Pos2B

B/TR/R

Born1981-06-28

Age (2027)46

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	36	MLBLAA	604	.285/.319/.416	13	11	107	1.4
2018	37	AAAPawtucket Red…	161	.302/.350/.477	4	1	69	—	.235/.269/.340
2018	37	MLBBOS	27	.130/.259/.261	1	0	54	-0.2
2019	38	AAADiablos Rojos…	147	.267/.333/.420	3	0	45	—	.193/.243/.289
2020	39	No MLB games played
2021	40	No MLB games played
2022	41	No MLB games played
2023	42	No MLB games played
2024	43	No MLB games played
2025	44	No MLB games played
2026	45	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2016-2018

xwOBA37

Speed23

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2002	21	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	36	31	8	3	1	0	3	6	1	0	0	258	343	419	762	161	320	17	8	331	110	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2003	22	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	393	370	77	18	1	6	14	77	3	4	5	208	243	311	554	103	247	20	4	245	52	-22	-1	+5	+1	+9	-0.9
2004	23	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	24	22	4	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	182	250	273	523	91	235	21	8	241	49	-1	-1	-1	+0	+1	-0.3
2005	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	513	460	119	24	1	15	39	90	10	7	5	259	330	413	743	154	291	18	8	331	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	587	536	148	28	1	17	35	88	6	25	2	276	328	427	755	151	300	15	6	331	107	+5	+4	-1	+2	+13	2.4
2007	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	702	650	187	26	6	30	33	109	12	32	8	288	334	485	818	197	304	16	5	357	125	+21	+3	+20	+3	+15	6.3
2008	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	609	559	146	24	7	21	39	93	5	23	10	261	315	442	757	181	277	15	6	331	106	+4	+1	+14	+2	+13	3.5
2009	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	644	584	161	30	5	20	44	75	6	25	9	276	333	447	780	171	284	12	7	340	114	+11	+1	+6	+2	+14	3.6
2010	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	687	626	172	33	5	18	46	83	8	16	12	275	332	430	762	155	293	12	7	336	109	+8	-2	+10	+2	+15	3.5
2011	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	675	610	183	38	2	18	44	85	9	14	9	300	355	457	813	157	322	13	7	355	121	+17	-1	+13	+2	+15	4.8
2012	31	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	580	163	30	1	18	28	79	8	15	2	281	323	429	752	148	298	13	4	331	105	+4	+2	+10	+2	+13	3.3
2013	32	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	666	606	158	24	2	18	39	98	8	5	3	261	314	396	710	135	281	15	6	312	89	-8	-0	+13	+2	+14	2.1
2014	33	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	499	462	123	25	0	8	23	74	6	2	3	266	310	372	682	106	298	15	5	302	87	-7	-1	+7	+2	+11	1.2
2015	34	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	588	173	19	2	12	27	68	4	23	3	294	330	395	724	100	315	11	4	323	101	+1	+3	+2	+2	+13	2.3
2016	35	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	584	550	160	34	1	11	18	68	8	14	8	291	323	416	739	125	312	12	3	325	102	+1	-0	-11	+2	+13	0.5
2017	36	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	604	572	163	34	1	13	21	73	8	11	8	285	319	416	736	131	308	12	3	326	107	+5	-1	-6	+2	+13	1.4
2018	37	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	27	23	3	0	0	1	4	7	0	0	0	130	259	261	520	130	133	26	15	247	54	-1	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
2018	37	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	161	149	45	14	0	4	9	26	2	1	1	302	350	477	827	174	342	16	6	363	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	38	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	147	131	35	11	0	3	10	16	3	0	0	267	333	420	753	153	278	11	7	330	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	7983	7369	2029	368	35	211	420	1088	92	209	84	275	322	421	743	145	296	14	5	327	107	+70	+8	+82	+29	+173	36.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2002	21	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	36	31	8	3	1	0	3	6	1	0	0	258	343	419	762	161	320	17	8	331	110	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2003	22	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	393	370	77	18	1	6	14	77	3	4	5	208	243	311	554	103	247	20	4	245	52	-22	-1	+5	+1	+9	-0.9
2004	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	24	22	4	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	182	250	273	523	91	235	21	8	241	49	-1	-1	-1	+0	+1	-0.3
2005	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	513	471	112	21	1	13	28	108	10	7	5	238	295	369	664	132	278	21	5	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	587	539	148	28	1	17	32	88	6	25	2	275	322	425	747	150	300	15	5	327	107	+5	+4	-1	+2	+13	2.4
2007	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	702	654	187	26	6	30	29	109	12	32	8	286	328	482	810	196	304	16	4	353	125	+21	+3	+20	+3	+15	6.3
2008	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	609	565	146	24	7	21	33	93	5	23	10	258	305	437	742	179	277	15	5	324	106	+4	+1	+14	+2	+13	3.5
2009	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	644	587	161	30	5	20	41	75	6	25	9	274	328	445	773	170	284	12	6	337	114	+11	+1	+6	+2	+14	3.6
2010	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	687	627	171	34	5	17	45	83	8	16	12	273	329	424	754	152	293	12	7	330	109	+8	-2	+10	+2	+15	3.5
2011	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	675	614	182	39	2	17	41	85	9	14	9	296	349	450	799	153	322	13	6	347	121	+17	-1	+13	+2	+15	4.8
2012	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	582	162	31	1	17	26	79	8	15	2	278	318	423	741	144	298	13	4	324	105	+4	+2	+10	+2	+13	3.3
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	666	612	156	24	2	17	33	98	8	5	3	255	302	384	686	129	281	15	5	300	89	-8	-0	+13	+2	+14	2.1
2014	33	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	499	463	122	25	0	7	22	74	6	2	3	263	305	363	668	99	298	15	4	297	87	-7	-1	+7	+2	+11	1.2
2015	34	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	589	171	19	2	11	26	68	4	23	3	290	325	385	710	95	315	11	4	317	101	+1	+3	+2	+2	+13	2.3
2016	35	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	584	553	159	35	1	10	15	68	8	14	8	288	316	409	725	121	312	12	3	318	102	+1	-0	-11	+2	+13	0.5
2017	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	604	573	164	35	1	13	20	73	8	11	8	286	319	419	738	133	308	12	3	327	107	+5	-1	-6	+2	+13	1.4
2018	37	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	27	23	3	0	0	1	4	7	0	0	0	130	259	261	520	130	133	26	15	248	54	-1	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
2018	37	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	161	153	36	10	0	2	5	31	2	1	1	235	269	340	609	105	279	19	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	147	135	26	7	0	2	6	22	3	0	0	193	243	289	532	96	207	15	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2002	21	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	36	31	8	3	1	0	3	6	1	0	0	258	343	419	762	161	320	17	8	331	110	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2002	21	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	36	31	8	3	1	0	3	6	1	0	0	258	343	419	762	161	320	17	8	331	110	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2003	22	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	393	370	77	18	1	6	14	77	3	4	5	208	243	311	554	103	247	20	4	245	52	-22	-1	+5	+1	+9	-0.9
2003	22	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	393	370	77	18	1	6	14	77	3	4	5	208	243	311	554	103	247	20	4	245	52	-22	-1	+5	+1	+9	-0.9
2004	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	24	22	4	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	182	250	273	523	91	235	21	8	241	49	-1	-1	-1	+0	+1	-0.3
2004	23	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	24	22	4	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	182	250	273	523	91	235	21	8	241	49	-1	-1	-1	+0	+1	-0.3
2005	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	513	471	112	21	1	13	28	108	10	7	5	238	295	369	664	132	281	21	5	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	513	460	119	24	1	15	39	90	10	7	5	259	330	413	743	154	291	18	8	331	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	587	539	148	28	1	17	32	88	6	25	2	275	322	425	747	150	298	15	5	327	107	+5	+4	-1	+2	+13	2.4
2006	25	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	587	536	148	28	1	17	35	88	6	25	2	276	328	427	755	151	300	15	6	331	107	+5	+4	-1	+2	+13	2.4
2007	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	702	654	187	26	6	30	29	109	12	32	8	286	328	482	810	196	302	16	4	353	125	+21	+3	+20	+3	+15	6.3
2007	26	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	702	650	187	26	6	30	33	109	12	32	8	288	334	485	818	197	304	16	5	357	125	+21	+3	+20	+3	+15	6.3
2008	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	609	565	146	24	7	21	33	93	5	23	10	258	305	437	742	179	274	15	5	324	106	+4	+1	+14	+2	+13	3.5
2008	27	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	609	559	146	24	7	21	39	93	5	23	10	261	315	442	757	181	277	15	6	331	106	+4	+1	+14	+2	+13	3.5
2009	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	644	587	161	30	5	20	41	75	6	25	9	274	328	445	773	170	282	12	6	337	114	+11	+1	+6	+2	+14	3.6
2009	28	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	644	584	161	30	5	20	44	75	6	25	9	276	333	447	780	171	284	12	7	340	114	+11	+1	+6	+2	+14	3.6
2010	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	687	627	171	34	5	17	45	83	8	16	12	273	329	424	754	152	292	12	7	330	109	+8	-2	+10	+2	+15	3.5
2010	29	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	687	626	172	33	5	18	46	83	8	16	12	275	332	430	762	155	293	12	7	336	109	+8	-2	+10	+2	+15	3.5
2011	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	675	614	182	39	2	17	41	85	9	14	9	296	349	450	799	153	319	13	6	347	121	+17	-1	+13	+2	+15	4.8
2011	30	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	675	610	183	38	2	18	44	85	9	14	9	300	355	457	813	157	322	13	7	355	121	+17	-1	+13	+2	+15	4.8
2012	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	582	162	31	1	17	26	79	8	15	2	278	318	423	741	144	296	13	4	324	105	+4	+2	+10	+2	+13	3.3
2012	31	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	580	163	30	1	18	28	79	8	15	2	281	323	429	752	148	298	13	4	331	105	+4	+2	+10	+2	+13	3.3
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	666	612	156	24	2	17	33	98	8	5	3	255	302	384	686	129	275	15	5	300	89	-8	-0	+13	+2	+14	2.1
2013	32	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	666	606	158	24	2	18	39	98	8	5	3	261	314	396	710	135	281	15	6	312	89	-8	-0	+13	+2	+14	2.1
2014	33	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	499	463	122	25	0	7	22	74	6	2	3	263	305	363	668	99	296	15	4	297	87	-7	-1	+7	+2	+11	1.2
2014	33	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	499	462	123	25	0	8	23	74	6	2	3	266	310	372	682	106	298	15	5	302	87	-7	-1	+7	+2	+11	1.2
2015	34	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	589	171	19	2	11	26	68	4	23	3	290	325	385	710	95	312	11	4	317	101	+1	+3	+2	+2	+13	2.3
2015	34	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	588	173	19	2	12	27	68	4	23	3	294	330	395	724	100	315	11	4	323	101	+1	+3	+2	+2	+13	2.3
2016	35	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	584	553	159	35	1	10	15	68	8	14	8	288	316	409	725	121	310	12	3	318	102	+1	-0	-11	+2	+13	0.5
2016	35	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	584	550	160	34	1	11	18	68	8	14	8	291	323	416	739	125	312	12	3	325	102	+1	-0	-11	+2	+13	0.5
2017	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	604	573	164	35	1	13	20	73	8	11	8	286	319	419	738	133	309	12	3	327	107	+5	-1	-6	+2	+13	1.4
2017	36	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	604	572	163	34	1	13	21	73	8	11	8	285	319	416	736	131	308	12	3	326	107	+5	-1	-6	+2	+13	1.4
2018	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	188	176	39	10	0	3	9	38	2	1	1	222	267	330	597	108	265	20	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	37	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	188	172	48	14	0	5	13	33	2	1	1	279	337	448	785	169	319	18	7	347	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	147	135	26	7	0	2	6	22	3	0	0	193	243	289	532	96	211	15	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	38	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	147	131	35	11	0	3	10	16	3	0	0	267	333	420	753	153	278	11	7	330	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2002	21	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	36	32	8	3	1	0	3	6	1	0	0	250	343	406	749	156	320	17	8	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2003	22	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	393	373	77	18	1	6	14	77	3	4	5	206	243	308	551	102	247	20	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	24	22	4	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	2	182	250	273	523	91	235	21	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	513	470	112	21	1	13	28	108	10	7	5	238	295	370	665	132	278	21	5	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	587	544	148	28	1	17	32	88	6	25	2	272	322	421	743	149	300	15	5	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	702	655	187	26	6	30	29	109	12	32	8	285	328	481	809	195	304	16	4	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	609	566	146	24	7	21	33	93	5	23	10	258	305	436	742	178	277	15	5	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	644	592	161	30	5	20	41	75	6	25	9	272	328	441	769	169	284	12	6	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	687	629	171	34	5	17	45	83	8	16	12	272	329	423	752	151	293	12	7	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	675	620	182	39	2	17	41	85	9	14	9	294	349	445	795	152	322	13	6	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	584	162	31	1	17	26	79	8	15	2	277	318	421	739	144	298	13	4	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	666	620	156	24	2	17	33	98	8	5	3	252	302	379	681	127	281	15	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	33	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	499	468	122	25	0	7	22	74	6	2	3	261	305	359	664	98	298	15	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	623	588	171	19	2	11	26	68	4	23	3	291	325	386	711	95	315	11	4	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	35	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	584	556	159	35	1	10	15	68	8	14	8	286	316	406	722	121	312	12	3	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	604	571	164	35	1	13	20	73	8	11	8	287	319	420	740	133	308	12	3	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	188	175	39	10	0	3	9	38	2	1	1	223	267	331	599	109	258	20	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	147	137	26	7	0	2	6	22	3	0	0	190	243	285	528	95	207	15	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7983	7369	2029	368	35	211	420	1088	92	209	84	275	322	421	743	145	296	14	5	327	101	+70	+8	+82	+29	+173	36.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	165	30	3	17	34	89	7	17	7	275	321	420	741	145	297	14	5	327	101	+6	+1	+7	+2	+14	3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	8804	8163	2195	411	36	221	425	1249	107	217	90	269	314	409	723	140	292	14	5	317	101	+70	+8	+82	+29	+173	36.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	162	30	3	16	31	92	8	16	7	269	313	408	721	139	292	14	5	317	101	+6	+1	+7	+2	+14	3.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 147 PAwOBA .328 → .234 (−94)K% 10.9% → 15.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.88%	÷0.871	×1.200	—	—	14.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.80%	÷1.035	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.26%
HBP% /PA	2.04%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.80%
Singles /BIP	18.26%	÷1.013	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	14.97%
Doubles /BIP	9.57%	÷1.185	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	5.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.61%	÷1.116	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.54%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 74, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .328 → .234; ISO .153 → .094; BABIP .278 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 161 PAwOBA .355 → .270 (−86)K% 16.1% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.15%	÷0.994	×1.200	—	—	19.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.59%	÷1.082	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.35%
HBP% /PA	1.24%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.10%
Singles /BIP	21.95%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.002	×0.940	19.23%
Doubles /BIP	11.38%	÷1.067	×0.830	×1.002	×0.940	8.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.002	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.25%	÷1.342	×0.840	—	×0.940	1.91%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 168, 1B 100, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .355 → .270; ISO .174 → .116; BABIP .342 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAABuffalo Bisons · 513 PAwOBA .323 → .290 (−33)K% 17.5% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.54%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	21.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.60%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.048	5.50%
HBP% /PA	1.95%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.92%
Singles /BIP	21.35%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.009	×1.048	20.99%
Doubles /BIP	6.49%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.009	×1.048	5.69%
Triples /BIP	0.27%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.009	×1.048	0.28%
Home runs /BIP	4.05%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.048	3.57%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .323 → .290; ISO .154 → .135; BABIP .291 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).