Mario Valenzuela
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 38 | AAAGuerreros de … | 325 | .279/.359/.422 | 11 | 1 | 53 | — | .210/.266/.290 |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 149 | .338/.365/.556 | 8 | 1 | 80 | — | .268/.291/.407 |
| 2017 | 40 | AAAGuerreros de … | 356 | .263/.357/.409 | 9 | 1 | 61 | — | .215/.275/.307 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 28 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 403 | 367 | 132 | 17 | 1 | 31 | 20 | 73 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 360 | 408 | 665 | 1.073 | 305 | 375 | 18 | 5 | 457 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 240 | 250 | 490 | 42 | 278 | 23 | 4 | 215 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 345 | 320 | 113 | 13 | 1 | 26 | 21 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 353 | 398 | 644 | 1.042 | 291 | 377 | 19 | 6 | 450 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 371 | 338 | 102 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 302 | 364 | 470 | 834 | 169 | 326 | 15 | 8 | 371 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 182 | 170 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 382 | 420 | 618 | 1.038 | 235 | 412 | 14 | 5 | 451 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 298 | 261 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 326 | 407 | 609 | 1.017 | 284 | 340 | 16 | 11 | 439 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 259 | 231 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 37 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 281 | 349 | 511 | 860 | 229 | 283 | 14 | 8 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 294 | 254 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 21 | 35 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 374 | 454 | 689 | 1.143 | 315 | 402 | 18 | 12 | 486 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 245 | 224 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 298 | 433 | 731 | 192 | 258 | 20 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 422 | 375 | 134 | 23 | 0 | 22 | 35 | 65 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 357 | 422 | 595 | 1.017 | 237 | 384 | 15 | 8 | 439 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 120 | 103 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 328 | 359 | 687 | 136 | 237 | 17 | 10 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 170 | 152 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 369 | 467 | 836 | 164 | 383 | 24 | 9 | 368 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 166 | 149 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 315 | 378 | 450 | 828 | 134 | 415 | 25 | 8 | 366 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 325 | 287 | 80 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 279 | 359 | 422 | 781 | 143 | 324 | 20 | 10 | 350 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 128 | 121 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 364 | 394 | 595 | 989 | 231 | 398 | 17 | 5 | 429 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 21 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 190 | 333 | 524 | 143 | 188 | 19 | 0 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 40 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 356 | 308 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 357 | 409 | 766 | 146 | 316 | 21 | 12 | 343 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 28 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 403 | 373 | 112 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 87 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 300 | 343 | 512 | 855 | 212 | 330 | 22 | 3 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 240 | 250 | 490 | 42 | 248 | 27 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 345 | 328 | 91 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 77 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 277 | 311 | 470 | 781 | 192 | 311 | 22 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 371 | 350 | 86 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 288 | 357 | 646 | 111 | 280 | 18 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 182 | 173 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 324 | 354 | 491 | 845 | 168 | 356 | 17 | 4 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 298 | 274 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 300 | 420 | 719 | 179 | 264 | 20 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 294 | 267 | 76 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 285 | 344 | 476 | 819 | 191 | 320 | 21 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 422 | 391 | 107 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 77 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 274 | 319 | 427 | 746 | 153 | 301 | 18 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 170 | 158 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 268 | 310 | 578 | 82 | 317 | 32 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 166 | 155 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 280 | 329 | 610 | 90 | 334 | 32 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 325 | 300 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 210 | 266 | 290 | 556 | 80 | 259 | 25 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 128 | 123 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 291 | 407 | 698 | 138 | 310 | 22 | 3 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 40 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 356 | 326 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 275 | 307 | 582 | 92 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 403 | 373 | 112 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 87 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 300 | 343 | 512 | 855 | 212 | 336 | 22 | 3 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 403 | 367 | 132 | 17 | 1 | 31 | 20 | 73 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 360 | 408 | 665 | 1.073 | 305 | 375 | 18 | 5 | 457 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 240 | 250 | 490 | 42 | 294 | 27 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 240 | 250 | 490 | 42 | 278 | 23 | 4 | 215 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 345 | 328 | 91 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 77 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 277 | 311 | 470 | 781 | 192 | 315 | 22 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 345 | 320 | 113 | 13 | 1 | 26 | 21 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 353 | 398 | 644 | 1.042 | 291 | 377 | 19 | 6 | 450 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 371 | 350 | 86 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 288 | 357 | 646 | 111 | 279 | 18 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 371 | 338 | 102 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 302 | 364 | 470 | 834 | 169 | 326 | 15 | 8 | 371 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 182 | 173 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 324 | 354 | 491 | 845 | 168 | 365 | 17 | 4 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 182 | 170 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 382 | 420 | 618 | 1.038 | 235 | 412 | 14 | 5 | 451 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 510 | 123 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 35 | 113 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 241 | 299 | 420 | 719 | 178 | 268 | 20 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 557 | 492 | 150 | 30 | 2 | 31 | 53 | 84 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 305 | 380 | 563 | 943 | 258 | 312 | 15 | 10 | 408 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 539 | 489 | 139 | 19 | 1 | 24 | 40 | 115 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 343 | 474 | 818 | 190 | 326 | 21 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 539 | 478 | 149 | 22 | 1 | 33 | 51 | 101 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 312 | 383 | 569 | 952 | 257 | 334 | 19 | 9 | 410 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 500 | 138 | 23 | 0 | 18 | 25 | 99 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 276 | 325 | 430 | 755 | 154 | 309 | 18 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 542 | 478 | 157 | 25 | 0 | 26 | 47 | 85 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 328 | 401 | 544 | 945 | 215 | 352 | 16 | 9 | 411 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 170 | 159 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 268 | 308 | 576 | 82 | 327 | 32 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 170 | 152 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 369 | 467 | 836 | 164 | 383 | 24 | 9 | 368 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 166 | 155 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 280 | 329 | 610 | 90 | 347 | 32 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 166 | 149 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 315 | 378 | 450 | 828 | 134 | 415 | 25 | 8 | 366 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 325 | 300 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 210 | 266 | 290 | 556 | 80 | 265 | 25 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 325 | 287 | 80 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 279 | 359 | 422 | 781 | 143 | 324 | 20 | 10 | 350 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 144 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 284 | 389 | 673 | 125 | 312 | 21 | 3 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 149 | 142 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 338 | 365 | 556 | 921 | 218 | 367 | 17 | 4 | 401 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 40 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 356 | 326 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 275 | 307 | 582 | 92 | 278 | 25 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 40 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 356 | 308 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 357 | 409 | 766 | 146 | 316 | 21 | 12 | 343 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 403 | 376 | 112 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 87 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 298 | 343 | 508 | 851 | 210 | 330 | 22 | 3 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 26 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 240 | 240 | 480 | 40 | 248 | 27 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 345 | 326 | 91 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 77 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 311 | 472 | 783 | 193 | 311 | 22 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 371 | 347 | 86 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 248 | 288 | 360 | 649 | 112 | 280 | 18 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 182 | 172 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 326 | 354 | 494 | 848 | 169 | 356 | 17 | 4 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 510 | 123 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 35 | 113 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 241 | 299 | 420 | 719 | 178 | 264 | 20 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 539 | 490 | 139 | 19 | 1 | 24 | 40 | 115 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 343 | 473 | 817 | 190 | 320 | 21 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 501 | 138 | 23 | 0 | 18 | 25 | 99 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 275 | 325 | 429 | 754 | 154 | 301 | 18 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 170 | 159 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 268 | 308 | 576 | 82 | 317 | 32 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 166 | 156 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 280 | 327 | 607 | 90 | 334 | 32 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 325 | 299 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 211 | 266 | 291 | 557 | 80 | 259 | 25 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 144 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 284 | 389 | 673 | 125 | 310 | 21 | 3 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 40 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 356 | 326 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 275 | 307 | 582 | 92 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4131 | 3831 | 994 | 152 | 7 | 135 | 215 | 904 | 49 | 24 | 21 | 259 | 307 | 409 | 716 | 149 | 305 | 22 | 5 | 310 | 96 | -21 | -4 | +0 | -44 | +90 | 2.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 156 | 24 | 1 | 21 | 34 | 142 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 259 | 307 | 406 | 713 | 148 | 304 | 22 | 5 | 310 | 96 | -3 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 356 PAwOBA .335 → .259 (−76)K% 20.8% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.79% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.24% | ÷1.085 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.50% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×0.940 | 21.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.940 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.135 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.940 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.121 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 98, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .335 → .259; ISO .146 → .099; BABIP .316 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 128 PAwOBA .420 → .296 (−124)K% 17.2% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.19% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.69% | ÷1.092 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.086 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 24.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.190 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.91% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 117, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .420 → .296; ISO .231 → .137; BABIP .398 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 325 PAwOBA .340 → .246 (−94)K% 20.0% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.54% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.48% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×0.940 | 22.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.940 | 2.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.244 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.62% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 112, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .340 → .246; ISO .143 → .081; BABIP .324 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 166 PAwOBA .356 → .260 (−96)K% 24.7% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.70% | ÷0.931 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.83% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.48% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×0.940 | 26.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.183 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×0.940 | 5.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.940 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.180 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.55% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 108, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .356 → .260; ISO .134 → .081; BABIP .415 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 170 PAwOBA .358 → .259 (−99)K% 24.1% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.12% | ÷0.920 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.24% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.93% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×0.940 | 25.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.01% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×0.940 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.50% | ÷1.277 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.32% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 96, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 84, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .358 → .259; ISO .164 → .093; BABIP .383 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 422 PAwOBA .429 → .323 (−106)K% 15.4% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.40% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.71% | ÷1.048 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 23.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.42% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 5.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.088 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.29% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .429 → .323; ISO .237 → .157; BABIP .384 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 294 PAwOBA .477 → .352 (−125)K% 17.7% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.69% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.56% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.71% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×0.940 | 25.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.180 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×0.940 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.940 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.40% | ÷1.104 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 6.19% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 136, 3B 130, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .477 → .352; ISO .315 → .199; BABIP .402 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 298 PAwOBA .427 → .309 (−118)K% 15.8% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.77% | ÷0.938 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.07% | ÷1.031 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.43% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×0.942 | 18.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.41% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.942 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.942 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.41% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 5.13% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 111, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .427 → .309; ISO .284 → .185; BABIP .340 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .