Luis Alfonso Garcia
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 36 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 488 | .253/.351/.372 | 13 | 0 | 70 | — | .223/.291/.330 |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 478 | .276/.380/.473 | 20 | 1 | 95 | — | .228/.302/.353 |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 111 | .250/.361/.446 | 5 | 0 | 95 | — | .208/.300/.340 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 26 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 331 | 301 | 74 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 246 | 308 | 445 | 753 | 199 | 267 | 20 | 8 | 329 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 270 | 229 | 81 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 32 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 354 | 448 | 646 | 1.094 | 293 | 341 | 11 | 12 | 470 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 377 | 329 | 110 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 334 | 416 | 517 | 933 | 182 | 363 | 12 | 12 | 410 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 342 | 290 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 354 | 400 | 754 | 148 | 270 | 15 | 13 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 419 | 340 | 115 | 20 | 0 | 21 | 68 | 61 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 338 | 457 | 582 | 1.039 | 244 | 357 | 15 | 16 | 449 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 295 | 249 | 75 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 44 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 408 | 602 | 1.011 | 301 | 309 | 18 | 15 | 436 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 219 | 185 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 380 | 427 | 807 | 151 | 297 | 15 | 14 | 359 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 106 | 85 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 368 | 400 | 768 | 188 | 237 | 21 | 20 | 351 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 339 | 289 | 91 | 17 | 0 | 22 | 46 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 412 | 602 | 1.015 | 287 | 337 | 19 | 14 | 437 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | INTL | Mexico | — | 232 | 205 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 316 | 400 | 716 | 171 | 257 | 21 | 11 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 488 | 426 | 116 | 19 | 0 | 26 | 57 | 76 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 272 | 360 | 500 | 860 | 228 | 274 | 16 | 12 | 376 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 135 | 119 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 289 | 328 | 617 | 134 | 220 | 19 | 11 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 415 | 357 | 93 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 54 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 359 | 392 | 751 | 132 | 287 | 16 | 13 | 339 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 73 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 210 | 300 | 258 | 558 | 48 | 245 | 19 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 366 | 307 | 88 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 66 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 287 | 398 | 463 | 861 | 176 | 326 | 18 | 15 | 384 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 112 | 99 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 318 | 505 | 823 | 263 | 224 | 16 | 10 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 62 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 367 | 451 | 818 | 196 | 250 | 16 | 11 | 355 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 49 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 354 | 439 | 793 | 195 | 250 | 16 | 12 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 331 | 311 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 256 | 363 | 619 | 148 | 247 | 24 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 270 | 243 | 75 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 309 | 373 | 519 | 892 | 210 | 307 | 13 | 7 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 377 | 344 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 291 | 349 | 430 | 780 | 140 | 323 | 15 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 342 | 307 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 64 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 283 | 319 | 602 | 104 | 236 | 19 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 419 | 369 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 73 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 357 | 455 | 813 | 176 | 301 | 17 | 9 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 219 | 200 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 105 | 254 | 19 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 339 | 304 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 31 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 323 | 438 | 761 | 188 | 279 | 22 | 9 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 488 | 449 | 99 | 16 | 0 | 19 | 34 | 95 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 277 | 383 | 660 | 163 | 233 | 19 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 415 | 376 | 84 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 79 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 291 | 330 | 621 | 106 | 250 | 19 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 366 | 329 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 86 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 302 | 353 | 655 | 125 | 275 | 23 | 9 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 62 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 300 | 340 | 640 | 132 | 210 | 19 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 331 | 311 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 256 | 363 | 619 | 148 | 252 | 24 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 331 | 301 | 74 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 246 | 308 | 445 | 753 | 199 | 267 | 20 | 8 | 329 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 270 | 243 | 75 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 309 | 373 | 519 | 892 | 210 | 313 | 13 | 7 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 270 | 229 | 81 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 32 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 354 | 448 | 646 | 1.094 | 293 | 341 | 11 | 12 | 470 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 377 | 344 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 291 | 349 | 430 | 780 | 140 | 327 | 15 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 377 | 329 | 110 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 334 | 416 | 517 | 933 | 182 | 363 | 12 | 12 | 410 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 342 | 307 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 64 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 283 | 319 | 602 | 104 | 244 | 19 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 342 | 290 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 354 | 400 | 754 | 148 | 270 | 15 | 13 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 714 | 635 | 176 | 30 | 0 | 27 | 66 | 124 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 277 | 352 | 452 | 804 | 175 | 304 | 17 | 9 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 714 | 589 | 190 | 30 | 1 | 42 | 112 | 115 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 323 | 436 | 591 | 1.027 | 268 | 338 | 16 | 16 | 444 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 219 | 200 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 105 | 261 | 19 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 219 | 185 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 380 | 427 | 807 | 151 | 297 | 15 | 14 | 359 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 106 | 85 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 368 | 400 | 768 | 188 | 237 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 106 | 85 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 368 | 400 | 768 | 188 | 237 | 21 | 20 | 351 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 512 | 128 | 21 | 0 | 25 | 53 | 124 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 324 | 438 | 761 | 188 | 281 | 22 | 9 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 571 | 494 | 138 | 25 | 0 | 31 | 71 | 113 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 373 | 518 | 891 | 239 | 303 | 20 | 12 | 390 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 623 | 573 | 126 | 20 | 0 | 24 | 44 | 121 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 278 | 380 | 658 | 161 | 236 | 19 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 623 | 545 | 139 | 26 | 0 | 29 | 72 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 344 | 462 | 806 | 207 | 263 | 16 | 12 | 355 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 438 | 97 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 93 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 293 | 322 | 614 | 100 | 254 | 19 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 419 | 106 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 60 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 253 | 351 | 372 | 723 | 119 | 281 | 16 | 12 | 327 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 429 | 99 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 112 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 304 | 361 | 665 | 131 | 277 | 23 | 9 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 478 | 406 | 112 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 65 | 84 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 276 | 380 | 473 | 853 | 197 | 301 | 18 | 14 | 377 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 111 | 97 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 278 | 299 | 577 | 103 | 213 | 20 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 111 | 92 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 361 | 446 | 807 | 196 | 250 | 16 | 12 | 352 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 331 | 311 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 256 | 363 | 619 | 148 | 247 | 24 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 270 | 243 | 75 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 309 | 373 | 519 | 892 | 210 | 307 | 13 | 7 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 377 | 343 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 349 | 431 | 781 | 140 | 323 | 15 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 342 | 310 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 64 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 283 | 316 | 599 | 103 | 236 | 19 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 714 | 635 | 176 | 30 | 0 | 27 | 66 | 124 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 277 | 352 | 452 | 804 | 175 | 301 | 17 | 9 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 219 | 201 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 287 | 333 | 620 | 104 | 254 | 19 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 510 | 128 | 21 | 0 | 25 | 53 | 124 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 324 | 439 | 763 | 188 | 279 | 22 | 9 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 623 | 572 | 126 | 20 | 0 | 24 | 44 | 121 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 278 | 381 | 659 | 161 | 233 | 19 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 441 | 97 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 93 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 293 | 320 | 612 | 100 | 250 | 19 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 430 | 99 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 112 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 304 | 360 | 664 | 130 | 275 | 23 | 9 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 111 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 278 | 293 | 571 | 101 | 210 | 20 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4630 | 4174 | 1017 | 159 | 4 | 152 | 382 | 894 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 244 | 312 | 393 | 705 | 149 | 273 | 19 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -48 | +1 | +0 | -83 | +100 | -3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 143 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 54 | 126 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 312 | 392 | 705 | 148 | 274 | 19 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 62 PAwOBA .358 → .276 (−81)K% 16.1% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.29% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 2.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.95% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 19.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.143 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 1.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.080 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.46% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 107, 2B 129, 3B 119, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .358 → .276; ISO .196 → .128; BABIP .250 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALeones de Yucatan · 366 PAwOBA .373 → .296 (−77)K% 18.0% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.03% | ÷0.924 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.66% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.90% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.009 | ×0.940 | 22.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.104 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×0.940 | 4.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.39% | ÷0.834 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.25% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 98, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 85, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .373 → .296; ISO .176 → .138; BABIP .326 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALeones de Yucatan · 415 PAwOBA .331 → .274 (−57)K% 15.9% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.29% | ÷0.949 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×0.940 | 21.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.78% | ÷0.935 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.940 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷0.849 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.20% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .331 → .274; ISO .132 → .108; BABIP .287 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 488 PAwOBA .366 → .288 (−79)K% 15.6% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.57% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.07% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 17.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.43% | ÷0.917 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.33% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 100, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .366 → .288; ISO .228 → .172; BABIP .274 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 339 PAwOBA .428 → .329 (−99)K% 18.9% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.88% | ÷1.039 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.57% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 9.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.11% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.56% | ÷1.140 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.78% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 6.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 108, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .428 → .329; ISO .287 → .196; BABIP .337 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 219 PAwOBA .346 → .279 (−67)K% 15.1% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.07% | ÷0.972 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.96% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 6.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.34% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.942 | 21.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.61% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.942 | 3.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.61% | ÷1.053 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 2.88% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 104, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .346 → .279; ISO .151 → .108; BABIP .297 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 419 PAwOBA .439 → .359 (−80)K% 14.6% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.56% | ÷1.006 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.56% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 9.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.52% | ÷1.009 | ×0.930 | ×0.998 | ×0.952 | 23.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.17% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×0.952 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.53% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 5.30% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 127, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .439 → .359; ISO .244 → .192; BABIP .357 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 342 PAwOBA .330 → .271 (−60)K% 15.5% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 8.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×0.972 | 19.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×0.972 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.87% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .330 → .271; ISO .148 → .112; BABIP .270 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .