Josh Hamilton
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 32 | MLBLAA | 636 | .250/.311/.432 | 21 | 4 | 104 | 0.0 | ||
| 2014 | 33 | MLBLAA | 381 | .263/.336/.414 | 10 | 3 | 105 | 0.3 | ||
| 2015 | 34 | AAA/AATEX | 59 | .357/.390/.518 | 1 | 0 | 89 | — | .278/.288/.401 | |
| 2015 | 34 | MLBTEX | 182 | .253/.294/.441 | 8 | 0 | 96 | -0.1 | ||
| 2016 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 44 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 45 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 337 | 298 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 65 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 292 | 370 | 554 | 924 | 262 | 315 | 19 | 10 | 400 | 151 | +21 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 2.9 |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 45 | 40 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 350 | 422 | 675 | 1.097 | 325 | 370 | 20 | 11 | 472 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 704 | 624 | 190 | 35 | 5 | 32 | 64 | 126 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 304 | 376 | 530 | 906 | 226 | 333 | 18 | 9 | 392 | 146 | +38 | +1 | -14 | +3 | +15 | 4.4 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 365 | 336 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 79 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 268 | 319 | 426 | 744 | 158 | 319 | 22 | 7 | 327 | 105 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +1 | +8 | 1.8 |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 32 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 281 | 321 | 603 | 143 | 238 | 22 | 12 | 274 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 571 | 518 | 186 | 40 | 3 | 32 | 43 | 95 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 359 | 413 | 633 | 1.047 | 274 | 390 | 17 | 8 | 450 | 176 | +52 | +1 | +7 | -6 | +12 | 6.8 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 538 | 487 | 145 | 31 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 93 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 298 | 352 | 536 | 888 | 238 | 317 | 17 | 7 | 380 | 124 | +15 | +1 | +2 | -6 | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 636 | 562 | 160 | 31 | 2 | 43 | 60 | 162 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 285 | 359 | 577 | 935 | 292 | 320 | 25 | 9 | 399 | 137 | +28 | -0 | -10 | +2 | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 636 | 576 | 144 | 32 | 5 | 21 | 47 | 158 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 311 | 432 | 743 | 182 | 303 | 25 | 7 | 325 | 104 | +3 | +1 | -10 | -7 | +14 | 0.0 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 381 | 338 | 89 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 108 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 263 | 336 | 414 | 750 | 151 | 350 | 28 | 8 | 331 | 105 | +2 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 182 | 170 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 294 | 441 | 736 | 188 | 312 | 29 | 5 | 320 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 38 | 37 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 289 | 351 | 641 | 81 | 370 | 26 | 3 | 286 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 21 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 526 | 571 | 842 | 1.414 | 316 | 562 | 10 | 10 | 608 | 206 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 4350 | 3909 | 1134 | 234 | 24 | 200 | 352 | 938 | 33 | 50 | 16 | 290 | 354 | 516 | 869 | 226 | 331 | 22 | 8 | 376 | 141 | +211 | +4 | -24 | -18 | +94 | 27.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 337 | 302 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 65 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 288 | 358 | 546 | 905 | 258 | 315 | 19 | 9 | 392 | 151 | +21 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 2.9 |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 45 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 293 | 356 | 537 | 892 | 244 | 340 | 24 | 9 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 704 | 633 | 190 | 35 | 5 | 32 | 55 | 126 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 300 | 363 | 523 | 885 | 223 | 333 | 18 | 8 | 383 | 146 | +38 | +1 | -14 | +3 | +15 | 4.4 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 365 | 338 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 79 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 266 | 313 | 423 | 736 | 157 | 319 | 22 | 6 | 323 | 105 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +1 | +8 | 1.8 |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 32 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 219 | 300 | 519 | 133 | 200 | 28 | 6 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 571 | 523 | 182 | 38 | 3 | 31 | 38 | 95 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 348 | 398 | 610 | 1.007 | 262 | 390 | 17 | 7 | 429 | 176 | +52 | +1 | +7 | -6 | +12 | 6.8 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 538 | 500 | 142 | 29 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 93 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 284 | 322 | 506 | 828 | 222 | 317 | 17 | 5 | 351 | 124 | +15 | +1 | +2 | -6 | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 636 | 575 | 156 | 29 | 2 | 41 | 47 | 162 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 271 | 332 | 543 | 874 | 271 | 320 | 25 | 7 | 371 | 137 | +28 | -0 | -10 | +2 | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 636 | 580 | 145 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 43 | 158 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 306 | 433 | 739 | 183 | 303 | 25 | 7 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | -10 | -7 | +14 | 0.0 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 381 | 343 | 90 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 108 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 262 | 325 | 414 | 739 | 152 | 350 | 28 | 7 | 324 | 105 | +2 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 182 | 170 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 294 | 441 | 736 | 188 | 312 | 29 | 5 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2015 | 34 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 38 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 211 | 263 | 474 | 53 | 300 | 34 | 0 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 429 | 650 | 1.079 | 250 | 448 | 10 | 5 | 472 | 206 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 343 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 22 | 33 | 76 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 289 | 358 | 545 | 903 | 257 | 312 | 20 | 9 | 392 | 152 | +23 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 3.4 |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 382 | 338 | 101 | 18 | 2 | 23 | 38 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 299 | 376 | 568 | 944 | 269 | 321 | 19 | 10 | 409 | 152 | +23 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 3.4 |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 704 | 633 | 190 | 35 | 5 | 32 | 55 | 126 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 300 | 363 | 523 | 885 | 223 | 326 | 18 | 8 | 383 | 146 | +38 | +1 | -14 | +3 | +15 | 4.4 |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 704 | 624 | 190 | 35 | 5 | 32 | 64 | 126 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 304 | 376 | 530 | 906 | 226 | 333 | 18 | 9 | 392 | 146 | +38 | +1 | -14 | +3 | +15 | 4.4 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 368 | 95 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 88 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 258 | 305 | 413 | 718 | 155 | 310 | 22 | 6 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +6 | +1 | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 397 | 364 | 95 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 86 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 261 | 316 | 418 | 733 | 157 | 312 | 22 | 7 | 323 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +6 | +1 | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 571 | 523 | 182 | 38 | 3 | 31 | 38 | 95 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 348 | 398 | 610 | 1.007 | 262 | 377 | 17 | 7 | 429 | 176 | +52 | +1 | +7 | -6 | +12 | 6.8 |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 571 | 518 | 186 | 40 | 3 | 32 | 43 | 95 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 359 | 413 | 633 | 1.047 | 274 | 390 | 17 | 8 | 450 | 176 | +52 | +1 | +7 | -6 | +12 | 6.8 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 538 | 500 | 142 | 29 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 93 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 284 | 322 | 506 | 828 | 222 | 300 | 17 | 5 | 351 | 124 | +15 | +1 | +2 | -6 | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 538 | 487 | 145 | 31 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 93 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 298 | 352 | 536 | 888 | 238 | 317 | 17 | 7 | 380 | 124 | +15 | +1 | +2 | -6 | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 636 | 575 | 156 | 29 | 2 | 41 | 47 | 162 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 271 | 332 | 543 | 874 | 271 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 371 | 137 | +28 | -0 | -10 | +2 | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 636 | 562 | 160 | 31 | 2 | 43 | 60 | 162 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 285 | 359 | 577 | 935 | 292 | 320 | 25 | 9 | 399 | 137 | +28 | -0 | -10 | +2 | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 636 | 580 | 145 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 43 | 158 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 306 | 433 | 739 | 183 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | -10 | -7 | +14 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Angels | — | 636 | 576 | 144 | 32 | 5 | 21 | 47 | 158 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 311 | 432 | 743 | 182 | 303 | 25 | 7 | 325 | 104 | +3 | +1 | -10 | -7 | +14 | 0.0 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 381 | 343 | 90 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 108 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 262 | 325 | 414 | 739 | 152 | 346 | 28 | 7 | 324 | 105 | +2 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Angels | — | 381 | 338 | 89 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 108 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 263 | 336 | 414 | 750 | 151 | 350 | 28 | 8 | 331 | 105 | +2 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 241 | 228 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 289 | 425 | 714 | 171 | 318 | 28 | 5 | 307 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 241 | 226 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 318 | 460 | 778 | 181 | 348 | 27 | 5 | 340 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 342 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 22 | 33 | 76 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 289 | 358 | 547 | 905 | 257 | 318 | 20 | 9 | 392 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 704 | 636 | 190 | 35 | 5 | 32 | 55 | 126 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 299 | 363 | 520 | 883 | 222 | 333 | 18 | 8 | 383 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 369 | 95 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 88 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 257 | 305 | 412 | 717 | 154 | 309 | 22 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 571 | 523 | 182 | 38 | 3 | 31 | 38 | 95 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 348 | 398 | 610 | 1.007 | 262 | 390 | 17 | 7 | 429 | 176 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 538 | 505 | 142 | 29 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 93 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 281 | 322 | 501 | 823 | 220 | 317 | 17 | 5 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 636 | 579 | 156 | 29 | 2 | 41 | 47 | 162 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 269 | 332 | 539 | 871 | 269 | 320 | 25 | 7 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 636 | 584 | 145 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 43 | 158 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 248 | 306 | 430 | 736 | 182 | 303 | 25 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 381 | 346 | 90 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 108 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 260 | 325 | 410 | 736 | 150 | 350 | 28 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 241 | 228 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 289 | 425 | 714 | 171 | 322 | 28 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4350 | 3909 | 1134 | 234 | 24 | 200 | 352 | 938 | 33 | 50 | 16 | 290 | 354 | 516 | 869 | 226 | 331 | 22 | 8 | 376 | 130 | +211 | +4 | -24 | -18 | +94 | 27.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 170 | 35 | 4 | 30 | 53 | 140 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 291 | 355 | 519 | 874 | 228 | 332 | 22 | 8 | 376 | 130 | +32 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 4.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4486 | 4093 | 1157 | 237 | 25 | 200 | 304 | 973 | 33 | 54 | 16 | 283 | 337 | 499 | 837 | 217 | 322 | 22 | 7 | 360 | 130 | +211 | +4 | -24 | -18 | +94 | 27.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 168 | 34 | 4 | 29 | 44 | 141 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 283 | 338 | 501 | 839 | 218 | 323 | 22 | 7 | 360 | 130 | +32 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 4.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAARound Rock Express · 38 PAwOBA .267 → .203 (−65)K% 26.3% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.940 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 8.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.184 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .203; ISO .081 → .057; BABIP .370 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 21 PAwOBA .590 → .472 (−118)K% 9.5% → 11.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.033 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 6.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 29.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.026 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.940 | 13.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.946 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 4.68% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .590 → .472; ISO .316 → .251; BABIP .562 → .448. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 32 PAwOBA .254 → .202 (−53)K% 21.9% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.992 | 8.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 7.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 3.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .202; ISO .143 → .114; BABIP .238 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAALouisville Bats · 45 PAwOBA .458 → .393 (−66)K% 20.0% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 27.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 2.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 11.03% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .458 → .393; ISO .325 → .275; BABIP .370 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).