Rafael Furcal

PosSS

B/TS/R

Born1977-10-24

Age (2027)49

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

A+LAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2012	34	MLBSTL	531	.264/.328/.346	5	12	90	1.0
2014	36	AA/A+2 orgs	84	.307/.381/.333	0	5	66	—	.256/.310/.281
2014	36	MLBMIA	37	.171/.216/.229	0	0	27	-0.1
2015	37	A+WSH	17	.188/.235/.250	0	0	0	—	.188/.235/.250
2016	38	No MLB games played
2017	39	No MLB games played
2018	40	No MLB games played
2019	41	No MLB games played
2020	42	No MLB games played
2021	43	No MLB games played
2022	44	No MLB games played
2023	45	No MLB games played
2024	46	No MLB games played
2025	47	No MLB games played
2026	48	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2000	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	542	455	134	20	4	4	73	80	3	40	14	295	395	382	778	88	349	15	13	350	123	+15	+2	+0	+6	+12	3.5
2001	23	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	359	324	89	19	0	4	24	56	1	22	6	275	327	370	697	96	315	16	7	306	92	-3	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2002	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	693	636	175	31	8	8	43	114	3	27	15	275	324	387	711	112	324	16	6	314	98	-1	-1	+0	+7	+15	2.1
2003	25	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	734	664	194	35	10	15	60	76	3	25	2	292	354	443	796	151	310	10	8	351	122	+20	+4	-1	+8	+16	4.7
2004	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	632	563	157	24	5	14	58	71	1	29	6	279	347	414	761	135	296	11	9	336	111	+8	+3	+0	+7	+14	3.3
2005	27	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	689	616	175	31	11	12	62	78	1	46	10	284	351	429	779	144	307	11	9	343	116	+13	+5	+11	+7	+15	5.3
2006	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	736	654	196	32	9	15	73	98	1	37	13	300	371	445	816	145	333	13	10	360	128	+25	+2	-2	+8	+16	4.9
2007	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	643	581	157	23	4	6	55	68	1	25	6	270	334	355	688	84	296	11	9	311	94	-4	+3	+6	+7	+14	2.5
2008	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	164	143	51	12	2	5	20	17	1	8	3	357	439	573	1.012	217	380	10	12	443	186	+17	+0	-1	+2	+4	2.2
2009	31	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	680	613	165	28	5	9	61	89	1	12	6	269	336	375	712	106	302	13	9	320	101	+1	+0	+12	+7	+15	3.6
2010	32	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	428	383	115	23	7	8	40	60	1	22	4	300	368	460	827	159	338	14	9	364	135	+18	+3	+8	+5	+9	4.4
2011	33	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	369	333	77	15	0	8	28	39	4	9	5	231	299	348	647	117	240	11	8	291	85	-7	-0	-2	+4	+8	0.4
2011	33	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	16	13	5	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	385	500	692	1.192	308	364	6	19	511	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	33	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	25	22	7	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	0	318	400	318	718		368	12	12	337	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	531	477	126	18	3	5	44	57	1	12	4	264	328	346	673	82	289	11	8	302	90	-6	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.0
2014	36	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	37	35	6	0	1	0	2	7	0	0	0	171	216	229	445	57	214	19	5	204	27	-3	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.1
2014	36	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	40	37	11	2	0	0	3	2	0	4	0	297	350	351	701	54	314	5	8	320	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	44	38	12	0	0	0	5	5	1	1	0	316	409	316	725		364	11	11	343	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	214	12	6	223	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	7237	6477	1817	311	69	113	643	910	22	314	94	281	347	402	750	122	310	13	9	333	111	+98	+25	+30	+78	+157	39.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2000	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	542	455	134	20	4	4	73	80	3	40	14	295	395	382	778	88	349	15	13	350	123	+15	+2	+0	+6	+12	3.5
2001	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	359	325	89	19	0	4	23	56	1	22	6	274	324	369	693	95	315	16	6	304	92	-3	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2002	24	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	693	636	175	31	8	8	43	114	3	27	15	275	324	387	711	112	324	16	6	314	98	-1	-1	+0	+7	+15	2.1
2003	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	734	666	194	35	10	15	58	76	3	25	2	291	351	441	792	150	310	10	8	349	122	+20	+4	-1	+8	+16	4.7
2004	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	632	567	157	24	5	14	54	71	1	29	6	277	341	411	752	134	296	11	9	332	111	+8	+3	+0	+7	+14	3.3
2005	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	689	619	175	31	11	12	59	78	1	46	10	283	346	426	773	144	307	11	9	340	116	+13	+5	+11	+7	+15	5.3
2006	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	736	657	196	32	9	15	70	98	1	37	13	298	367	443	810	145	333	13	10	357	128	+25	+2	-2	+8	+16	4.9
2007	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	643	585	157	23	4	6	52	68	1	25	6	268	329	352	681	84	296	11	8	307	94	-4	+3	+6	+7	+14	2.5
2008	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	164	143	51	12	2	5	20	17	1	8	3	357	439	573	1.012	217	380	10	12	443	186	+17	+0	-1	+2	+4	2.2
2009	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	680	615	165	28	5	9	59	89	1	12	6	268	333	374	707	106	302	13	9	318	101	+1	+0	+12	+7	+15	3.6
2010	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	428	388	118	24	8	8	35	60	1	22	4	304	363	469	832	165	338	14	8	368	135	+18	+3	+8	+5	+9	4.4
2011	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	369	333	77	14	0	9	28	39	4	9	5	231	299	354	653	123	240	11	8	293	85	-7	-0	-2	+4	+8	0.4
2011	33	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	16	14	4	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	286	375	571	946	286	270	6	12	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	33	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	25	23	6	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	261	320	261	581		318	16	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	531	478	125	17	3	5	43	57	1	12	4	262	324	341	665	79	289	11	8	302	90	-6	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.0
2014	36	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	37	35	6	0	1	0	2	7	0	0	0	171	216	229	445	57	214	19	5	209	27	-3	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.1
2014	36	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	40	38	10	2	0	0	2	2	0	4	0	263	300	316	616	53	272	5	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	44	40	10	0	0	0	3	7	1	1	0	250	318	250	568		310	16	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	183	18	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2000	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	542	455	134	20	4	4	73	80	3	40	14	295	395	382	778	88	349	15	13	350	123	+15	+2	+0	+6	+12	3.5
2000	22	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	542	455	134	20	4	4	73	80	3	40	14	295	395	382	778	88	349	15	13	350	123	+15	+2	+0	+6	+12	3.5
2001	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	359	325	89	19	0	4	23	56	1	22	6	274	324	369	693	95	314	16	6	304	92	-3	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2001	23	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	359	324	89	19	0	4	24	56	1	22	6	275	327	370	697	96	315	16	7	306	92	-3	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2002	24	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	693	636	175	31	8	8	43	114	3	27	15	275	324	387	711	112	324	16	6	314	98	-1	-1	+0	+7	+15	2.1
2002	24	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	693	636	175	31	8	8	43	114	3	27	15	275	324	387	711	112	324	16	6	314	98	-1	-1	+0	+7	+15	2.1
2003	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	734	666	194	35	10	15	58	76	3	25	2	291	351	441	792	150	309	10	8	349	122	+20	+4	-1	+8	+16	4.7
2003	25	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	734	664	194	35	10	15	60	76	3	25	2	292	354	443	796	151	310	10	8	351	122	+20	+4	-1	+8	+16	4.7
2004	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	632	567	157	24	5	14	54	71	1	29	6	277	341	411	752	134	294	11	9	332	111	+8	+3	+0	+7	+14	3.3
2004	26	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	632	563	157	24	5	14	58	71	1	29	6	279	347	414	761	135	296	11	9	336	111	+8	+3	+0	+7	+14	3.3
2005	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	689	619	175	31	11	12	59	78	1	46	10	283	346	426	773	144	305	11	9	340	116	+13	+5	+11	+7	+15	5.3
2005	27	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	689	616	175	31	11	12	62	78	1	46	10	284	351	429	779	144	307	11	9	343	116	+13	+5	+11	+7	+15	5.3
2006	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	736	657	196	32	9	15	70	98	1	37	13	298	367	443	810	145	331	13	10	357	128	+25	+2	-2	+8	+16	4.9
2006	28	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	736	654	196	32	9	15	73	98	1	37	13	300	371	445	816	145	333	13	10	360	128	+25	+2	-2	+8	+16	4.9
2007	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	643	585	157	23	4	6	52	68	1	25	6	268	329	352	681	84	294	11	8	307	94	-4	+3	+6	+7	+14	2.5
2007	29	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	643	581	157	23	4	6	55	68	1	25	6	270	334	355	688	84	296	11	9	311	94	-4	+3	+6	+7	+14	2.5
2008	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	164	143	51	12	2	5	20	17	1	8	3	357	439	573	1.012	217	380	10	12	443	186	+17	+0	-1	+2	+4	2.2
2008	30	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	164	143	51	12	2	5	20	17	1	8	3	357	439	573	1.012	217	380	10	12	443	186	+17	+0	-1	+2	+4	2.2
2009	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	680	615	165	28	5	9	59	89	1	12	6	268	333	374	707	106	301	13	9	318	101	+1	+0	+12	+7	+15	3.6
2009	31	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	680	613	165	28	5	9	61	89	1	12	6	269	336	375	712	106	302	13	9	320	101	+1	+0	+12	+7	+15	3.6
2010	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	428	388	118	24	8	8	35	60	1	22	4	304	363	469	832	165	342	14	8	368	135	+18	+3	+8	+5	+9	4.4
2010	32	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	428	383	115	23	7	8	40	60	1	22	4	300	368	460	827	159	338	14	9	364	135	+18	+3	+8	+5	+9	4.4
2011	33	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	410	370	86	15	0	9	32	44	4	10	5	232	300	346	646	114	242	11	8	294	85	-7	+0	-2	+4	+9	0.4
2011	33	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	410	368	89	16	0	9	34	43	4	10	5	242	313	359	672	117	252	10	8	302	85	-7	+0	-2	+4	+9	0.4
2012	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	531	478	125	17	3	5	43	57	1	12	4	262	324	341	665	79	286	11	8	302	90	-6	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.0
2012	34	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	531	477	126	18	3	5	44	57	1	12	4	264	328	346	673	82	289	11	8	302	90	-6	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.0
2014	36	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	121	113	26	2	1	0	7	17	1	5	0	230	281	265	546	35	271	14	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	121	110	29	2	1	0	10	14	1	5	0	264	331	300	631	36	302	12	8	293	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	231	18	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	214	12	6	223	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2000	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	542	461	134	20	4	4	73	80	3	40	14	291	395	377	773	87	349	15	13	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2001	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	359	332	89	19	0	4	23	56	1	22	6	268	324	361	685	93	315	16	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2002	24	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	693	642	175	31	8	8	43	114	3	27	15	273	324	383	707	111	324	16	6	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2003	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	734	667	194	35	10	15	58	76	3	25	2	291	351	441	792	150	310	10	8	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	632	572	157	24	5	14	54	71	1	29	6	274	341	407	748	133	296	11	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	689	624	175	31	11	12	59	78	1	46	10	280	346	423	769	143	307	11	9	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	736	659	196	32	9	15	70	98	1	37	13	297	367	442	808	144	333	13	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	643	585	157	23	4	6	52	68	1	25	6	268	329	352	681	84	296	11	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	164	142	51	12	2	5	20	17	1	8	3	359	439	577	1.016	218	380	10	12	443	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	680	615	165	28	5	9	59	89	1	12	6	268	333	374	707	106	302	13	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	428	389	118	24	8	8	35	60	1	22	4	303	363	468	831	165	338	14	8	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	33	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	410	371	86	15	0	9	32	44	4	10	5	232	300	345	646	113	246	11	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	531	482	125	17	3	5	43	57	1	12	4	259	324	338	662	79	289	11	8	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	121	112	26	2	1	0	7	17	1	5	0	232	281	268	549	36	268	14	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	183	18	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7237	6477	1817	311	69	113	643	910	22	314	94	281	347	402	750	122	310	13	9	333	110	+98	+25	+30	+78	+157	39.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	163	28	6	10	58	82	2	28	8	280	348	400	748	120	310	13	9	333	110	+9	+2	+3	+7	+14	3.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7379	6633	1851	314	70	114	629	928	23	320	94	279	344	399	743	120	309	13	9	330	110	+98	+25	+30	+78	+157	39.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	163	28	6	10	55	82	2	28	8	279	343	399	742	120	309	13	8	330	110	+9	+2	+3	+7	+14	3.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 17 PAwOBA .217 → .168 (−50)K% 11.8% → 16.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.76%	÷0.991	×1.420	—	—	16.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.102	×0.630	—	×0.940	3.16%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.860	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.027	×0.940	—	×0.940	12.29%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.931	×0.830	—	×0.940	5.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.144	×0.800	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.769	×0.900	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 105, 2B 86, 3B 129, K 98, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (15.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .217 → .168; ISO .062 → .051; BABIP .214 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 44 PAwOBA .335 → .267 (−68)K% 11.4% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.36%	÷0.951	×1.420	—	—	16.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.36%	÷1.079	×0.750	—	×0.940	7.43%
HBP% /PA	2.27%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	1.99%
Singles /BIP	36.36%	÷1.013	×0.920	—	×0.940	31.05%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.944	×0.960	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.914	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.983	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 90, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (14.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .335 → .267; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .364 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAJacksonville Suns · 40 PAwOBA .312 → .263 (−49)K% 5.0% → 6.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.00%	÷1.010	×1.220	—	—	6.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.50%	÷0.995	×0.680	—	×0.940	4.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.71%	÷1.012	×0.920	—	×0.940	21.98%
Doubles /BIP	5.71%	÷0.940	×0.910	—	×0.940	5.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.064	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.006	×0.800	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .312 → .263; ISO .054 → .050; BABIP .314 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 25 PAwOBA .329 → .268 (−61)K% 12.0% → 16.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.00%	÷0.980	×1.340	—	—	16.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.00%	÷0.953	×0.710	—	×0.940	8.40%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	36.84%	÷0.992	×0.910	—	×0.940	31.75%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.958	×0.820	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.760	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.001	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 98, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .329 → .268; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .368 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 16 PAwOBA .497 → .363 (−134)K% 6.2% → 8.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.25%	÷0.928	×1.290	—	—	8.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.75%	÷1.012	×0.710	—	×0.940	12.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.096	×0.900	—	×0.940	19.30%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.012	×0.810	—	×0.940	6.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷1.173	×0.780	—	×0.940	5.21%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 119, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .497 → .363; ISO .308 → .213; BABIP .364 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).