Lew Ford

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1976-08-12

Age (2027)50

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	37	INTLToros del Este	180	.297/.373/.380	1	5	115	—
2015	38	AAA/INTL2 orgs	205	.307/.386/.419	4	0	94	—	.317/.369/.408
2016	39	INTLCaneros de lo…	72	.250/.375/.333	1	0	111	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2003	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	83	73	24	7	1	3	8	9	1	2	0	329	402	575	978	247	344	11	10	421	171	+7	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.9
2004	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	658	569	170	31	4	15	67	75	13	20	2	299	385	446	832	148	319	11	10	368	133	+26	+3	-1	-7	+14	3.6
2005	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	590	522	138	30	4	7	45	85	16	13	6	264	341	377	719	113	301	14	8	323	103	+2	+0	+1	+2	+13	1.9
2006	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	255	234	53	6	1	4	16	43	4	9	1	226	287	312	599	85	262	17	6	274	71	-9	+1	+4	-3	+6	-0.1
2006	29	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	38	29	8	2	0	0	6	5	3	0	1	276	447	345	792	69	333	13	16	379	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	130	116	27	6	0	3	11	24	3	3	1	233	315	362	677	129	270	18	8	309	95	-1	+0	-3	-3	+3	-0.4
2007	30	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	139	122	32	12	0	2	17	30	0	2	1	262	353	410	762	148	333	22	12	343	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	46	38	6	0	1	1	7	7	0	0	0	158	289	289	578	132	161	15	15	265	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	165	140	44	13	2	5	22	14	3	5	2	314	418	543	961	229	322	8	13	422	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	79	71	13	3	0	3	7	13	0	1	0	183	256	352	609	169	182	16	9	270	64	-3	+0	+2	-4	+2	-0.3
2012	35	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	267	242	80	14	3	11	23	43	1	8	2	331	391	550	941	219	365	16	9	410	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	51	47	8	3	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	170	204	362	566	191	140	8	4	238	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	75	66	17	9	0	3	6	9	3	0	0	258	347	530	877	273	259	12	8	383	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	INTL	Venezuela	—	244	223	66	9	3	5	16	38	1	2	2	296	346	430	776	135	335	16	7	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	37	INTL	Toros del Este	—	180	158	47	8	1	1	14	19	5	5	0	297	373	380	753	82	331	11	8	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	131	113	42	6	0	3	17	12	0	0	0	372	454	504	958	133	394	9	13	425	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	74	66	13	2	0	1	2	17	4	0	0	197	264	273	537	76	240	23	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	39	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	60	15	2	0	1	12	17	0	0	0	250	375	333	708	83	333	24	17	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1795	1585	425	83	10	35	154	249	37	48	10	268	347	399	746	131	297	14	9	334	112	+26	+6	+3	-14	+39	6.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2003	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	83	73	24	7	1	3	8	9	1	2	0	329	402	575	978	247	344	11	10	421	171	+7	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.9
2004	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	658	572	170	31	4	15	64	75	13	20	2	297	381	444	825	147	319	11	10	365	133	+26	+3	-1	-7	+14	3.6
2005	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	590	524	138	30	4	7	43	85	16	13	6	263	338	376	714	113	301	14	7	320	103	+2	+0	+1	+2	+13	1.9
2006	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	255	234	53	6	1	4	16	43	4	9	1	226	287	312	599	85	262	17	6	274	71	-9	+1	+4	-3	+6	-0.1
2006	29	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	38	31	8	2	0	0	4	6	3	0	1	258	395	323	717	65	293	16	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	130	116	27	6	0	3	11	24	3	3	1	233	315	362	677	129	270	18	8	309	95	-1	+0	-3	-3	+3	-0.4
2007	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	139	128	29	10	0	2	11	36	0	2	1	227	288	352	639	125	296	26	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	46	41	6	0	1	1	4	8	0	0	0	146	222	268	491	122	142	17	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	165	149	37	10	2	3	13	16	3	5	2	248	321	403	724	154	261	10	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	79	71	13	3	0	3	7	13	0	1	0	183	256	352	609	169	182	16	9	262	64	-3	+0	+2	-4	+2	-0.3
2012	35	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	267	252	69	11	3	10	13	52	1	8	2	274	312	460	772	187	310	19	5	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	51	48	8	3	0	2	1	5	0	0	0	167	184	354	538	188	119	10	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	75	69	16	9	0	2	3	11	3	0	0	232	293	449	743	217	237	15	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	131	120	38	5	0	2	10	15	0	0	0	317	369	408	778	92	343	11	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2003	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	83	73	24	7	1	3	8	9	1	2	0	329	402	575	978	247	344	11	10	421	171	+7	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.9
2003	26	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	83	73	24	7	1	3	8	9	1	2	0	329	402	575	978	247	344	11	10	421	171	+7	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.9
2004	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	658	572	170	31	4	15	64	75	13	20	2	297	381	444	825	147	317	11	10	365	133	+26	+3	-1	-7	+14	3.6
2004	27	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	658	569	170	31	4	15	67	75	13	20	2	299	385	446	832	148	319	11	10	368	133	+26	+3	-1	-7	+14	3.6
2005	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	590	524	138	30	4	7	43	85	16	13	6	263	338	376	714	113	300	14	7	320	103	+2	+0	+1	+2	+13	1.9
2005	28	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	590	522	138	30	4	7	45	85	16	13	6	264	341	377	719	113	301	14	8	323	103	+2	+0	+1	+2	+13	1.9
2006	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	293	265	61	8	1	4	20	49	7	9	2	230	301	313	615	83	269	17	7	279	75	-9	+1	+4	-3	+6	-0.1
2006	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	293	263	61	8	1	4	22	48	7	9	2	232	308	316	624	84	270	16	8	287	75	-9	+1	+4	-3	+6	-0.1
2007	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	269	244	56	16	0	5	22	60	3	5	2	230	301	357	658	127	285	22	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	269	238	59	18	0	5	28	54	3	5	2	248	335	387	721	139	302	20	10	327	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	46	41	6	0	1	1	4	8	0	0	0	146	222	268	491	122	152	17	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	—	46	38	6	0	1	1	7	7	0	0	0	158	289	289	578	132	161	15	15	265	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	165	149	37	10	2	3	13	16	3	5	2	248	321	403	724	154	262	10	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	165	140	44	13	2	5	22	14	3	5	2	314	418	543	961	229	322	8	13	422	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	346	323	82	14	3	13	20	65	1	9	2	254	299	437	736	183	280	19	6	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	346	313	93	17	3	14	30	56	1	9	2	297	360	505	865	208	324	16	9	378	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	370	347	66	33	0	11	13	47	4	2	2	190	228	380	608	190	188	13	4	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	370	336	91	21	3	10	24	51	4	2	2	271	327	440	767	170	290	14	6	335	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	37	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	180	158	47	8	1	1	14	19	5	5	0	297	373	380	753	82	331	11	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	37	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	180	158	47	8	1	1	14	19	5	5	0	297	373	380	753	82	331	11	8	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	205	182	60	8	0	3	16	23	4	0	0	330	396	423	819	93	358	11	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	205	179	55	8	0	4	19	29	4	0	0	307	386	419	805	112	342	14	9	360	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	39	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	60	15	2	0	1	12	17	0	0	0	250	375	333	708	83	333	24	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	39	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	60	15	2	0	1	12	17	0	0	0	250	375	333	708	83	333	24	17	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2003	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	83	74	24	7	1	3	8	9	1	2	0	324	402	568	970	243	344	11	10	421	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	658	576	170	31	4	15	64	75	13	20	2	295	381	441	822	146	319	11	10	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	590	526	138	30	4	7	43	85	16	13	6	262	338	375	712	112	301	14	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	293	264	61	8	1	4	20	49	7	9	2	231	301	314	616	83	266	17	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	269	242	56	16	0	5	22	60	3	5	2	231	301	360	661	128	283	22	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	32	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	46	42	6	0	1	1	4	8	0	0	0	143	222	262	484	119	142	17	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	33	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	165	148	37	10	2	3	13	16	3	5	2	250	321	405	727	155	261	10	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	346	322	82	14	3	13	20	65	1	9	2	255	299	438	737	183	281	19	6	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	36	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	370	350	66	33	0	11	13	47	4	2	2	189	228	377	605	189	189	13	4	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	38	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	205	183	60	8	0	3	16	23	4	0	0	328	396	421	817	93	343	11	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1795	1585	425	83	10	35	154	249	37	48	10	268	347	399	746	131	297	14	9	334	85	+26	+6	+3	-14	+39	6.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	155	30	4	13	56	90	13	17	4	270	348	404	753	134	299	14	9	334	85	+9	+2	+1	-5	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3277	2938	762	167	17	67	249	473	57	70	18	259	329	396	725	137	287	14	8	294	85	+26	+6	+3	-14	+39	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	150	33	3	13	49	94	11	14	4	257	326	391	717	134	285	14	8	294	85	+9	+2	+1	-5	+14	2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 131 PAwOBA .415 → .342 (−74)K% 9.2% → 11.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.16%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	11.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.21%	÷1.013	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	32.67%	÷0.982	×0.930	×1.014	×0.940	29.47%
Doubles /BIP	5.94%	÷1.026	×0.830	×1.014	×0.940	4.58%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.046	×0.920	×1.014	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.97%	÷1.208	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .415 → .342; ISO .133 → .089; BABIP .394 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AABowie Baysox · 75 PAwOBA .372 → .304 (−68)K% 12.0% → 14.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.00%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	14.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.00%	÷1.189	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.43%
HBP% /PA	4.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	3.20%
Singles /BIP	8.77%	÷1.032	×0.970	×1.035	×0.940	8.02%
Doubles /BIP	15.79%	÷0.890	×0.860	×1.035	×0.940	14.84%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.950	×1.035	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.140	×0.780	—	×0.940	3.38%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 138 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .372 → .304; ISO .273 → .220; BABIP .259 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAANorfolk Tides · 51 PAwOBA .240 → .201 (−39)K% 7.8% → 9.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.84%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	9.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.92%	÷1.001	×0.690	—	×0.940	2.54%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	6.98%	÷0.970	×0.930	×1.005	×0.940	6.32%
Doubles /BIP	6.98%	÷0.956	×0.830	×1.005	×0.940	5.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.005	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.65%	÷1.006	×0.840	—	×0.940	3.65%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .240 → .201; ISO .191 → .159; BABIP .140 → .119. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAANorfolk Tides · 267 PAwOBA .398 → .335 (−64)K% 16.1% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.10%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	19.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.87%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.78%
HBP% /PA	0.37%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.33%
Singles /BIP	26.13%	÷1.001	×0.930	×0.988	×0.940	22.55%
Doubles /BIP	7.04%	÷0.984	×0.830	×0.988	×0.940	5.51%
Triples /BIP	1.51%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.988	×0.940	1.51%
Home runs /BIP	5.53%	÷0.870	×0.840	—	×0.940	5.02%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .398 → .335; ISO .219 → .196; BABIP .365 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 165 PAwOBA .409 → .316 (−93)K% 8.5% → 9.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.48%	÷1.027	×1.200	—	—	9.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.73%	÷1.074	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.69%
HBP% /PA	1.82%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.61%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷1.046	×0.930	×1.037	×0.940	16.50%
Doubles /BIP	10.32%	÷1.077	×0.830	×1.037	×0.940	7.75%
Triples /BIP	1.59%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.037	×0.940	1.24%
Home runs /BIP	3.97%	÷1.098	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.38%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 109, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 105, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .409 → .316; ISO .229 → .165; BABIP .322 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAALouisville Bats · 46 PAwOBA .255 → .212 (−43)K% 15.2% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.22%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	18.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.04%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.942	8.48%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	12.90%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×0.942	11.30%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.942	0.00%
Triples /BIP	3.23%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×0.942	2.95%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.942	2.55%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .255 → .212; ISO .132 → .120; BABIP .161 → .142. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAARochester Red Wings · 139 PAwOBA .335 → .275 (−60)K% 21.6% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.58%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	25.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.23%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.962	8.12%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.57%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.043	×0.962	18.26%
Doubles /BIP	13.04%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.043	×0.962	10.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.043	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.17%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.962	1.76%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .335 → .275; ISO .148 → .121; BABIP .333 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAARochester Red Wings · 38 PAwOBA .370 → .313 (−58)K% 13.2% → 15.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.16%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	15.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.972	10.59%
HBP% /PA	7.89%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	7.21%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×0.972	22.60%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.972	6.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .370 → .313; ISO .069 → .059; BABIP .333 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .