Willis Otáñez

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1973-04-19

Age (2027)54

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	40	AAA/INTL2 orgs	450	.344/.430/.605	26	109	—	.274/.331/.428
2014	41	AAA/INTL2 orgs	460	.307/.406/.491	20	78	—	.223/.289/.332
2015	42	AAARojos del Agu…	72	.203/.292/.297	1	19	—	.162/.208/.235

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	32	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	473	402	151	19	1	30	62	68	2	2	1	376	461	652	1.113	276	389	14	13	475	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	33	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	423	381	135	23	0	19	37	55	1	0	0	354	413	564	977	210	373	13	9	425	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	34	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	429	367	133	21	1	21	53	52	6	2	1	362	451	597	1.047	234	377	12	12	455	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	35	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	465	400	112	23	0	10	53	54	6	4	3	280	373	412	785	132	298	12	11	351	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	36	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	446	370	129	29	0	19	64	46	8	0	0	349	455	581	1.036	232	356	10	14	450	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	37	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	394	338	133	26	1	12	49	37	3	0	0	393	474	583	1.057	189	413	9	12	460	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	37	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	137	121	31	9	0	0	14	23	1	0	0	256	338	331	669	74	313	17	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	38	AAA	Broncos de Reynosa	—	401	343	117	16	0	22	53	50	2	0	0	341	432	580	1.012	239	347	12	13	440	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	38	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	27	25	7	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	280	308	280	588		318	15	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	39	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	434	374	103	17	1	16	53	63	4	1	0	275	371	455	826	179	292	15	12	367	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	39	INTL	Toros del Este	—	50	47	14	2	0	3	3	10	0	0	1	298	340	532	872	234	324	20	6	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	40	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	411	355	126	22	0	26	46	58	7	0	0	355	439	637	1.075	282	365	14	11	463	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	40	INTL	Toros del Este	—	39	32	7	1	0	0	5	4	1	0	0	219	342	250	592	31	241	10	13	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	41	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	422	356	110	10	1	20	59	70	3	0	0	309	411	511	923	202	333	17	14	405	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	41	INTL	Toros del Este	—	38	35	10	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	286	342	286	628		323	11	8	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	42	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	72	64	13	3	0	1	8	16	0	0	0	203	292	297	589	94	255	22	11	273	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	32	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	473	429	138	17	1	21	35	82	2	2	1	322	376	513	888	191	341	17	7	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	33	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	423	398	117	19	0	13	20	66	1	0	0	294	329	440	769	146	318	16	5	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	34	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	429	389	115	17	1	14	31	62	6	2	1	296	357	452	809	157	319	14	7	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	35	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	465	422	98	19	0	7	31	65	6	4	3	232	294	327	621	95	250	14	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	36	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	446	398	113	24	0	13	36	55	8	0	0	284	355	442	797	158	297	12	8	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	37	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	394	360	108	20	1	8	27	51	3	0	0	300	354	428	782	128	321	13	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	38	AAA MLE	Broncos de Reynosa	—	401	367	103	13	0	16	29	61	2	0	0	281	337	447	784	166	296	15	7	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	39	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	434	399	90	13	1	10	28	81	4	1	0	226	283	338	621	113	253	19	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	40	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	411	376	103	16	0	14	25	75	7	0	0	274	331	428	759	154	305	18	6	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	41	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	422	382	85	7	1	11	33	90	3	0	0	223	289	332	622	110	257	21	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	42	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	72	68	11	2	0	1	4	19	0	0	0	162	208	235	444	74	211	26	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	32	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	473	429	138	17	1	21	35	82	2	2	1	322	376	513	888	191	351	17	7	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	32	AAA RAW	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	473	402	151	19	1	30	62	68	2	2	1	376	461	652	1.113	276	389	14	13	475	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	33	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	423	398	117	19	0	13	20	66	1	0	0	294	329	440	769	146	322	16	5	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	33	AAA RAW	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	423	381	135	23	0	19	37	55	1	0	0	354	413	564	977	210	373	13	9	425	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	34	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	429	389	115	17	1	14	31	62	6	2	1	296	357	452	809	157	320	14	7	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	34	AAA RAW	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	429	367	133	21	1	21	53	52	6	2	1	362	451	597	1.047	234	377	12	12	455	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	35	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	465	422	98	19	0	7	31	65	6	4	3	232	294	327	621	95	256	14	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	35	AAA RAW	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	465	400	112	23	0	10	53	54	6	4	3	280	373	412	785	132	298	12	11	351	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	36	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	446	398	113	24	0	13	36	55	8	0	0	284	355	442	797	158	299	12	8	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	36	AAA RAW	Pericos de Puebla	—	446	370	129	29	0	19	64	46	8	0	0	349	455	581	1.036	232	356	10	14	450	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	531	485	144	27	1	10	37	68	4	0	0	297	352	419	770	122	325	13	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	37	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	531	459	164	35	1	12	63	60	4	0	0	357	439	516	956	159	388	11	12	421	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	38	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	428	391	110	14	0	17	31	65	2	0	0	281	337	448	785	166	297	15	7	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	38	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	428	368	124	16	0	22	54	54	2	0	0	337	425	560	984	223	345	13	13	428	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	39	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	484	446	100	14	1	12	31	91	4	1	1	224	281	341	621	117	254	19	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	39	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	484	421	117	19	1	19	56	73	4	1	1	278	368	463	831	185	295	15	12	368	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	40	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	411	114	18	0	16	27	82	8	0	0	277	334	438	772	161	309	18	6	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	40	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	450	387	133	23	0	26	51	62	8	0	0	344	430	605	1.035	261	353	14	11	447	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	41	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	417	93	8	1	12	36	98	3	0	0	223	289	333	623	110	260	21	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	41	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	460	391	120	10	1	20	62	74	3	0	0	307	406	491	897	184	332	16	13	396	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	42	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	72	68	11	2	0	1	4	19	0	0	0	162	208	235	444	74	208	26	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	42	AAA RAW	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	72	64	13	3	0	1	8	16	0	0	0	203	292	297	589	94	255	22	11	273	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	32	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	473	433	138	17	1	21	35	82	2	2	1	319	376	508	884	189	341	17	7	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	33	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	423	399	117	19	0	13	20	66	1	0	0	293	329	439	768	145	318	16	5	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	34	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	429	389	115	17	1	14	31	62	6	2	1	296	357	452	809	157	319	14	7	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	35	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	465	425	98	19	0	7	31	65	6	4	3	231	294	325	619	94	250	14	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	36	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	446	399	113	24	0	13	36	55	8	0	0	283	355	441	796	158	297	12	8	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	531	485	144	27	1	10	37	68	4	0	0	297	352	419	770	122	321	13	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	38	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	428	392	110	14	0	17	31	65	2	0	0	281	337	446	784	166	296	15	7	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	39	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	484	446	100	14	1	12	31	91	4	1	1	224	281	341	621	117	253	19	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	40	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	412	114	18	0	16	27	82	8	0	0	277	334	437	771	160	305	18	6	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	41	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	418	93	8	1	12	36	98	3	0	0	222	289	333	622	110	257	21	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	42	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	72	68	11	2	0	1	4	19	0	0	0	162	208	235	444	74	211	26	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4661	4254	1153	179	5	136	319	753	44	9	6	271	328	411	740	140	298	16	7	327	107	+42	-1	+0	+17	+101	16.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	161	25	1	19	44	105	6	1	1	272	328	413	741	142	299	16	7	327	107	+6	-0	+0	+2	+14	2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 72 PAwOBA .260 → .197 (−63)K% 22.2% → 26.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.22%	÷1.009	×1.200	—	—	26.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.72%	÷1.121	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.62%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷0.998	×0.930	×0.993	×0.940	16.31%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.074	×0.830	×0.993	×0.940	4.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.993	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷0.920	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.49%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 102, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 42 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (14.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .260 → .197; ISO .094 → .069; BABIP .255 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 422 PAwOBA .393 → .282 (−111)K% 16.6% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.59%	÷0.929	×1.200	—	—	21.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.09%	÷1.010	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.76%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.63%
Singles /BIP	27.62%	÷1.032	×0.930	×0.958	×0.940	22.40%
Doubles /BIP	3.50%	÷1.105	×0.830	×0.958	×0.940	2.36%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.958	×0.940	0.25%
Home runs /BIP	6.99%	÷1.197	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.84%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 106, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 41 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (13.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .393 → .282; ISO .202 → .120; BABIP .333 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 411 PAwOBA .451 → .334 (−117)K% 14.1% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.11%	÷0.924	×1.200	—	—	18.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.22%	÷1.096	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.04%
HBP% /PA	1.70%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.50%
Singles /BIP	26.26%	÷0.957	×0.930	×1.003	×0.940	24.05%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷1.089	×0.830	×1.003	×0.940	5.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.003	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.75%	÷1.235	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.66%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 91, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 85, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .451 → .334; ISO .282 → .166; BABIP .365 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 434 PAwOBA .354 → .278 (−76)K% 14.5% → 18.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.52%	÷0.931	×1.200	—	—	18.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.60%	÷1.056	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.51%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.81%
Singles /BIP	22.19%	÷0.985	×0.930	×1.038	×0.940	20.44%
Doubles /BIP	5.47%	÷1.118	×0.830	×1.038	×0.940	3.96%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷0.961	×0.920	×1.038	×0.940	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	5.14%	÷1.045	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.24%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 92, K 86, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .354 → .278; ISO .179 → .123; BABIP .292 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 401 PAwOBA .426 → .345 (−81)K% 12.5% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.47%	÷0.981	×1.200	—	—	15.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.47%	÷1.016	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.32%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.44%
Singles /BIP	26.96%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.025	×0.940	24.00%
Doubles /BIP	5.46%	÷1.001	×0.830	×1.025	×0.940	4.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.025	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.51%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×0.940	5.08%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .426 → .345; ISO .239 → .177; BABIP .347 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAPericos de Puebla · 394 PAwOBA .448 → .343 (−105)K% 9.4% → 12.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.39%	÷0.874	×1.200	—	—	12.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.41%	÷0.982	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.87%
HBP% /PA	0.76%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.67%
Singles /BIP	31.23%	÷1.098	×0.930	×1.012	×0.940	25.17%
Doubles /BIP	8.64%	÷1.076	×0.830	×1.012	×0.940	6.34%
Triples /BIP	0.33%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.012	×0.940	0.25%
Home runs /BIP	3.99%	÷1.094	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.40%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 120, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 75, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .448 → .343; ISO .189 → .130; BABIP .413 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAPericos de Puebla · 446 PAwOBA .438 → .355 (−82)K% 10.3% → 12.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.31%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	12.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.56%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.940	8.14%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.58%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.002	×0.940	21.91%
Doubles /BIP	8.95%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.002	×0.940	7.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.002	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.86%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.86%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .438 → .355; ISO .232 → .174; BABIP .356 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 465 PAwOBA .342 → .277 (−65)K% 11.6% → 13.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.61%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	13.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.11%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.56%
HBP% /PA	1.29%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.14%
Singles /BIP	22.83%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.990	×0.940	19.76%
Doubles /BIP	6.65%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.990	×0.940	5.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.990	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.89%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.90%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .342 → .277; ISO .133 → .099; BABIP .298 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .