Jesus Mancera

OF DSL Brewers Blue

Age 18 L/R ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Brewers B…	107	.270/.491/.365	0	11	74	—	.169/.349/.229
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBMIL	217	.210/.311/.287	1	7	75	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBMIL	63	.211/.313/.296	1	2	79	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBMIL	157	.215/.316/.308	2	5	83	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%98

BB%97

wOBA88

wRC+86

Speed78

K%58

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYermín Mercedes (age 19) · Kevin Berard (age 19) · John Silviano (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 92 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .308 / .285

PA92

HR1

K%26

BB%11

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	107	74	20	5	1	0	29	21	3	11	3	270	491	365	855	95	370	20	27	403	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	107	83	14	3	1	0	20	26	3	11	3	169	349	229	578	60	231	24	19	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	107	83	14	3	1	0	20	26	3	11	3	169	349	229	578	60	241	24	19	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	—	107	74	20	5	1	0	29	21	3	11	3	270	491	365	855	95	370	20	27	403	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	107	83	14	3	1	0	20	26	3	11	3	169	349	229	578	60	231	24	19	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	107	83	14	3	1	0	20	26	3	11	3	169	349	229	578	60	231	24	19	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	217	187	39	7	2	1	25	56	3	7	1	210	311	287	598	78	289	26	12	278	75	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	184	158	33	6	1	1	21	47	3	6	1	214	315	300	616	86	291	26	11	285	79	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	324	280	61	11	3	3	36	82	5	11	2	218	319	312	631	94	293	25	11	291	83	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	432	374	82	15	3	5	48	109	7	14	3	221	321	323	644	101	294	25	11	296	86	-7	+2	+0	-3	+9	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	507	438	98	18	4	7	56	126	8	17	4	224	323	332	654	108	295	25	11	300	89	-7	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	MIL	58%	559	484	110	20	4	9	61	138	9	18	4	227	324	340	664	113	295	25	11	303	91	-6	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	592	513	117	21	4	10	65	146	9	19	4	228	325	343	668	115	296	25	11	305	92	-5	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	612	530	121	22	5	10	67	151	10	20	4	228	326	345	671	117	296	25	11	306	93	-5	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	622	539	124	22	5	11	68	153	10	20	4	229	326	346	672	118	296	25	11	306	93	-5	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	623	540	122	22	5	10	68	154	10	20	4	227	325	344	668	116	296	25	11	305	92	-6	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	MIL	59%	620	538	121	22	4	10	68	155	9	19	4	225	322	339	661	113	294	25	11	302	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	610	530	117	21	4	9	66	154	9	18	4	223	320	332	652	109	293	25	11	298	88	-9	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	63	55	11	2	0	1	7	16	1	2	0	211	313	296	608	85	287	25	11	282	79	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	157	136	29	5	1	2	18	40	2	5	1	215	316	308	624	93	288	25	11	288	83	-3	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	234	202	45	8	2	3	26	59	4	8	2	218	319	319	637	100	289	25	11	293	86	-4	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	287	248	55	10	2	4	32	71	5	9	2	221	320	328	649	107	290	25	11	297	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	MIL	58%	322	279	62	11	2	5	35	80	5	10	2	224	322	336	658	113	291	25	11	301	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	337	292	65	11	2	6	37	83	5	11	2	225	323	340	663	115	291	25	11	302	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	347	301	69	12	3	6	38	86	5	11	2	226	323	342	665	117	292	25	11	303	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	352	306	69	12	3	6	38	87	5	11	2	226	323	344	667	118	291	25	11	304	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	346	300	67	12	2	6	38	86	5	11	2	225	322	341	663	116	291	25	11	302	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	MIL	59%	367	318	71	12	3	6	40	92	6	11	3	223	320	336	656	113	290	25	11	300	90	-4	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	341	296	64	11	2	5	37	86	5	10	2	220	317	329	646	109	288	25	11	296	88	-5	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3153	2733	607	106	22	50	346	786	48	99	20	222	320	332	652	110	291	25	11	299	89	-37	+12	-1	-19	+68	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	125	22	5	10	71	162	10	20	4	222	320	332	652	110	291	25	11	299	89	-8	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5884	5088	1137	206	44	86	654	1465	93	196	41	223	323	332	655	108	295	25	11	300	89	-71	+22	-2	-35	+125	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	126	23	5	10	72	162	10	22	5	224	322	336	659	112	295	25	11	300	89	-8	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.9	3,245	49	104	226	320	337	-19	+0	4.5	4.1
/162	664	10	21	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Herbie Moran'08-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,518 PA	3.8	2,518	2	103	236*	329*	348*	-18	-17	1.0	1.0
/162	664	1	27	-4.7	-4.5	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Mancera (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	208/308/285	77	289	1	3	26%	11%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yermín Mercedes 2012 · A	19	44→53	35→50	43→45	44	205/251/272	67	245	2	6	17%	4%	48	-2.5	202/266/265	63	240	3	7	16%	6%	53	-2.1	242/292/392	150	282	20	3	21%	6%	92	+0.5
✕Kevin Berard 2011 · A	19	44	37→30	50→55	35	204/250/275	71	332	4	8	38%	5%	48	-2.5	196/252/257	61	305	3	13	34%	6%	45	-2.7	207/275/256	49	302	2	18	30%	6%	53	-0.7
✕John Silviano 2013 · A	19	37→34	40→50	41→40	50	182/258/273	91	231	7	4	23%	9%	52	-2.2	178/241/264	86	304	7	5	41%	7%	43	-2.8	178/239/321	143	275	18	2	41%	7%	54	-1.1
✕Rubell Castro 2016 · A	19	35	40	44→30	38	158/256/249	91	314	8	3	47%	9%	48	-2.5	181/265/255	74	321	5	7	41%	9%	51	-2.2	107/210/129	23	207	0	10	43%	11%	3	-1.0
✕Eurys Felipe 2012 · A	18	40	35→30	46→55	54	186/273/247	61	231	2	13	19%	10%	52	-2.2	181/257/242	61	250	2	15	26%	9%	45	-2.7	125/214/174	48	168	0	24	23%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Roberto Vahlis 2013 · A	19	40	38→30	50→45	41	191/255/268	78	273	5	7	31%	6%	50	-2.3	178/250/247	69	215	5	5	19%	8%	43	-2.8	149/242/191	42	169	3	3	13%	9%	27	-1.1
✕Welington Chal 2017 · A	19	38	35→30	40→50	50	180/272/234	54	263	3	5	30%	10%	49	-2.4	176/244/234	58	239	2	6	25%	7%	38	-3.2	100/178/130	30	126	0	2	19%	6%	-10	-1.5
✕Cristian Palacios 2014 · A	20	43	37→30	46→50	34	195/259/265	71	326	4	8	39%	5%	51	-2.3	193/242/266	73	302	3	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	157/201/222	65	248	2	11	36%	4%	16	-1.4

Jesus Mancera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps