Dencer Diaz

SS DSL Twins

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIN	104	.247/.356/.303	1	4	32	—	.172/.260/.215
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBMIN	214	.218/.284/.284	2	4	63	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIN	40	.222/.290/.297	0	1	67	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBMIN	135	.225/.293/.307	2	2	71	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%89

K%75

BB%56

wOBA40

Whiff%39

Speed37

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .282 / .282

PA60

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	104	89	22	2	0	1	15	17	0	4	2	247	356	303	659	56	296	16	14	311	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	104	93	16	1	0	1	11	21	0	4	2	172	260	215	475	43	214	20	11	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	104	93	16	1	0	1	11	21	0	4	2	172	260	215	475	43	211	20	11	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	104	89	22	2	0	1	15	17	0	4	2	247	356	303	659	56	296	16	14	311	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	104	92	16	1	0	1	11	21	0	4	2	174	260	217	477	43	214	20	11	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	104	92	16	1	0	1	11	21	0	4	2	174	260	217	477	43	214	20	11	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	214	194	43	6	1	2	17	53	1	4	1	218	284	284	569	66	289	25	8	261	63	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	120	108	24	3	1	1	10	29	1	2	1	222	289	296	586	74	290	24	8	268	67	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	50%	271	245	55	8	1	3	22	66	2	5	1	225	293	307	600	82	291	24	8	274	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	385	348	79	11	2	5	31	93	3	7	2	227	296	317	613	89	292	24	8	279	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	61%	462	418	97	14	3	7	37	111	4	9	2	230	299	325	624	95	293	24	8	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	63%	513	462	107	16	3	8	42	122	4	9	3	232	301	332	634	101	294	24	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	544	491	114	17	3	9	44	130	4	10	3	232	302	334	636	102	294	24	8	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	562	506	118	17	3	10	46	134	5	10	3	232	302	336	637	103	294	24	8	288	81	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	568	513	119	17	3	10	46	136	4	10	3	231	301	333	634	102	293	24	8	287	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	568	513	118	17	3	9	46	137	4	10	3	230	299	329	628	99	293	24	8	284	79	-14	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	561	506	116	17	3	9	46	137	4	9	4	227	296	323	619	95	292	24	8	281	76	-16	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	222	290	297	586	75	290	25	8	268	67	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	50%	135	122	28	4	1	2	11	33	1	2	1	225	293	307	601	82	291	24	8	274	71	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	222	200	45	6	1	3	18	54	2	4	1	228	297	317	613	89	292	24	8	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	61%	284	257	59	8	2	4	23	68	2	5	2	230	299	325	624	95	293	24	8	283	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	63%	324	292	68	10	2	5	26	77	3	6	2	232	301	333	634	101	294	24	8	287	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	354	319	74	11	2	6	29	84	3	6	2	232	302	335	637	102	294	24	8	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	365	329	76	11	2	6	30	87	3	7	2	233	302	336	638	104	294	24	8	289	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	369	333	77	11	2	6	30	88	3	7	2	231	301	333	634	102	294	24	8	287	80	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	369	333	77	11	2	6	30	89	3	6	2	230	299	329	628	99	293	24	8	285	79	-9	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	365	329	76	11	2	6	30	89	3	6	2	228	296	323	619	96	292	24	8	281	76	-10	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2827	2551	587	84	16	44	230	679	23	50	16	230	300	327	627	97	295	24	8	284	77	-72	+4	-1	+30	+61	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	135	19	4	10	53	156	5	11	4	230	299	327	626	97	295	24	8	284	77	-17	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4718	4258	975	140	25	72	386	1131	35	86	27	229	298	324	623	95	293	24	8	282	77	-121	+6	-2	+49	+100	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	134	19	3	10	53	156	5	12	4	228	298	322	620	94	292	24	8	282	77	-17	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	/162	664	4	15	240*	300*	338*	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
	/162	664	7	2	219*	302*	329*	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,887	45	52	231	296	328	+31	+21	4.1	4.0
	/162	664	10	12	231	296	328	+7.1	+4.8	0.9	pk7: 4
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	2	11	234*	283*	339*	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Dencer Diaz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps