Luis Abreu

SS DSL Cubs Red

Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	119	.174/.356/.207	0	14	22	—	.131/.271/.162
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	229	.202/.288/.267	1	7	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	41	.207/.293/.281	0	1	66	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLB—	136	.211/.296/.293	1	5	70	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed84

BB%82

Chase%74

K%39

Whiff%30

wOBA25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+61

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .285 / .265

PA64

HR0

K%29

BB%9

ISO65

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	119	92	16	1	1	0	22	28	4	14	2	174	356	207	562	33	246	24	18	285	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	119	99	13	1	1	0	15	35	4	14	2	131	271	162	433	30	177	29	13	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	119	99	13	1	1	0	15	35	4	14	2	131	271	162	433	30	200	29	13	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	119	92	16	1	1	0	22	28	4	14	2	174	356	207	562	33	246	24	18	285	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	119	99	13	1	1	0	15	35	4	14	2	131	271	162	433	30	177	29	13	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	119	99	13	1	1	0	15	35	4	14	2	131	271	162	433	30	177	29	13	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	229	203	40	5	2	1	21	65	3	7	1	202	288	267	554	65	288	28	9	258	61	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	121	107	22	3	1	1	11	34	2	4	1	207	293	281	573	74	290	28	9	266	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	50%	272	241	51	7	2	3	25	75	4	9	1	211	296	293	590	82	291	28	9	272	70	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	58%	386	342	73	10	3	5	35	106	6	13	2	214	299	304	603	90	292	27	9	277	74	-12	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	61%	464	412	90	13	4	7	42	126	7	15	2	217	302	314	616	96	293	27	9	282	77	-13	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	63%	515	455	101	15	4	8	47	138	8	17	3	220	304	322	626	102	294	27	9	286	80	-13	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	65%	546	483	107	16	4	9	50	146	8	18	3	221	304	325	629	104	294	27	9	287	80	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	65%	564	498	110	16	4	9	52	151	9	19	3	221	305	326	631	105	294	27	9	288	81	-13	+3	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	65%	570	504	110	16	4	9	52	153	9	19	3	220	304	324	627	104	293	27	9	286	80	-14	+3	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	65%	570	505	110	16	4	9	52	155	8	18	3	218	302	319	621	101	293	27	9	284	78	-15	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	65%	562	498	107	15	4	8	51	154	8	17	3	216	299	313	612	97	291	27	9	280	76	-16	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	41	36	7	1	0	0	4	12	1	1	0	207	293	281	573	74	290	29	10	266	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	50%	136	121	25	4	1	1	12	38	2	5	1	211	296	293	590	82	291	28	9	272	70	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	58%	223	197	43	6	2	3	20	61	4	7	1	214	299	304	603	90	292	27	9	277	74	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	61%	285	253	55	8	2	4	26	77	4	9	2	217	302	314	616	96	293	27	9	282	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	63%	325	287	63	9	2	5	30	87	5	11	2	220	304	322	626	102	294	27	9	286	80	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	65%	355	315	70	10	3	6	32	95	5	12	2	221	304	325	629	104	294	27	9	287	80	-8	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	65%	367	324	71	10	3	6	34	98	6	12	2	221	305	326	631	105	294	27	9	288	81	-8	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	65%	370	327	72	10	3	6	34	100	6	12	2	220	304	324	627	104	293	27	9	286	80	-9	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	65%	370	328	72	10	3	6	34	100	5	12	2	218	302	319	621	101	293	27	9	284	78	-10	+2	-0	+4	+8	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	65%	365	324	70	10	3	5	33	100	5	11	2	216	299	313	612	97	291	27	9	280	76	-11	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2837	2512	548	78	22	42	259	768	43	92	16	218	302	317	619	99	295	27	9	283	76	-75	+12	-1	+30	+61	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	126	18	5	10	59	176	10	21	4	219	302	319	622	101	295	27	9	283	76	-17	+3	-0	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4753	4201	906	130	36	68	438	1291	74	165	26	216	301	312	613	97	292	27	9	280	76	-125	+21	-2	+50	+100	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	124	18	5	9	60	177	10	23	4	216	301	311	612	96	293	27	9	280	76	-18	+3	-0	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
	/162	664	8	16	227*	307*	330*	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
	/162	664	22	41	206	310	383	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#5Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
	/162	664	8	35	232*	309*	342*	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,901	43	94	219	299	318	+31	+21	4.8	4.6
	/162	664	10	22	219	299	318	+7.1	+4.8	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	2	11	234*	283*	339*	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Luis Abreu

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps