Carlos Severino

SS DSL Phillies

Age 19 R/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKPHI	83	.211/.444/.281	0	5	56	—	.143/.333/.190
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBPHI	193	.189/.290/.258	1	5	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPHI	57	.194/.295/.274	0	2	66	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPHI	148	.199/.299/.286	2	5	69	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%97

BB%95

Speed77

wRC+69

wOBA61

ISO25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLuis Grullon (age 19) · Lorenzo Piron (age 19) · Dalton Blumenfeld (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .288 / .256

PA75

HR0

K%33

BB%11

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	83	57	12	2	1	0	21	27	3	5	3	211	444	281	725	70	375	33	25	352	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	83	63	9	1	1	0	15	33	3	5	3	143	333	190	524	48	249	40	18	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	83	63	9	1	1	0	15	33	3	5	3	143	333	190	524	48	281	40	18	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	—	83	57	12	2	1	0	21	27	3	5	3	211	444	281	725	70	375	33	25	352	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	83	65	9	1	1	0	15	33	3	5	3	138	333	185	518	46	249	40	18	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	83	65	9	1	1	0	15	33	3	5	3	138	333	185	518	46	249	40	18	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	193	167	32	5	2	1	21	63	3	5	1	189	290	258	549	70	290	33	11	258	61	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	166	144	27	4	1	1	18	53	3	5	1	194	295	272	567	78	292	32	11	265	66	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	306	265	53	9	3	3	33	96	5	10	2	198	298	284	582	86	293	31	11	271	69	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	409	355	72	12	3	5	44	126	7	13	3	202	301	294	595	93	294	31	11	276	73	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	60%	478	416	85	14	4	6	51	145	8	15	3	205	303	304	607	98	294	30	11	280	76	-14	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	62%	523	455	95	16	4	8	55	156	8	17	4	209	305	312	617	104	295	30	11	284	78	-14	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	63%	550	478	100	17	4	8	58	164	9	18	4	209	305	314	620	105	295	30	11	285	79	-14	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	565	492	104	17	5	9	59	169	9	18	4	209	306	315	621	106	295	30	10	285	79	-14	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	569	495	104	17	5	9	60	171	9	18	4	208	305	313	617	105	295	30	11	284	78	-15	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	568	494	102	17	4	8	60	171	9	18	4	206	303	308	611	102	294	30	11	281	76	-16	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	560	488	99	16	4	8	59	171	8	17	4	204	300	302	602	98	292	31	11	278	74	-17	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	57	50	8	1	0	0	6	18	1	2	0	194	295	274	569	79	292	32	11	266	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	148	129	26	4	1	2	16	46	2	5	1	199	299	286	585	88	293	31	11	272	69	-5	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	222	192	39	6	2	3	24	68	4	7	2	203	302	298	599	95	294	31	11	277	73	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	60%	286	249	51	8	2	4	30	87	5	9	2	207	304	308	612	101	295	30	10	282	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	62%	325	283	60	10	3	5	34	97	5	11	2	210	306	316	622	107	296	30	10	286	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	63%	349	304	64	10	3	6	37	104	5	11	3	210	307	318	625	108	296	30	11	287	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	367	319	67	11	3	6	39	109	6	12	3	210	307	320	626	109	296	30	11	287	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	370	322	68	11	3	6	39	111	6	12	3	209	306	317	623	108	295	30	11	286	78	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	369	321	67	11	3	6	39	111	6	11	3	208	304	312	616	105	294	30	11	283	76	-10	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	364	318	65	10	3	5	38	111	5	11	3	205	301	306	607	101	293	30	10	280	74	-11	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2857	2487	515	82	23	43	302	862	45	91	22	207	304	310	615	103	296	30	11	283	75	-81	+9	-1	+31	+62	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	117	19	5	10	69	196	10	21	5	207	304	311	615	104	295	30	11	283	75	-18	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4852	4211	862	142	39	65	520	1479	79	156	36	205	304	303	607	99	296	30	11	280	75	-138	+17	-2	+51	+103	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	116	19	5	9	70	198	11	21	5	206	306	305	611	99	296	30	11	280	75	-19	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
	/162	664	22	41	206	310	383	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,932	40	93	207	300	307	+31	+21	4.1	3.9
	/162	664	9	21	207	300	307	+7.1	+4.8	0.9	pk7: 4
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	2	11	234*	283*	339*	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
	/162	664	1	17	215*	288*	334*	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
	/162	664	1	33	222*	281*	294*	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Carlos Severino

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Severino (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	187/288/256	69	290	0	2	33%	11%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Grullon 2007 · A	19	34	36→30	46→40	35	154/243/219	66	294	3	5	44%	7%	36	-3.4	174/255/249	75	304	5	4	41%	7%	47	-2.6	161/251/238	78	272	7	2	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Lorenzo Piron 2010 · A	19	35	36→30	40→45	42	170/241/235	65	231	3	5	26%	6%	38	-3.2	186/245/243	57	242	3	6	23%	6%	40	-3.1	151/205/161	10	188	0	6	18%	4%	5	-1.3
✕Dalton Blumenfeld 2017 · A	20	43	36→30	49→40	29	185/231/252	67	361	4	6	48%	5%	36	-3.4	182/248/268	86	389	6	5	50%	7%	47	-2.5	94/183/179	85	239	8	0	59%	8%	2	-1.2