Nathan Rose — OGILVIE

Nathan RoseSS ACL Mariners

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 178 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .268 / .302

PA95

HR2

K%33

BB%7

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	147	129	23	5	0	5	10	55	8	0	1	178	279	333	612	155	261	37	7	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	147	123	29	8	0	5	16	38	8	0	1	236	361	423	783	187	300	26	11	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	SEA	—	95	86	17	3	0	2	7	32	2	1	0	198	274	302	576	105	289	34	7	262	58	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SEA	30%	161	145	29	5	1	3	12	52	3	1	1	200	275	310	585	110	289	32	7	269	64	-7	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	SEA	42%	243	219	45	8	1	5	18	77	4	2	1	205	278	320	598	114	290	32	7	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	28	MLB	SEA	48%	299	270	55	10	1	6	22	94	5	2	1	204	276	315	591	111	290	31	7	275	69	-11	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.0
2027	26	MLB	SEA	30%	48	44	9	2	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	205	271	318	589	114	287	33	6	253	52	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	SEA	42%	101	91	19	3	1	2	7	32	2	1	0	209	280	330	610	121	287	32	7	257	55	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	SEA	48%	142	127	27	5	1	3	11	45	3	1	0	213	291	339	629	126	287	32	8	259	57	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	291	262	55	10	2	6	21	93	6	2	0	210	284	332	616	122	297	32	7	258	55	-15	+0	-0	+3	+8	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	122	22	4	13	47	208	13	4	0	209	282	326	608	118	296	32	7	258	55	-33	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	945	849	169	31	3	21	69	310	22	6	4	199	277	317	593	118	284	33	7	269	64	-38	-0	-1	+10	+27	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	115	21	2	14	47	213	15	4	3	197	274	312	585	115	281	33	7	269	64	-26	-0	-0	+7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	147	123	29	8	0	5	16	38	8	0	1	236	361	423	783	187	300	26	11	355	130	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	387	8	3	205	275	320	+4	+6	-0.0	0.0
	/162	664	13	6	205	275	320	+7.1	+10.3	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Rose (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	196/268/302	105	289	2	1	33%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Jeffrey Eure 2006 · A	25	36→31	47→50	41→45	34	187/242/321	134	283	14	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	202/252/324	122	295	13	6	35%	5%	56	-1.3	198/244/317	120	281	13	5	34%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A	25	39	43→45	40→45	39	196/245/305	109	263	11	5	30%	5%	48	-1.9	204/270/299	95	271	8	7	26%	8%	57	-1.2	197/274/281	84	258	7	7	25%	9%	54	-0.6
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	45→50	49→40	37	188/243/307	119	268	12	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/267/348	139	309	13	5	35%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/342	141	301	13	3	36%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	37	44→50	45→30	40	186/252/307	121	288	11	6	38%	8%	52	-1.6	203/274/338	135	336	14	3	40%	8%	69	-0.4	193/269/328	135	322	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Edgar Cabral 2021 · A	25	42	43→40	47→30	41	209/266/319	110	288	11	6	31%	7%	61	-1.0	198/262/288	90	315	7	8	36%	8%	51	-1.7	188/264/255	66	326	0	0	38%	8%	41	-0.4
✕Marcus Chiu 2022 · A	25	39→26	46→45	43→45	36	185/269/310	125	315	14	4	42%	7%	62	-0.9	202/270/331	129	310	15	6	38%	6%	67	-0.5	181/252/308	127	276	17	3	39%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Matt Repec 2009 · A	25	42→40	44→50	44→45	37	208/253/327	118	295	12	5	33%	5%	56	-1.3	212/260/327	115	301	10	5	31%	6%	59	-1.1	209/257/328	119	293	9	4	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2021 · A	25	43→24	42→55	47→50	37	204/256/308	104	326	9	8	39%	6%	53	-1.5	184/242/293	109	285	11	8	38%	5%	44	-2.1	169/230/277	108	256	11	8	37%	5%	33	-1.3
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	40→45	40→45	44	192/269/276	84	279	8	5	32%	8%	51	-1.7	218/306/353	135	287	14	8	27%	10%	88	+0.9	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Christian Sepulveda 2023 · A	25	41	46→50	50→55	36	206/261/341	135	291	12	10	32%	5%	65	-0.7	210/273/338	128	287	13	14	30%	5%	69	-0.4	189/260/326	136	245	16	21	29%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA	25	39	43→45	42→30	45	198/264/301	103	265	12	3	29%	8%	55	-1.4	186/252/279	93	260	9	3	30%	8%	44	-2.1	165/235/251	86	229	8	0	30%	8%	29	-1.4