Marwin Rivero

SS DSL Royals Ventura

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	36	.172/.333/.207	0	6	9	—	.133/.278/.167
2026	19	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	83	.243/.329/.300	0	7	17	—	.178/.241/.219
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBKC	193	.207/.281/.274	1	5	59	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBKC	55	.210/.284/.287	0	1	65	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	22	MLBKC	148	.214/.288/.300	2	4	70	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%67

Whiff%55

Chase%52

Speed51

Z-Con%43

ISO19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .278 / .271

PA75

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	94	18	2	0	0	22	29	4	13	4	191	367	213	579	21	277	24	18	292	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	29	5	1	0	0	5	8	2	6	1	172	333	207	540	34	238	22	14	274	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	83	70	17	4	0	0	9	15	0	7	1	243	329	300	629	57	304	18	11	279	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	101	13	1	0	0	15	35	4	13	4	129	267	139	405	10	196	29	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	30	4	1	0	0	4	10	2	6	1	133	278	167	444	33	148	28	11	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	83	73	13	3	0	0	6	18	0	7	1	178	241	219	460	41	204	22	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	101	13	1	0	0	15	35	4	13	4	129	267	139	405	10	197	29	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	94	18	2	0	0	22	29	4	13	4	191	367	213	579	21	277	24	18	292	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	30	4	1	0	0	4	10	2	6	1	133	278	167	444	33	200	28	11	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	29	5	1	0	0	5	8	2	6	1	172	333	207	540	34	238	22	14	274	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	83	73	13	3	0	0	6	18	0	7	1	178	241	219	460	41	232	22	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	83	70	17	4	0	0	9	15	0	7	1	243	329	300	629	57	304	18	11	279	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	101	13	1	0	0	15	35	4	13	4	129	267	139	405	10	196	29	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	30	4	1	0	0	4	10	2	6	1	133	278	167	444	33	148	28	11	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	83	77	13	3	0	0	6	18	0	7	1	169	241	208	448	39	204	22	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	121	101	13	1	0	0	15	35	4	13	4	129	267	139	405	10	196	29	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	36	30	4	1	0	0	4	10	2	6	1	133	278	167	444	33	148	28	11	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	83	77	13	3	0	0	6	18	0	7	1	169	241	208	448	39	204	22	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	KC	0%	193	174	36	6	1	1	15	52	2	5	1	207	281	274	554	67	286	27	8	256	59	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	KC	34%	163	147	32	5	1	2	13	44	2	4	1	212	286	290	576	79	288	27	8	265	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	KC	50%	297	267	58	9	2	4	24	79	4	7	1	216	290	305	595	89	289	27	8	272	70	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	KC	58%	391	351	78	13	2	6	32	102	5	10	2	219	294	317	610	97	290	26	8	278	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	KC	61%	454	408	92	15	3	8	37	118	6	11	2	223	297	327	624	105	291	26	8	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	KC	63%	490	441	99	16	3	9	40	126	6	12	2	225	299	335	634	111	291	26	8	287	80	-11	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	KC	64%	511	458	104	17	3	10	42	132	6	12	2	225	299	338	638	113	291	26	8	288	81	-11	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	KC	65%	520	466	105	17	3	10	43	135	6	12	2	224	298	336	634	112	291	26	8	287	80	-12	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	KC	65%	521	467	104	17	3	9	43	136	6	12	2	223	296	331	628	109	290	26	8	284	79	-13	+2	-1	+6	+11	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	KC	65%	515	462	103	17	3	9	42	136	6	12	2	220	294	325	619	105	289	26	8	281	76	-15	+2	-1	+6	+11	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	KC	34%	55	50	10	2	0	0	4	15	1	1	0	210	284	287	571	77	286	27	7	263	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	KC	50%	148	133	29	5	1	2	12	39	2	4	1	214	288	300	589	86	287	26	8	269	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	KC	58%	226	203	43	7	1	3	18	59	3	6	1	217	292	312	603	94	288	26	8	275	74	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	KC	61%	277	249	55	9	2	4	23	72	3	7	1	220	295	321	616	101	289	26	8	280	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	KC	63%	308	276	61	10	2	5	25	79	4	7	1	222	296	329	625	107	289	26	8	284	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	KC	64%	326	292	66	11	2	6	27	84	4	8	1	223	297	332	629	109	289	26	8	285	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	KC	65%	338	303	67	11	2	6	28	88	4	8	1	222	296	329	625	108	289	26	8	284	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	KC	65%	339	304	67	11	2	6	28	89	4	8	1	220	294	325	619	105	288	26	8	281	79	-9	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	KC	65%	335	301	66	11	2	5	27	88	4	8	1	218	291	319	611	101	287	26	8	278	76	-9	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2352	2111	464	77	14	37	192	613	29	57	8	220	294	322	616	102	290	26	8	280	74	-62	+8	-1	+25	+51	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	128	21	4	10	53	169	8	16	2	220	293	321	614	101	289	26	8	280	74	-17	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4177	3739	818	133	23	67	347	1091	54	120	22	219	294	320	615	102	289	26	8	277	74	-108	+12	-2	+42	+85	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	128	21	4	10	54	170	8	19	3	220	295	321	616	101	291	26	8	277	74	-18	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
	/162	664	7	2	219*	302*	329*	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.7	2,425	41	58	223	293	328	+26	+18	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	11	16	223	293	328	+7.1	+4.9	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	2	11	234*	283*	339*	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
	/162	664	1	17	215*	288*	334*	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Marwin Rivero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps