Dariel Arias

SS DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 152 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	114	.204/.310/.255	0	2	8	—	.139/.230/.178
2025	18	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	106	.202/.286/.234	0	4	-4	—	.134/.200/.155
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBPIT	216	.218/.280/.288	1	4	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPIT	40	.222/.286/.302	0	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	22	MLBPIT	131	.225/.290/.314	1	3	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%93

Whiff%92

K%82

Speed47

Chase%42

BB%16

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .278 / .285

PA60

HR0

K%24

BB%7

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	114	98	20	3	1	0	12	17	3	2	1	204	310	255	565	51	244	15	11	268	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	106	94	19	3	0	0	9	16	2	4	1	202	286	234	520	32	241	15	8	246	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	114	101	14	2	1	0	9	21	3	2	1	139	230	178	408	40	161	18	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	106	97	13	2	0	0	6	20	2	4	1	134	200	155	355	21	158	19	6	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	114	101	14	2	1	0	9	21	3	2	1	139	230	178	408	40	173	18	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	114	98	20	3	1	0	12	17	3	2	1	204	310	255	565	51	244	15	11	268	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	106	97	13	2	0	0	6	20	2	4	1	134	200	155	355	21	167	19	6	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	106	94	19	3	0	0	9	16	2	4	1	202	286	234	520	32	241	15	8	246	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	114	101	14	2	1	0	9	21	3	2	1	139	230	178	408	40	161	18	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	106	97	13	2	0	0	6	20	2	4	1	134	200	155	355	21	158	19	6	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	114	101	14	2	1	0	9	21	3	2	1	139	230	178	408	40	161	18	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	106	97	13	2	0	0	6	20	2	4	1	134	200	155	355	21	158	19	6	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	216	196	43	7	2	1	15	51	3	4	1	218	280	288	568	70	285	24	7	260	62	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	118	108	24	4	1	1	8	28	1	2	1	222	286	303	589	81	286	24	7	268	68	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	50%	263	240	54	9	2	3	18	62	3	6	2	225	290	316	606	91	287	24	7	275	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	367	334	76	12	3	5	26	85	4	8	2	228	293	327	621	99	289	23	7	281	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	439	399	92	15	3	7	32	102	5	9	3	231	296	337	633	106	290	23	7	286	79	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	481	437	101	16	3	9	35	111	6	10	3	233	298	344	643	112	290	23	7	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	64%	506	458	107	17	4	9	37	117	6	11	3	233	299	347	646	114	290	23	7	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	517	468	108	17	4	9	38	120	6	11	3	232	298	345	642	112	290	23	7	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	520	471	108	17	3	9	38	122	6	10	4	230	296	340	636	110	289	23	7	287	80	-12	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	65%	515	467	107	17	3	9	37	122	6	10	4	228	293	334	628	106	288	24	7	283	78	-14	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	222	286	302	588	80	287	22	8	268	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	50%	131	119	26	4	1	1	9	31	2	3	1	225	290	314	604	89	288	24	7	274	72	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	212	192	44	7	2	3	15	49	3	5	1	228	293	325	618	97	289	23	7	280	76	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	268	244	56	9	2	4	19	62	3	6	2	230	296	334	630	103	290	23	7	284	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	302	273	64	11	2	5	22	70	4	6	2	232	298	341	638	109	291	23	7	288	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	64%	323	292	68	11	2	6	24	75	4	7	2	232	298	343	641	111	290	23	7	289	83	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	336	304	71	12	2	6	25	78	4	7	2	231	297	341	638	110	290	23	7	288	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	338	306	71	12	2	6	25	79	4	7	2	230	295	337	632	107	289	23	7	285	80	-8	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	65%	335	304	69	12	2	5	24	80	4	7	3	228	293	331	624	104	288	24	7	282	78	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2285	2071	476	79	15	36	166	533	28	49	15	230	296	335	630	105	290	23	7	284	75	-56	+4	-1	+24	+50	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	134	22	4	10	47	152	8	14	4	228	293	329	623	102	288	23	7	284	75	-16	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4006	3635	815	130	27	61	288	924	49	84	27	224	290	325	615	101	282	23	7	279	75	-95	+6	-2	+41	+82	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	132	21	4	10	47	150	8	14	4	224	290	324	614	100	281	23	7	279	75	-16	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	/162	664	4	15	240*	300*	338*	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,344	39	49	231	293	338	+25	+18	3.6	3.5
	/162	664	11	14	231	293	338	+7.1	+5.1	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	2	11	234*	283*	339*	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
	/162	664	1	17	215*	288*	334*	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Dariel Arias

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps