Alexander Mambel

C FCL Red Sox

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 191 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKBOS	53	.250/.365/.477	2	0	57	—	.156/.269/.333
2026	19	ROKBOS	28	.308/.357/.308	0	1	8	—	.185/.214/.185
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBBOS	138	.211/.264/.298	2	1	59	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBOS	44	.221/.276/.320	1	0	64	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	22	MLBBOS	136	.224/.280/.331	2	1	68	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

ISO96

wRC+79

wOBA73

Whiff%40

Z-Con%34

K%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .262 / .296

PA44

HR1

K%28

BB%5

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	106	101	28	7	0	2	1	13	3	0	0	277	305	406	711	129	299	12	1	314	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	53	44	11	4	0	2	4	15	4	0	1	250	365	477	843	227	321	28	8	369	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	28	26	8	0	0	0	2	11	0	1	0	308	357	308	665		533	39	7	308	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	106	101	18	4	0	1	1	16	3	0	0	178	210	248	457	69	198	15	1	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	53	45	7	2	0	2	3	22	4	0	1	156	269	333	603	178	235	42	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	27	5	0	0	0	1	16	0	1	0	185	214	185	399		435	57	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	106	101	18	4	0	1	1	16	3	0	0	178	210	248	457	69	200	15	1	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	106	101	28	7	0	2	1	13	3	0	0	277	305	406	711	129	299	12	1	314	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	53	45	7	2	0	2	3	22	4	0	1	156	269	333	603	178	227	42	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	53	44	11	4	0	2	4	15	4	0	1	250	365	477	843	227	321	28	8	369	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	27	5	0	0	0	1	16	0	1	0	185	214	185	399		455	57	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	28	26	8	0	0	0	2	11	0	1	0	308	357	308	665		533	39	7	308	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	106	101	18	4	0	1	1	16	3	0	0	178	210	248	457	69	198	15	1	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	53	46	7	2	0	2	3	22	4	0	1	152	269	326	595	174	235	42	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	27	5	0	0	0	1	16	0	1	0	185	214	185	399		435	57	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	106	101	18	4	0	1	1	16	3	0	0	178	210	248	457	69	198	15	1	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	53	46	7	2	0	2	3	22	4	0	1	152	269	326	595	174	235	42	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	27	5	0	0	0	1	16	0	1	0	185	214	185	399		435	57	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	138	128	28	5	1	2	7	39	2	1	0	211	264	298	563	88	288	28	5	255	59	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	131	121	27	5	1	2	7	37	2	1	1	215	270	311	581	96	289	28	5	262	64	-6	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	BOS	50%	272	251	54	10	1	4	15	75	4	3	1	218	275	322	596	104	290	28	6	269	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	372	342	76	14	2	7	21	101	6	4	2	221	279	331	610	110	291	27	6	274	72	-13	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	BOS	61%	440	404	89	16	2	8	26	118	7	5	2	224	282	339	621	115	292	27	6	279	75	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	BOS	63%	480	441	100	18	3	10	29	128	7	5	2	226	285	345	630	120	292	27	6	282	77	-13	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	BOS	64%	504	461	105	19	3	11	31	134	7	5	2	226	285	347	631	121	292	27	6	283	78	-13	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	514	471	106	19	3	11	31	138	7	4	2	225	284	344	628	119	291	27	6	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	516	473	106	19	3	10	31	139	7	3	2	223	282	339	621	117	290	27	6	279	75	-15	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	511	468	103	18	2	10	31	140	7	1	1	220	279	333	612	113	289	27	6	275	72	-17	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	44	41	9	2	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	221	276	320	596	99	298	27	5	269	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	BOS	50%	136	125	29	6	1	2	8	37	2	1	1	224	280	331	611	106	300	27	6	275	68	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	215	198	45	9	1	4	12	58	3	2	1	228	284	340	624	112	301	27	6	280	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	BOS	61%	268	246	56	11	1	5	16	72	4	3	1	230	288	348	636	118	302	27	6	285	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	BOS	63%	301	276	64	13	1	6	18	80	4	3	1	232	290	354	644	122	302	27	6	288	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	BOS	64%	321	294	69	13	2	7	19	86	5	3	1	232	291	355	646	123	302	27	6	289	78	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	334	306	71	14	2	7	20	90	5	3	1	231	289	353	642	122	301	27	6	288	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	335	307	71	14	2	7	20	91	5	2	1	229	287	348	635	119	300	27	6	285	75	-10	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	332	304	69	14	1	6	20	91	5	1	1	227	284	342	626	115	298	27	6	281	72	-11	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2286	2097	483	96	11	45	135	617	34	18	8	230	288	351	639	121	302	27	6	284	72	-69	+0	-1	+41	+50	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	137	27	3	13	38	175	10	5	2	230	287	351	638	121	301	27	6	284	72	-20	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3971	3646	805	146	20	77	229	1076	62	32	16	221	278	335	614	114	289	27	6	274	72	-117	+0	-2	+68	+82	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	132	24	3	13	37	176	10	5	3	221	278	337	615	116	289	27	6	274	72	-20	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	12	0	229	310	340	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	/162	664	6	3	239*	294*	339*	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	/162	664	7	1	231*	283*	340*	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	/162	664	15	4	228*	295*	352*	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,331	45	19	224	279	339	+42	+24	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	13	5	224	279	339	+11.9	+6.8	1.0	pk7: 4

Alexander Mambel

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps