Jesus Abreu

C DSL Marlins

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKMIA	104	.173/.343/.222	0	0	11	—	.106/.255/.129
2025	19	ROKMIA	89	.171/.341/.329	2	1	10	—	.107/.239/.200
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBMIA	199	.191/.273/.266	1	4	55	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIA	39	.189/.272/.269	0	1	61	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBMIA	125	.194/.276/.281	1	3	65	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

ISO80

Chase%77

BB%65

Speed62

wOBA39

wRC+33

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .271 / .263

PA56

HR0

K%33

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1.0M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	64	50	12	2	1	0	8	14	4	2	0	240	387	320	707	80	316	22	12	326	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	104	81	14	4	0	0	15	34	6	0	0	173	343	222	565	49	286	33	14	279	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	89	70	12	3	1	2	14	27	4	1	0	171	341	329	669	157	238	30	16	312	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	64	52	9	1	1	0	6	17	4	2	0	173	306	231	537	58	214	27	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	104	85	9	2	0	0	11	41	6	0	0	106	255	129	384	24	178	39	11	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	89	75	8	2	1	1	9	34	4	1	0	107	239	200	439	93	140	38	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	64	52	9	1	1	0	6	17	4	2	0	173	306	231	537	58	243	27	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	64	50	12	2	1	0	8	14	4	2	0	240	387	320	707	80	316	22	12	326	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	104	85	9	2	0	0	11	41	6	0	0	106	255	129	384	24	196	39	11	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	104	81	14	4	0	0	15	34	6	0	0	173	343	222	565	49	286	33	14	279	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	89	75	8	2	1	1	9	34	4	1	0	107	239	200	439	93	171	38	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	89	70	12	3	1	2	14	27	4	1	0	171	341	329	669	157	238	30	16	312	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	64	54	9	1	1	0	6	17	4	2	0	167	306	222	529	56	214	27	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	104	86	9	2	0	0	11	41	6	0	0	105	255	128	383	23	178	39	11	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	89	76	8	2	1	1	9	34	4	1	0	105	239	197	436	92	140	38	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	104	86	9	2	0	0	11	41	6	0	0	105	255	128	383	23	178	39	11	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	89	76	8	2	1	1	9	34	4	1	0	105	239	197	436	92	140	38	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	199	177	33	6	1	1	16	65	4	4	2	191	273	266	538	75	287	33	8	250	55	-11	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	115	103	20	4	1	1	9	37	2	3	1	196	277	281	558	85	288	32	8	258	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	250	222	45	8	2	3	21	78	5	6	2	200	281	294	575	94	289	31	8	264	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	349	311	63	11	2	5	29	108	6	9	3	204	285	305	590	101	291	31	8	270	69	-13	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	409	365	76	14	3	7	34	124	7	10	4	207	288	314	602	107	291	30	8	274	72	-14	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	447	399	84	15	3	8	37	134	8	11	5	209	290	321	611	112	291	30	8	278	74	-14	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIA	63%	466	416	87	16	3	8	39	141	8	12	5	208	289	319	607	110	290	30	8	277	73	-15	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	473	423	87	16	3	8	39	144	8	11	5	206	286	314	600	108	289	30	8	274	71	-16	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	471	421	85	15	3	7	39	144	8	11	5	204	284	308	591	104	287	31	8	270	69	-17	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	39	35	6	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	189	272	269	541	79	279	31	8	251	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	125	112	22	4	1	1	10	39	2	3	1	194	276	281	557	87	280	31	8	257	65	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	198	176	35	6	1	3	16	61	4	5	2	197	279	292	571	94	281	31	8	262	69	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	247	220	45	8	2	4	21	75	4	6	2	200	282	300	582	100	282	30	9	267	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	279	249	51	9	2	5	23	84	5	7	3	203	283	307	591	105	281	30	8	270	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIA	63%	296	264	53	9	2	5	25	89	5	7	3	202	282	305	587	103	281	30	8	269	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	307	273	55	9	2	5	26	93	5	7	3	200	280	300	581	101	280	30	8	266	71	-10	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	306	273	54	9	2	5	25	94	5	7	4	197	278	294	572	97	278	31	8	262	69	-11	-0	-1	+5	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1797	1602	321	55	12	28	149	547	31	43	18	200	281	302	583	102	283	30	8	265	66	-62	+1	-1	+32	+39	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	116	20	4	10	54	198	11	16	7	200	281	301	581	100	283	30	8	265	66	-23	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3293	2922	582	106	22	48	278	1020	67	77	30	199	284	300	584	101	285	31	8	266	66	-108	+3	-2	+54	+66	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	114	21	4	9	55	201	13	15	6	198	282	295	577	97	283	31	8	266	66	-23	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
#3Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	/162	664	2	8	203*	288*	330*	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	/162	664	1	7	210*	281*	325*	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,853	29	46	206	284	312	+33	+24	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	10	16	206	284	312	+11.9	+8.6	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
	/162	664	13	1	218*	277*	341*	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
	/162	664	1	5	212*	275*	299*	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Jesus Abreu

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps