John Estevez

OF FCL Braves

Age 21 L/R 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AATL	29	.174/.345/.174	0	0	32	—	.160/.276/.160
2025	19	ROKATL	152	.181/.311/.260	1	3	13	—	.132/.219/.191
2026	20	AATL	23	.190/.227/.190	0	0	-9	—	.143/.182/.143
2026	20	ROKATL	50	.216/.396/.270	0	2	42	—	.150/.292/.175
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBATL	202	.187/.267/.253	1	3	50	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBATL	68	.193/.274/.274	1	1	58	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%90

BB%68

wRC+36

Whiff%32

K%30

wOBA28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAaron Shipman (age 21) · Grabiel Jimenez (age 21) · Nelson B Alvarez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .265 / .251

PA97

HR1

K%28

BB%9

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	224	177	35	9	2	3	42	42	3	4	4	198	359	322	681	124	241	19	19	319	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	196	150	30	8	3	1	38	49	4	7	3	200	375	313	688	113	279	25	19	321	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	29	23	4	0	0	0	6	5	0	0	0	174	345	174	519		222	17	21	269	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	152	127	23	5	1	1	23	32	1	3	3	181	311	260	571	79	234	21	15	272	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Rome Emperors	—	19	16	4	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	250	368	250	618		444	37	16	301	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	23	21	4	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	190	227	190	418		286	35	4	188	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	50	37	8	2	0	0	9	13	2	2	0	216	396	270	666	54	308	26	18	315	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	224	191	25	6	1	2	29	53	3	4	4	131	256	204	460	73	167	24	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	196	163	23	6	2	1	25	68	4	7	3	141	271	221	492	80	209	35	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	29	25	4	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	160	276	160	436		207	24	14	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	152	136	18	3	1	1	14	47	1	3	3	132	219	191	410	59	188	31	9	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	19	17	3	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	176	263	176	440		403	47	11	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	23	21	3	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	143	182	143	325		268	48	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	50	40	6	1	0	0	6	19	2	2	0	150	292	175	467	25	244	38	12	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	224	191	25	6	1	2	29	53	3	4	4	131	256	204	460	73	168	24	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	224	177	35	9	2	3	42	42	3	4	4	198	359	322	681	124	241	19	19	319	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	196	163	23	6	2	1	25	68	4	7	3	141	271	221	492	80	224	35	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	196	150	30	8	3	1	38	49	4	7	3	200	375	313	688	113	279	25	19	321	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	181	160	21	3	1	1	19	54	1	3	3	131	228	181	409	50	190	30	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	181	150	27	5	1	1	29	37	1	3	3	180	317	247	563	67	232	20	16	272	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	92	79	12	1	0	0	8	39	2	2	0	152	247	165	412	13	279	42	9	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	92	74	16	2	0	0	13	28	2	2	0	216	348	243	592	27	327	30	14	280	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	224	190	25	6	1	2	29	53	3	4	4	132	256	205	461	74	167	24	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	196	165	23	6	2	1	25	68	4	7	3	139	271	218	489	79	209	35	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	181	159	21	3	1	1	19	54	1	3	3	132	228	182	410	50	191	30	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	92	82	12	1	0	0	8	39	2	2	0	146	247	159	406	12	283	42	9	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	196	165	23	6	2	1	25	68	4	7	3	139	271	218	489	79	209	35	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	181	159	21	3	1	1	19	54	1	3	3	132	228	182	410	50	191	30	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	92	82	12	1	0	0	8	39	2	2	0	146	247	159	406	12	283	42	9	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	202	180	33	6	1	1	18	56	2	3	1	187	267	253	521	67	260	28	9	242	50	-12	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	198	176	34	6	1	2	18	54	2	3	1	193	274	274	548	81	263	27	9	253	58	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	68	61	11	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	193	274	274	548	81	263	26	9	253	58	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	68	61	11	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	180	265	262	527	82	238	26	9	253	37	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	105	19	0	10	57	172	10	10	0	180	265	264	529	84	237	26	9	253	37	-33	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	988	856	132	25	6	7	108	295	13	20	11	154	259	222	481	68	222	30	11	223	37	-16	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	87	16	4	5	71	194	9	13	7	155	260	224	484	69	222	30	11	223	37	-35	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Estevez (OGILVIE)	21	25	20	40	55	185/265/251	66	260	1	1	28%	9%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	41→39	35→30	44→50	49	190/271/250	60	279	2	9	30%	10%	52	-2.2	227/310/295	68	314	2	16	25%	10%	76	-0.4	246/336/306	60	332	1	21	23%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Grabiel Jimenez 2016 · A	21	40	34→30	41→50	47	186/253/240	54	240	1	8	22%	7%	42	-2.9	183/239/239	56	260	1	5	28%	6%	36	-3.4	149/199/186	37	220	0	2	31%	5%	7	-1.3
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2017 · A	21	40	37→40	42→40	52	190/273/265	75	243	4	3	22%	10%	56	-1.9	168/255/225	57	234	3	6	27%	10%	40	-3.0	103/211/125	22	148	2	6	28%	11%	2	-1.4
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	37	35→30	39→50	51	172/251/226	54	210	3	5	19%	8%	39	-3.1	193/291/255	62	249	3	12	21%	11%	61	-1.5	201/272/282	81	263	7	9	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	33	35→40	45→40	50	160/258/217	57	223	3	5	27%	10%	41	-3.0	176/256/247	71	278	4	4	35%	8%	46	-2.6	168/246/241	74	269	4	2	36%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕David Berres 2008 · A	21	37	34→30	47→45	36	175/233/223	47	285	2	10	37%	6%	30	-3.8	207/278/263	56	287	3	7	26%	8%	57	-1.8	214/294/252	38	291	3	6	25%	10%	57	-1.0
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	34	36→40	41→50	50	164/251/229	65	218	4	7	25%	9%	40	-3.0	171/250/245	74	225	5	10	24%	8%	43	-2.8	151/236/222	71	188	5	13	21%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Adonis Pacheco 2011 · A	20	38	34→45	42→55	48	178/245/232	54	233	2	9	23%	8%	37	-3.3	186/247/262	76	235	3	14	20%	7%	45	-2.7	176/237/262	86	216	3	17	19%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	40	35→30	46→50	47	189/255/250	61	251	3	12	25%	8%	45	-2.7	198/260/264	66	294	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/248/237	57	271	2	9	32%	8%	36	-1.1
✕Branden Becker 2018 · A	21	41	35→40	40→30	41	196/240/250	53	255	2	4	23%	5%	38	-3.2	230/272/305	75	318	5	4	28%	5%	63	-1.3	241/280/307	66	332	6	1	28%	4%	63	-0.8
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	41→40	36→40	46→45	39	198/244/266	69	266	3	9	26%	4%	44	-2.8	203/257/283	80	293	6	8	31%	6%	53	-2.1	198/267/282	84	301	7	7	34%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	36	34→30	43→50	45	174/239/226	52	241	2	7	27%	7%	34	-3.5	196/288/262	66	246	2	10	19%	11%	61	-1.5	180/304/238	59	213	1	14	14%	15%	61	-0.6
✕Leopoldo Correa 2013 · A	21	42	37→40	41→30	47	198/260/269	71	247	4	3	21%	7%	51	-2.2	202/254/276	74	268	4	5	25%	6%	50	-2.3	173/217/237	65	217	3	0	21%	4%	24	-0.9
✕Alan Sharkey 2015 · A	21	40	38→30	46→45	46	194/258/273	79	252	4	7	24%	7%	51	-2.2	198/260/266	68	257	4	5	23%	7%	50	-2.3	188/251/242	54	239	3	3	21%	7%	39	-1.6
✕Steven Mateo 2013 · A	20	38	35→30	45→50	47	180/265/239	59	261	3	6	30%	9%	47	-2.5	196/279/265	69	283	3	8	28%	10%	58	-1.7	192/270/254	63	279	2	6	29%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Edidson Rojas 2019 · A	20	38	35→30	45→55	48	180/267/238	58	254	3	11	28%	9%	48	-2.5	186/261/260	74	276	4	10	31%	8%	51	-2.3	136/219/209	74	204	5	13	34%	8%	22	-1.3
✕Jesus Rojas 2007 · A	21	39	36→30	42→45	50	187/263/251	64	235	4	6	21%	8%	49	-2.4	223/284/311	88	288	7	5	23%	8%	70	-0.9	254/309/352	98	317	9	1	22%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Richard Nunez 2016 · A	21	38	35→30	45→55	46	182/253/244	62	248	3	7	26%	8%	43	-2.8	183/264/244	61	245	2	11	24%	9%	48	-2.5	175/270/235	60	211	4	16	18%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Ricardo Andujar 2014 · A	21	37→44	34→30	45→50	51	173/256/223	50	225	1	10	22%	9%	40	-3.0	202/261/258	56	255	2	12	20%	7%	49	-2.4	210/256/267	57	274	2	12	23%	5%	45	-1.4