Railin Tea

2B DSL Orioles Black

Age 21 S/R 5'9" / 162 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKTB	176	.196/.358/.290	1	19	31	—	.132/.277/.174
2026	20	ROKDSL Orioles B…	37	.258/.378/.355	0	3	34	—	.182/.270/.273
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBBAL	149	.208/.286/.289	1	4	65	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBBAL	45	.215/.293/.309	0	1	70	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBBAL	131	.219/.296/.322	2	3	74	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .283 / .286

PA49

HR0

K%26

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	173	156	40	5	6	2	13	34	3	18	5	256	326	404	729	147	314	20	8	324	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rays	—	176	138	27	6	2	1	23	31	12	19	3	196	358	290	648	94	241	18	13	308	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	37	31	8	1	1	0	5	8	1	3	1	258	378	355	733	97	348	22	14	339	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	173	160	27	3	3	1	9	42	3	18	5	169	227	244	470	75	215	24	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	176	144	19	4	1	0	17	38	12	19	3	132	277	174	451	42	163	22	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	37	33	6	1	1	0	3	10	1	3	1	182	270	273	543	91	226	27	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	173	160	27	3	3	1	9	42	3	18	5	169	227	244	470	75	220	24	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	173	156	40	5	6	2	13	34	3	18	5	256	326	404	729	147	314	20	8	324	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	176	144	19	4	1	0	17	38	12	19	3	132	277	174	451	42	176	22	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	176	138	27	6	2	1	23	31	12	19	3	196	358	290	648	94	241	18	13	308	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	37	33	6	1	1	0	3	10	1	3	1	182	270	273	543	91	261	27	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	37	31	8	1	1	0	5	8	1	3	1	258	378	355	733	97	348	22	14	339	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	173	159	27	3	3	1	9	42	3	18	5	170	227	245	472	75	215	24	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	176	145	19	4	1	0	17	38	12	19	3	131	277	172	450	41	163	22	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	37	33	6	1	1	0	3	10	1	3	1	182	270	273	543	91	226	27	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	176	145	19	4	1	0	17	38	12	19	3	131	277	172	450	41	163	22	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	37	33	6	1	1	0	3	10	1	3	1	182	270	273	543	91	226	27	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	149	134	28	5	2	1	11	39	3	4	1	208	286	289	574	81	284	26	7	264	65	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	133	119	24	4	1	1	10	35	3	3	1	212	290	304	594	91	285	26	8	272	70	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	50%	262	235	51	9	3	3	20	68	5	7	1	216	293	316	610	100	287	26	8	278	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	357	319	70	12	3	5	28	92	7	9	1	219	297	327	623	107	288	26	8	283	78	-9	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	414	371	82	14	4	7	32	105	8	11	2	222	299	335	634	114	288	25	8	287	81	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	449	402	89	15	4	8	35	114	9	11	2	224	300	342	642	118	288	25	8	290	83	-9	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	466	417	92	16	4	8	37	119	9	11	2	222	299	339	639	117	288	26	8	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	472	423	93	16	4	8	37	121	9	10	1	221	297	335	632	114	287	26	8	286	80	-11	+2	-1	+2	+10	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	469	420	92	16	4	8	37	122	9	8	1	218	294	328	622	110	285	26	8	282	77	-13	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	45	41	7	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	215	293	309	602	94	289	27	7	275	70	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	50%	131	117	25	4	1	2	10	34	3	3	1	219	296	322	619	103	291	26	8	281	74	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	202	180	40	7	2	3	16	52	4	5	1	223	300	334	633	111	292	26	8	287	78	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	250	223	50	9	2	4	20	64	5	6	1	225	302	342	644	117	293	26	8	291	81	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	281	252	57	10	3	5	22	71	5	7	1	227	303	349	653	122	293	25	8	295	83	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	296	265	59	10	3	5	23	75	6	7	1	226	302	347	649	121	292	25	8	293	82	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	307	274	62	11	3	5	24	79	6	6	1	224	300	342	642	118	291	26	8	290	80	-7	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	305	272	60	10	3	5	24	79	6	5	1	221	297	335	632	114	289	26	8	286	77	-8	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1817	1624	360	62	17	29	142	466	36	40	7	222	299	334	633	113	291	26	8	289	73	-45	+5	-1	+6	+39	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	128	22	6	10	51	167	13	14	3	220	298	330	628	110	290	26	8	289	73	-16	+2	-0	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3457	3087	655	112	33	49	269	879	76	111	20	212	291	317	609	105	278	25	8	277	73	-77	+10	-2	+11	+67	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	123	21	6	9	51	165	14	21	4	212	291	316	607	103	279	25	8	277	73	-16	+2	-0	+2	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Dave Shean'06-'19 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	6	66	228*	284*	352*	+9	+18	3.0	4.3
#3Dave Shean'06-'19 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,438 PA	/162	664	2	18	228*	284*	352*	+2.4	+4.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,865	30	43	221	294	333	+7	+6	1.8	1.8
	/162	664	11	15	221	294	333	+2.4	+2.1	0.6	pk7: 2
#4John Kerr'23-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,631 PA	2.5	1,631	6	26	238*	297*	338*	+7	+3	0.7	1.1
#4John Kerr'23-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,631 PA	/162	664	2	11	238*	297*	338*	+2.9	+1.3	0.3	pk7: 2
#5Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
	/162	664	7	11	219*	280*	330*	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Railin Tea

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps