Nick Merkel

P Biloxi Shuckers

Age 29 RHP 6'7" / 255 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	AAMIL	40	3	79	3.43	2.60	26.3%	9.7%	—	K 21.3% · BB 10.6% · FIP 3.15
2025	27	MIX2 levels	20	0	27	3.04	2.69	26.3%	10.5%	—	K 21.8% · BB 12.2% · FIP 3.33
2026	28	AAMIL	20	0	25	6.04	3.69	22.0%	7.3%	—	K 17.8% · BB 8.1% · FIP 4.43
2027PROJ	29	MLBMIL	17	0	18	4.52	4.52	20.4%	9.7%	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBMIL	6	0	6	4.60	4.67	20.4%	9.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsNeil Wagner (age 29) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Diego Moreno (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%20.4%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%10.8%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	24	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Blue	3	3	8	31	4	2	0	100%	2.6	12.9%	6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	3.52	2.83	—
2022	24	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Blue	3	3	8	31	4	2	0	100%	2.6	12.9%	6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	3.52	2.84	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	76	312	94	19	9	0%	2.2	22.8%	7.1%	15.7%	3.5%	3.79	3.99	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	76	312	94	19	9	0%	2.2	30.1%	6.1%	24.0%	2.9%	3.79	2.92	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	40	3	79	331	87	32	3	8%	2.0	21.3%	10.6%	10.7%	0.9%	3.43	3.15	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	40	3	79	331	87	32	3	8%	2.0	21.3%	10.6%	10.7%	0.9%	3.43	3.15	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	40	3	79	331	87	32	3	8%	2.0	26.3%	9.7%	16.6%	0.9%	3.43	2.60	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	27	114	30	12	1	0%	1.3	21.8%	12.2%	9.5%	0.9%	3.04	3.33	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	27	114	30	12	1	0%	1.3	21.8%	12.2%	9.5%	0.9%	3.04	3.33	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	27	114	30	12	1	0%	1.3	26.3%	10.5%	15.8%	0.9%	3.04	2.69	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	20	0	25	109	24	8	3	0%	1.3	17.8%	8.1%	9.8%	3.3%	6.04	4.43	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	20	0	25	109	24	8	3	0%	1.3	17.8%	8.1%	9.8%	3.3%	6.04	4.43	—
2026	28	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	20	0	25	109	24	8	3	0%	1.3	22.0%	7.3%	14.7%	2.8%	6.04	3.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	MIL	17	0	18	76	16	7	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.7%	10.8%	2.8%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIL	19	0	20	84	17	8	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.0%	4.60	4.67	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIL	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.0%	4.60	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.0%	4.60	4.29	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	96	32	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.0%	4.60	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		117	6	214	897	190	82	19	5%	1.8	21.2%	9.1%	12.0%	2.1%	3.82	3.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	6	200	837	177	76	17	5%	1.8	21.2%	9.1%	12.0%	2.1%	3.82	3.61	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Merkel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	20.4%	9.7%	2.8%	—	4.67	20.4%	10.5%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	85
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	83
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	83
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	80
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	79
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	79
Brian Sanches R 2008 · 4.74 FIP	29	SU	4.74	18.5%	9.3%	3.7%	.378	4.01	20.5%	10.8%	182	-0.73	3.39	229	79
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	79
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	79
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	78
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	78
Tyler Walker R 2005 · 4.19 FIP	29	SU	4.19	19.4%	7.5%	3.2%	.303	3.61	19.7%	11.3%	93	-0.58	2.38	289	78
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	78
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	78
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	77
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	77