James Meeker

P Nashville Sounds

Age 32 RHP 6'4" / 222 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	27	MIX2 levels	44	2	64	2.38	2.32	21.3%	6.3%	—	K 16.8% · BB 7.5% · FIP 2.93
2023	28	MIX2 levels	36	8	93	3.39	3.49	20.6%	3.6%	—	K 17.5% · BB 3.3% · FIP 4.06
2024	29	MIX3 levels	39	0	52	2.77	4.02	20.8%	11.3%	0.3	K 17.9% · BB 10.4% · FIP 4.43
2027PROJ	32	MLBMIL	31	0	33	4.61	4.61	20.8%	9.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBMIL	10	0	11	4.73	4.83	20.5%	10.1%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Angel Castro (age 32) · Jose Manuel Lopez (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%20.8%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%11.0%

Proj IP33

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

CT+0.7 (38%)

SL (12%)

FB (50%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	26	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	12	0	18	71	22	5	0	0%	1.5	22.9%	8.3%	14.6%	0.0%	0.50	2.22	—
2021	26	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	12	0	18	71	22	5	0	0%	1.5	31.0%	7.0%	23.9%	0.0%	0.50	1.49	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	2	64	268	57	17	1	5%	1.5	16.8%	7.5%	9.3%	0.5%	2.38	2.93	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	2	64	268	57	17	1	5%	1.5	21.3%	6.3%	14.9%	0.4%	2.38	2.32	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	8	93	394	81	14	12	22%	2.6	17.5%	3.3%	14.2%	3.7%	3.39	4.06	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	8	93	394	81	14	12	22%	2.6	20.6%	3.6%	17.0%	3.0%	3.39	3.49	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	52	221	46	25	5	0%	1.3	17.9%	10.4%	7.5%	2.8%	2.77	4.43	+0.1
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	52	221	46	25	5	0%	1.3	17.9%	10.4%	7.5%	2.8%	2.77	4.43	+0.1
2024	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	52	221	46	25	5	0%	1.3	20.8%	11.3%	9.5%	2.3%	2.77	4.02	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.10	-0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	MIL	31	0	33	139	29	14	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.7%	11.0%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	MIL	29	0	30	127	26	13	4	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.1%	10.4%	3.3%	4.73	4.83	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	MIL	10	0	11	46	10	5	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.1%	10.4%	3.3%	4.73	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	51	10	6	2	0%	1.0	18.9%	11.3%	7.6%	3.0%	4.34	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	841	166	100	33	0%	1.0	18.9%	11.3%	7.6%	3.0%	4.34	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		131	10	227	954	170	62	22	8%	1.7	17.8%	6.5%	11.3%	2.3%	2.73	3.69	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	9	200	839	149	54	19	8%	1.7	17.8%	6.5%	11.3%	2.3%	2.73	3.69	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
James Meeker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	20.8%	9.7%	3.0%	—	4.83	20.5%	10.4%	30	+0.22	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	84
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	82
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	81
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	81
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	81
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	79
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	78
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	77
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	77
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	77
Brian Sanches R 2011 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	19.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	229	76
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	76
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	76
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	75
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	75
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	74
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	74
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	74
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	74
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	20.3%	10.1%	1.20	4.59
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*