Ethan Routzahn

P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX3 levels	48	70	2.19	3.01	18.5%	7.2%	—	K 14.3% · BB 7.5% · FIP 3.55
2025	27	MIX2 levels	46	50	4.50	4.70	17.3%	10.0%	—	K 14.4% · BB 9.7% · FIP 5.11
2026	28	AAASD	52	66	6.27	4.74	15.5%	13.6%	—	K 13.4% · BB 12.2% · FIP 4.69
2027PROJ	29	MLBSD	40	42	5.14	5.14	14.4%	11.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBSD	13	14	5.16	5.23	14.9%	11.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsEder Llamas (age 29) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Drew Hayes (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%14.4%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%3.4%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	20	80	35	5	2	0%	1.2	32.0%	7.0%	25.0%	4.8%	2.29	3.90	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	0	20	80	35	5	2	0%	1.2	43.8%	6.2%	37.5%	2.5%	2.29	1.63	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	25	118	21	10	4	5%	1.2	13.6%	10.2%	3.5%	4.8%	4.97	5.88	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	25	118	21	10	4	5%	1.2	17.8%	8.5%	9.3%	3.4%	4.97	4.68	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	32	0	66	287	62	24	6	0%	2.1	16.6%	9.6%	7.0%	3.1%	4.66	4.61	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	32	0	66	287	62	24	6	0%	2.1	21.6%	8.4%	13.2%	2.1%	4.66	3.50	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	70	292	54	21	3	0%	1.5	14.3%	7.5%	6.8%	1.3%	2.19	3.55	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	70	292	54	21	3	0%	1.5	14.3%	7.5%	6.8%	1.3%	2.19	3.55	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	70	292	54	21	3	0%	1.5	18.5%	7.2%	11.3%	1.0%	2.19	3.01	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	50	231	40	23	7	0%	1.1	14.4%	9.7%	4.7%	3.6%	4.50	5.11	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	50	231	40	23	7	0%	1.1	14.4%	9.7%	4.7%	3.6%	4.50	5.11	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	50	231	40	23	7	0%	1.1	17.3%	10.0%	7.4%	3.0%	4.50	4.70	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	52	0	66	309	48	42	6	0%	1.3	13.4%	12.2%	1.1%	2.1%	6.27	4.69	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	52	0	66	309	48	42	6	0%	1.3	13.4%	12.2%	1.1%	2.1%	6.27	4.69	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	52	0	66	309	48	42	6	0%	1.3	15.5%	13.6%	1.9%	1.9%	6.27	4.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	SD	40	0	42	177	26	19	5	0%	1.1	14.4%	11.0%	3.4%	2.7%	5.14	5.14	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	SD	38	0	39	166	25	18	5	0%	1.0	14.9%	11.1%	3.8%	2.9%	5.16	5.23	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	SD	13	0	14	59	9	7	2	0%	1.1	14.9%	11.1%	3.8%	2.9%	5.16	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	9	7	2	0%	1.0	14.9%	11.1%	3.8%	2.9%	5.16	4.85	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	124	97	28	0%	1.1	14.9%	11.1%	3.8%	2.9%	5.16	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		216	1	297	1317	206	127	37	0%	1.4	15.6%	9.7%	6.0%	2.8%	4.28	4.55	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		146	1	200	888	139	86	25	0%	1.4	15.6%	9.7%	6.0%	2.8%	4.28	4.55	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ethan Routzahn (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	14.4%	11.0%	2.7%	—	5.23	14.9%	3.8%	39	+0.09	—	—	—
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	88
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	86
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	85
Esteban Haro R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	29	SU	4.14	11.6%	8.4%	1.7%	.302	4.25	15.6%	7.8%	78	+0.11	3.76	164	85
Santiago Casilla R 2009 · 4.44 FIP	29	SU	4.44	15.0%	9.4%	2.6%	.324	3.29	22.1%	13.0%	170	-1.15	2.76	647	84
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	84
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	83
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	9.8%	9.5%	1.6%	.307	3.52	13.2%	7.9%	80	-0.85	2.23	173	83
Tony Fiore R 2000 · 5.61 FIP	28	SU	5.61	10.8%	9.5%	4.0%	.321	4.76	14.3%	3.5%	127	-0.85	4.60	142	82
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	82
Jason Boyd R 2002 · 5.81 FIP	29	SU	5.81	13.7%	10.7%	4.6%	.290	4.74	15.0%	3.7%	65	-1.07	3.68	128	82
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	82
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	82
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	82
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	81
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	81
Luis Angel Daniel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	30	SU	4.47	9.9%	6.9%	2.4%	.292	4.36	11.6%	2.4%	107	-0.11	4.16	156	81
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	80
Benjamin Sandoval R 2016 · 5.13 FIP	29	SU	5.13	6.7%	11.3%	2.1%	.292	5.51	9.0%	-4.4%	49	+0.38	4.66	146	80
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	41	14.7%	11.0%	1.09	5.15
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Greg Booker ('83-'90, -1 WAR*)	1.3	53	13.3%*	10.2%*	1.07*	4.51*