Ben Sears

P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 208 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	A+KC	44	0	58	3.28	3.27	20.3%	6.1%	—	K 15.7% · BB 7.0% · FIP 4.12
2025	25	MIX2 levels	41	0	62	4.33	4.58	19.6%	8.6%	—	K 16.2% · BB 9.0% · FIP 5.05
2026	26	MIX2 levels	43	10	72	3.98	4.59	18.8%	8.8%	—	K 16.3% · BB 8.2% · FIP 4.61
2027PROJ	27	MLBKC	67	0	70	5.17	5.17	14.8%	9.3%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBKC	28	0	29	5.13	5.17	15.5%	9.4%	-0.2
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBKC	36	0	38	5.17	5.23	15.9%	9.6%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control50Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsLuis Mateo (age 27) · Jose Casilla (age 27) · Tyler Walker (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.17

FIP5.17

K%14.8%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%5.5%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	16	59	13	2	1	0%	2.0	16.0%	4.6%	11.3%	2.2%	2.87	3.57	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	16	59	13	2	1	0%	2.0	22.0%	3.4%	18.6%	1.7%	2.87	2.65	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	71	290	68	13	7	0%	2.0	18.7%	4.3%	14.3%	2.4%	4.08	3.40	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	71	290	68	13	7	0%	2.0	23.4%	4.5%	19.0%	2.4%	4.08	3.02	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	44	0	58	246	50	15	5	0%	1.3	15.7%	7.0%	8.6%	2.7%	3.28	4.12	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	44	0	58	246	50	15	5	0%	1.3	15.7%	7.0%	8.6%	2.7%	3.28	4.12	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	44	0	58	246	50	15	5	0%	1.3	20.3%	6.1%	14.2%	2.0%	3.28	3.27	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	62	280	55	24	10	0%	1.5	16.2%	9.0%	7.2%	4.0%	4.33	5.05	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	62	280	55	24	10	0%	1.5	16.2%	9.0%	7.2%	4.0%	4.33	5.05	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	62	280	55	24	10	0%	1.5	19.6%	8.6%	11.1%	3.6%	4.33	4.58	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	10	72	308	58	27	11	23%	1.7	16.3%	8.2%	8.1%	3.4%	3.98	4.61	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	10	72	308	58	27	11	23%	1.7	16.3%	8.2%	8.1%	3.4%	3.98	4.61	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	10	72	308	58	27	11	23%	1.7	18.8%	8.8%	10.1%	3.6%	3.98	4.59	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	KC	67	0	70	296	44	27	9	0%	1.0	14.8%	9.3%	5.5%	3.2%	5.17	5.17	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	KC	65	0	68	287	44	27	9	0%	1.0	15.5%	9.4%	6.1%	3.3%	5.13	5.17	-0.5
2029	29	MLB MLE	KC	62	0	65	274	43	26	9	0%	1.0	15.9%	9.6%	6.2%	3.4%	5.17	5.23	-0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	KC	28	0	29	122	19	12	4	0%	1.0	15.5%	9.4%	6.1%	3.3%	5.13	5.17	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	KC	36	0	38	160	25	15	5	0%	1.1	15.9%	9.6%	6.2%	3.4%	5.17	5.23	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	0	67	283	45	27	10	0%	1.0	15.7%	9.5%	6.2%	3.4%	5.15	4.83	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	134	80	30	0%	1.1	15.7%	9.5%	6.2%	3.4%	5.15	4.83	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		172	10	279	1183	198	83	36	6%	1.6	16.7%	7.0%	9.7%	3.1%	3.88	4.26	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	7	200	849	142	60	26	6%	1.6	16.7%	7.0%	9.7%	3.1%	3.88	4.26	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Sears (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.17	14.8%	9.3%	3.2%	—	5.20	15.7%	6.2%	133	+0.03	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	87
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	87
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	86
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	86
Brian Bass R 2009 · 4.70 FIP	27	SU	4.70	13.5%	9.8%	2.8%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	4.70	176	85
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	85
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	85
Derek Self R 2017 · 4.89 FIP	27	SU	4.89	11.9%	6.7%	3.5%	.273	4.66	14.5%	10.7%	131	-0.23	3.82	302	85
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	85
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	85
Justin Lehr R 2005 · 4.58 FIP	27	SU	4.58	14.9%	10.4%	2.6%	.252	4.23	16.0%	8.0%	16	-0.35	4.23	148	84
Geoff Geary R 2004 · 4.85 FIP	27	SU	4.85	15.0%	6.5%	4.0%	.295	3.65	15.0%	9.5%	217	-1.20	3.16	345	84
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	84
Chris Spurling R 2003 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	11.7%	6.4%	2.8%	.267	4.92	8.8%	3.3%	92	+0.47	4.13	219	84
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	84
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	84
Matt Guerrier R 2006 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	12.3%	7.0%	3.0%	.296	4.10	17.5%	11.4%	241	-0.49	3.25	623	84
Ricky Stone R 2002 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	18.8%	9.3%	2.7%	.297	4.96	13.7%	7.4%	165	+0.80	4.16	243	83
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	83
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	15.4%	9.4%	1.28	5.16
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Russ Swan ('89-'94, -2 WAR*)	1.3	89	12.3%*	9.9%*	1.13*	5.09*
Greg Booker ('83-'90, -1 WAR*)	1.3	53	13.3%*	10.2%*	1.07*	4.51*