Josh Hejka

P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MIX3 levels	38	57	3.77	2.73	19.0%	4.7%	—	K 15.7% · BB 5.7% · FIP 3.48
2025	28	MIX2 levels	27	29	6.28	4.08	18.9%	9.8%	—	K 15.9% · BB 10.7% · FIP 5.14
2026	29	MIX2 levels	29	44	8.04	8.39	13.9%	10.8%	—	K 11.6% · BB 8.5% · FIP 7.20
2027PROJ	30	MLBMIA	18	19	5.39	5.39	14.7%	8.6%	-0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBMIA	6	6	5.40	5.49	15.2%	9.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsIvan Zavala (age 30) · Angel Castro (age 32) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 119

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%14.7%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%6.1%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	0	62	270	47	12	2	0%	1.9	14.3%	5.3%	9.0%	0.6%	3.65	2.91	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	0	62	270	47	12	2	0%	1.9	17.4%	4.4%	13.0%	0.7%	3.65	2.58	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	2	54	243	55	21	6	6%	1.6	16.7%	10.8%	6.0%	2.9%	4.70	4.65	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	2	54	243	55	21	6	6%	1.6	22.6%	8.6%	14.0%	2.5%	4.70	3.68	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	57	253	48	12	3	0%	1.5	15.7%	5.7%	10.1%	1.8%	3.77	3.48	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	57	253	48	12	3	0%	1.5	15.7%	5.7%	10.1%	1.8%	3.77	3.48	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	57	253	48	12	3	0%	1.5	19.0%	4.7%	14.2%	1.2%	3.77	2.73	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	29	132	25	13	3	0%	1.1	15.9%	10.7%	5.2%	3.7%	6.28	5.14	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	29	132	25	13	3	0%	1.1	15.9%	10.7%	5.2%	3.7%	6.28	5.14	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	29	132	25	13	3	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.8%	9.1%	2.3%	6.28	4.08	—
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	44	223	31	24	17	0%	1.5	11.6%	8.5%	3.1%	7.3%	8.04	7.20	—
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	44	223	31	24	17	0%	1.5	11.6%	8.5%	3.1%	7.3%	8.04	7.20	—
2026	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	44	223	31	24	17	0%	1.5	13.9%	10.8%	3.1%	7.6%	8.04	8.39	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	MIA	18	0	19	80	12	7	3	0%	1.1	14.7%	8.6%	6.1%	3.8%	5.39	5.39	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	13	8	3	0%	1.1	15.2%	9.0%	6.2%	3.9%	5.40	5.49	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIA	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	15.2%	9.0%	6.2%	3.9%	5.40	5.49	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	4	2	1	0%	1.0	15.2%	9.0%	6.2%	3.9%	5.40	5.11	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	128	64	32	0%	1.1	15.2%	9.0%	6.2%	3.9%	5.40	5.11	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		160	2	245	1121	166	88	34	1%	1.5	14.8%	7.8%	7.0%	3.1%	5.00	4.53	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		131	2	200	915	136	72	28	1%	1.5	14.8%	7.8%	7.0%	3.1%	5.00	4.53	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Hejka (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	14.7%	8.6%	3.8%	—	5.49	15.2%	6.2%	20	+0.10	—	—	—
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	86
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	82
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	80
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	79
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	79
Luis Angel Daniel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	30	SU	4.47	9.9%	6.9%	2.4%	.292	4.36	11.6%	2.4%	107	-0.11	4.16	156	78
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	77
Jeff Gray R 2012 · 5.43 FIP	30	SU	5.43	11.0%	9.3%	3.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	127	77
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	77
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	77
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	77
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	77
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	76
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	76
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	75
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	74
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	74
Tyson Perez R 2019 · 5.69 FIP	29	SU	5.69	14.0%	7.2%	5.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.32	121	74