Luke Taggart

P Erie SeaWolves

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 228 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	ROKCOL	4	2	4	2.45	3.65	14.3%	14.3%	—	K 14.3% · BB 14.3% · FIP 3.70
2025	27	MIX3 levels	25	0	26	5.19	2.79	27.4%	7.5%	—	K 19.2% · BB 10.5% · FIP 4.36
2026	28	MIX2 levels	38	3	57	2.84	3.01	24.7%	10.2%	—	K 20.3% · BB 10.3% · FIP 3.49
2027PROJ	29	MLBDET	30	0	31	4.57	4.57	19.4%	10.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBDET	9	0	9	4.65	4.72	19.5%	10.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsWirfin Obispo (age 30) · Dustin Molleken (age 30) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%19.4%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP31

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	0	3	9	6	0	0	0%	1.5	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-2.53	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	2	0	3	9	6	0	0	0%	1.5	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	22	0	32	131	44	8	1	0%	1.5	25.9%	7.0%	18.8%	0.7%	2.53	2.20	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	22	0	32	131	44	8	1	0%	1.5	33.6%	6.1%	27.5%	0.8%	2.53	1.51	—
2024	26	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	2	4	14	2	2	0	50%	0.9	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.70	—
2024	26	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	2	4	14	2	2	0	50%	0.9	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.70	—
2024	26	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	2	4	14	2	2	0	50%	0.9	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	2.45	3.65	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	106	29	8	2	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.5%	8.8%	2.8%	5.19	4.36	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	106	29	8	2	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.5%	8.8%	2.8%	5.19	4.36	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	26	106	29	8	2	0%	1.0	27.4%	7.5%	19.8%	1.9%	5.19	2.79	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	3	57	235	58	24	3	8%	1.5	20.3%	10.3%	10.0%	1.4%	2.84	3.49	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	3	57	235	58	24	3	8%	1.5	20.3%	10.3%	10.0%	1.4%	2.84	3.49	—
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	3	57	235	58	24	3	8%	1.5	24.7%	10.2%	14.5%	1.3%	2.84	3.01	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	DET	30	0	31	131	25	13	3	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.2%	9.3%	2.6%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	DET	28	0	29	122	24	13	3	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.4%	9.1%	2.9%	4.65	4.72	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	DET	9	0	9	38	7	4	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.4%	9.1%	2.9%	4.65	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	7	4	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.4%	9.1%	2.9%	4.65	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	88	22	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.4%	9.1%	2.9%	4.65	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		91	5	122	495	110	46	7	5%	1.3	22.2%	9.4%	12.8%	1.5%	3.18	3.23	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	8	200	814	181	76	12	5%	1.3	22.2%	9.4%	12.8%	1.5%	3.18	3.23	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luke Taggart (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	19.4%	10.2%	2.6%	—	4.72	19.5%	9.1%	29	+0.15	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	89
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	88
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	87
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	86
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	86
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	83
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	83
Kevin Gryboski R 2003 · 3.67 FIP	29	SU	3.67	16.8%	8.9%	1.6%	.295	3.92	9.4%	0.2%	82	+0.25	3.67	178	83
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	82
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	82
Tyler Walker R 2005 · 4.19 FIP	29	SU	4.19	19.4%	7.5%	3.2%	.303	3.61	19.7%	11.3%	93	-0.58	2.38	289	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	81
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	81
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	81
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	81
Brian Sanches R 2008 · 4.74 FIP	29	SU	4.74	18.5%	9.3%	3.7%	.378	4.01	20.5%	10.8%	182	-0.73	3.39	229	81
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	80
Matt Lindstrom R 2009 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	17.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.320	3.16	17.7%	11.7%	154	-0.96	2.40	443	80
Santiago Casilla R 2009 · 4.44 FIP	29	SU	4.44	15.0%	9.4%	2.6%	.324	3.29	22.1%	13.0%	170	-1.15	2.76	647	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	19.4%	10.3%	1.06	4.61
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Randy Flores ('10)	1.2	42	17.7%	9.3%	1.04	4.61
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*