Aidan Anderson

P Charlotte Knights

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MIX2 levels	42	2	68	5.29	4.41	24.7%	7.4%	—	K 21.1% · BB 6.4% · FIP 4.96
2025	28	MIX3 levels	33	1	46	3.72	4.77	16.4%	12.9%	—	K 10.4% · BB 13.1% · FIP 5.88
2026	29	MIX2 levels	35	0	53	3.40	3.76	13.5%	8.4%	—	K 11.4% · BB 7.8% · FIP 4.04
2027PROJ	30	MLBCWS	25	0	26	5.05	5.05	13.5%	9.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBCWS	9	0	9	5.10	5.18	14.1%	9.4%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsIvan Zavala (age 30) · Angel Castro (age 32) · Luis Angel Daniel (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.05

FIP5.05

K%13.5%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%4.5%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies West	15	0	26	113	19	13	1	0%	1.7	11.4%	14.4%	-2.9%	1.2%	3.86	4.64	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies West	15	0	26	113	19	13	1	0%	1.7	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	0.9%	3.86	3.65	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	53	223	45	24	14	0%	1.7	16.2%	13.0%	3.3%	8.5%	4.58	8.06	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	53	223	45	24	14	0%	1.7	20.2%	10.8%	9.4%	6.3%	4.58	6.19	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	2	42	189	32	12	7	6%	1.3	15.8%	5.4%	10.3%	2.2%	5.62	3.68	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	2	42	189	32	12	7	6%	1.3	16.9%	6.3%	10.6%	3.7%	5.62	4.61	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	66	290	86	25	3	5%	1.6	23.8%	9.6%	14.3%	1.3%	4.11	3.02	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	2	66	290	86	25	3	5%	1.6	29.7%	8.6%	21.0%	1.0%	4.11	2.22	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	68	296	73	22	13	5%	1.6	21.1%	6.4%	14.7%	5.2%	5.29	4.96	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	68	296	73	22	13	5%	1.6	21.1%	6.4%	14.7%	5.2%	5.29	4.96	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	2	68	296	73	22	13	5%	1.6	24.7%	7.4%	17.2%	4.4%	5.29	4.41	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	46	201	33	26	5	3%	1.4	10.4%	13.1%	-2.7%	3.6%	3.72	5.88	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	46	201	33	26	5	3%	1.4	10.4%	13.1%	-2.7%	3.6%	3.72	5.88	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	1	46	201	33	26	5	3%	1.4	16.4%	12.9%	3.5%	2.5%	3.72	4.77	—
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	53	215	29	18	3	0%	1.5	11.4%	7.8%	3.6%	1.7%	3.40	4.04	—
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	53	215	29	18	3	0%	1.5	11.4%	7.8%	3.6%	1.7%	3.40	4.04	—
2026	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	53	215	29	18	3	0%	1.5	13.5%	8.4%	5.1%	1.4%	3.40	3.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CWS	25	0	26	110	15	10	3	0%	1.0	13.5%	9.0%	4.5%	2.9%	5.05	5.05	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CWS	23	0	24	103	15	10	3	0%	1.1	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	3.1%	5.10	5.18	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	CWS	9	0	9	38	5	4	1	0%	1.0	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	3.1%	5.10	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	5	4	1	0%	1.0	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	3.1%	5.10	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	111	89	22	0%	1.1	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	3.1%	5.10	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		229	7	353	1527	256	145	55	3%	1.5	16.8%	9.5%	7.2%	3.6%	4.41	4.85	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		130	4	200	865	145	82	31	3%	1.5	16.8%	9.5%	7.2%	3.6%	4.41	4.85	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aidan Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	13.5%	9.0%	2.9%	—	5.18	14.1%	4.7%	24	+0.13	—	—	—
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	86
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	85
Luis Angel Daniel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	30	SU	4.47	9.9%	6.9%	2.4%	.292	4.36	11.6%	2.4%	107	-0.11	4.16	156	83
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	9.8%	9.5%	1.6%	.307	3.52	13.2%	7.9%	80	-0.85	2.23	173	81
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	81
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	80
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	80
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	80
Jeff Gray R 2012 · 5.43 FIP	30	SU	5.43	11.0%	9.3%	3.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	127	79
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	78
Clay Condrey R 2006 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	13.1%	5.7%	2.5%	.333	3.79	12.2%	7.3%	161	-0.28	3.18	250	77
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	77
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	77
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	77
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	76
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	75
Zack Thornton R 2016 · 4.15 FIP	28	SU	4.15	11.8%	6.8%	2.2%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	101	75
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	13.8%	9.2%	1.15	5.07
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Dave Leiper ('84-'96, 0 WAR*)	1.4	46	15.6%*	9.1%*	0.94*	4.28*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*