Robert Kwiatkowski

P Knoxville Smokies

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX2 levels	34	3	59	4.10	3.86	21.0%	7.6%	—	K 16.4% · BB 8.6% · FIP 4.88
2024	27	MIX2 levels	36	2	79	2.86	3.41	22.1%	7.8%	—	K 18.3% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.03
2025	28	AACHC	15	0	20	4.12	3.66	19.6%	12.4%	—	K 15.9% · BB 13.6% · FIP 4.23
2027PROJ	30	MLBCHC	18	0	19	4.77	4.77	19.4%	10.6%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBCHC	6	0	6	4.84	4.92	19.4%	10.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsWirfin Obispo (age 30) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Dustin Molleken (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%19.4%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%8.8%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	31	1	70	300	39	20	3	3%	2.3	9.6%	7.9%	1.8%	1.5%	3.58	4.12	—
2021	24	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	31	1	70	300	39	20	3	3%	2.3	13.0%	6.7%	6.3%	1.0%	3.58	3.40	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	30	0	33	171	25	18	1	0%	1.1	11.3%	12.1%	-0.8%	0.7%	6.75	4.09	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	30	0	33	171	25	18	1	0%	1.1	14.6%	10.5%	4.1%	0.6%	6.75	3.61	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	3	59	238	50	18	7	9%	1.7	16.4%	8.6%	7.8%	3.8%	4.10	4.88	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	3	59	238	50	18	7	9%	1.7	21.0%	7.6%	13.4%	2.9%	4.10	3.86	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	79	321	71	25	7	6%	2.2	18.3%	9.0%	9.3%	2.4%	2.86	4.03	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	79	321	71	25	7	6%	2.2	18.3%	9.0%	9.3%	2.4%	2.86	4.03	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	79	321	71	25	7	6%	2.2	22.1%	7.8%	14.3%	2.2%	2.86	3.41	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	15	0	20	97	19	12	1	0%	1.3	15.9%	13.6%	2.3%	1.4%	4.12	4.23	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	15	0	20	97	19	12	1	0%	1.3	15.9%	13.6%	2.3%	1.4%	4.12	4.23	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	15	0	20	97	19	12	1	0%	1.3	19.6%	12.4%	7.2%	1.0%	4.12	3.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CHC	18	0	19	80	16	9	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.6%	8.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	16	9	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.84	4.92	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.84	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.84	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	96	32	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.84	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		146	6	261	1127	161	107	24	4%	1.8	14.3%	9.5%	4.8%	2.1%	3.93	4.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	5	200	862	123	82	18	4%	1.8	14.3%	9.5%	4.8%	2.1%	3.93	4.26	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Kwiatkowski (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	19.4%	10.6%	2.9%	—	4.92	19.4%	8.6%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	82
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	81
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	81
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	81
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	77
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	77
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	77
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	77
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	76
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	75
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	75
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	75
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	74
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	74
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	74
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	74
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	74