Zach Agnos

P Colorado Rockies

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	45	0	52	1.38	2.01	31.3%	5.0%	—	K 24.8% · BB 5.5% · FIP 2.73
2025	24	MIX2 levels	40	0	43	5.40	4.83	17.9%	11.4%	-0.1	K 13.8% · BB 12.3% · FIP 5.26
2026	25	MLBCOL	41	3	91	5.93	4.34	14.3%	8.1%	0.2
2027PROJ	26	MLBCOL	68	0	71	4.89	4.72	16.9%	8.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ95% MLB	27	MLBCOL	76	0	80	4.81	4.76	16.9%	8.8%	-0.2
2029PROJ95% MLB	28	MLBCOL	76	0	80	4.83	4.85	16.8%	8.9%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo48

Whiff%20

xwOBA vs19

K%10

CompsBraden Looper (age 26) · Jim Johnson (age 26) · D.J. Carrasco (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 109

ERA4.89

FIP4.72

K%16.9%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%8.2%

Proj IP71

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5055

CTRL4545

CMD2555

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4894.4

Whiff%

p2021.1%

p1014.3%

xwOBA vs

p190.349

SL+0.8 (29%)

SI (14%)

CU (1%)

FB-0.9 (38%)

CT-2.0 (22%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	1	0	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	25.0%	9.00	14.71	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	1	0	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	25.0%	9.00	14.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	47	0	52	221	68	13	4	0%	1.1	22.8%	6.9%	15.8%	2.0%	2.06	3.15	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	47	0	52	221	68	13	4	0%	1.1	30.8%	5.9%	24.9%	1.8%	2.06	2.24	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	52	201	63	10	3	0%	1.2	24.8%	5.5%	19.3%	1.9%	1.38	2.73	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	52	201	63	10	3	0%	1.2	24.8%	5.5%	19.3%	1.9%	1.38	2.73	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	52	201	63	10	3	0%	1.2	31.3%	5.0%	26.4%	1.5%	1.38	2.01	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	43	184	33	21	6	0%	1.1	13.8%	12.3%	1.4%	3.2%	5.40	5.26	-0.4
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	43	184	33	21	6	0%	1.1	13.8%	12.3%	1.4%	3.2%	5.40	5.26	-0.4
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	43	184	33	21	6	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.4%	6.5%	3.3%	5.40	4.83	-0.1
2026	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	41	3	91	407	58	33	10	7%	2.2	14.3%	8.1%	6.1%	2.2%	5.93	4.12	+0.5
2026	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	41	3	91	407	58	33	10	7%	2.2	14.3%	8.1%	6.1%	2.2%	5.93	4.12	+0.5
2026	25	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	41	3	91	407	58	33	10	7%	2.2	14.3%	8.1%	6.1%	2.5%	5.93	4.34	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			71	3	122	545	77	50	15	4%	1.7	14.1%	9.2%	5.0%	2.8%	6.11	4.66	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	COL	68	0	71	300	51	26	9	0%	1.0	16.9%	8.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.89	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	81	0	85	358	60	31	10	0%	1.0	16.9%	8.8%	8.1%	2.9%	4.81	4.76	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	81	0	85	358	60	32	11	0%	1.0	16.8%	8.9%	7.8%	3.0%	4.83	4.85	-0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	77	0	81	342	55	31	11	0%	1.1	16.2%	9.1%	7.0%	3.2%	4.94	5.01	-0.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	72	0	76	321	56	28	11	0%	1.1	17.5%	8.6%	8.8%	3.4%	4.94	4.95	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	76	0	80	338	57	30	10	0%	1.1	16.9%	8.8%	8.1%	2.9%	4.81	4.76	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	76	0	80	338	57	30	10	0%	1.1	16.8%	8.9%	7.8%	3.0%	4.83	4.85	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	73	0	77	325	53	30	10	0%	1.1	16.2%	9.1%	7.0%	3.2%	4.94	5.01	-0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	69	0	72	304	53	26	10	0%	1.0	17.5%	8.6%	8.8%	3.4%	4.94	4.95	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		366	3	432	1854	297	166	56	1%	1.2	16.0%	9.0%	7.1%	3.0%	5.23	4.53	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		169	1	200	858	137	77	26	1%	1.2	16.0%	9.0%	7.1%	3.0%	5.23	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		174	3	240	1017	184	82	24	2%	1.4	18.1%	8.1%	10.1%	2.4%	4.01	3.88	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	2	200	848	154	68	20	2%	1.4	18.1%	8.1%	10.1%	2.4%	4.01	3.88	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Agnos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	16.9%	8.7%	2.9%	—	4.87	16.6%	7.7%	250	+0.15	—	—	—
Braden Looper R 2001 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	17.6%	9.2%	2.7%	.264	3.41	16.4%	10.0%	250	-0.85	2.90	1,173	85
Jim Johnson R 2009 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	16.3%	6.7%	2.7%	.291	3.01	16.0%	11.2%	186	-1.02	2.56	700	84
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	84
Billy Koch R 2001 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	17.9%	8.4%	2.3%	.282	4.17	21.3%	10.0%	196	+0.26	3.10	407	84
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	83
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	83
Mitchell Boggs R 2010 · 3.71 FIP	26	SU	3.71	18.2%	8.8%	1.9%	.271	3.64	18.2%	10.6%	157	-0.07	3.21	330	82
Ricky Stone R 2002 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	18.8%	9.3%	2.7%	.297	4.96	13.7%	7.4%	165	+0.80	4.16	243	82
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	82
Logan Ondrusek R 2011 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	15.3%	7.8%	2.1%	.245	4.09	20.1%	11.6%	151	+0.15	3.57	409	81
Wayne Gomes R 2000 · 4.09 FIP	27	SU	4.09	15.1%	9.9%	1.8%	.278	4.00	17.4%	8.8%	84	-0.09	3.49	368	81
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	81
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	81
David Herndon R 2011 · 4.53 FIP	25	SU	4.53	16.0%	7.0%	3.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	109	80
Bob Howry R 2000 · 3.67 FIP	26	SU	3.67	20.8%	9.3%	2.1%	.245	4.13	17.1%	11.1%	147	+0.46	3.11	783	80
Carlos Gonzalez R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.2%	8.7%	2.0%	.266	4.37	14.3%	2.3%	36	+0.59	3.75	154	80
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	80
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	80
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	80
Bryan Morris R 2013 · 4.78 FIP	26	SU	4.78	13.7%	8.5%	3.2%	.243	3.90	17.7%	9.2%	145	-0.88	3.48	231	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	74	16.2%	9.0%	1.16	5.17
John Montague ('73-'80, -2 WAR*)	2.7	91	17.0%*	9.3%*	1.23*	4.98*
Marlin Stuart ('49-'54, -2 WAR*)	2.4	81	16.3%*	9.8%*	1.06*	4.88*
Lance Painter ('03)	2.2	56	16.7%	9.0%	1.32	5.24
Esmil Rogers ('15)	2.3	76	18.8%	8.8%	1.19	5.59
Bryan Hickerson ('95)	2.0	81	15.9%	8.1%	1.16	4.72
Dennis Powell ('85-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.7	49	17.6%*	10.1%*	1.18*	5.31*