Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 12.6% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.95 | 5.97 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.6% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 4.95 | 3.51 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 36 | 0 | 63 | 265 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.7% | 6.0% | 16.7% | 0.7% | 3.43 | 2.35 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 36 | 0 | 63 | 265 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.7% | 6.0% | 22.6% | 0.8% | 3.43 | 1.86 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 2 | 71 | 311 | 66 | 24 | 6 | 5% | 1.6 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 4.20 | 4.07 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 2 | 71 | 311 | 66 | 24 | 6 | 5% | 1.6 | 21.2% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | 4.20 | 3.35 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK | ACL Angels | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 35.0% | 5.0% | 30.0% | 5.0% | 6.23 | 3.52 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK | ACL Angels | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 35.0% | 5.0% | 30.0% | 5.0% | 6.23 | 3.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 39 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 16 | 66 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 77 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 118 | 2 | 182 | 800 | 147 | 62 | 21 | 2% | 1.5 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 4.16 | 3.97 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 130 | 2 | 200 | 881 | 162 | 69 | 23 | 2% | 1.5 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 4.16 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hayden Seig (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.45 | 21.3% | 12.4% | 43 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 88 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 87 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 86 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 86 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 86 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 85 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.0% | .241 | 3.28 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.15 | 2.51 | 131 | 85 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 85 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 84 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 84 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 84 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 84 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.23 | 18.6% | 6.7% | 1.6% | .294 | 4.07 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 106 | +0.84 | 3.23 | 253 | 84 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.58 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .246 | 3.53 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.05 | 2.96 | 160 | 83 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.61 | 20.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 157 | 83 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 82 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 82 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.30 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .276 | 6.16 | 27.5% | 9.3% | 50 | +2.86 | 2.80 | 155 | 82 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.90 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.42 | 2.78 | 596 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 44 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 1.13 | 4.39 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |