Hayden Seig
P
ACL Angels
+0.4
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 227 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.2%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%12.5%
IP63
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 35 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 12.6% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 4.95 | 5.45 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 36 | 0 | 63 | 265 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 22.7% | 6.0% | 0.7% | 3.43 | 2.34 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 44 | 2 | 71 | 311 | 66 | 24 | 6 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 4.20 | 4.02 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK | ACL Angels | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 6.23 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 63 | 267 | 57 | 23 | 8 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 56 | 23 | 8 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.38 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 61 | 257 | 55 | 23 | 8 | 21.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.42 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.48 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 51 | 22 | 7 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.50 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 48 | 22 | 7 | 20.8% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 45 | 21 | 7 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 20.2% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.77 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 47 | — | 47 | 197 | 39 | 20 | 7 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 36 | 19 | 7 | 19.4% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 5.01 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 2 | 182 | 800 | 147 | 62 | 19 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 4.16 | 3.82 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 130 | 2 | 200 | 881 | 162 | 68 | 21 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 4.16 | 3.82 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hayden Seig (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.43 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 182 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 92 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 91 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 89 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 89 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 89 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 88 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 87 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 86 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.88 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .209 | 4.78 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.90 | 3.57 | 157 | 86 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.35 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .359 | 5.13 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.78 | 3.35 | 108 | 86 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .321 | 2.87 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.67 | 2.39 | 509 | 86 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.18 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .290 | 3.63 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.45 | 3.18 | 124 | 86 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 86 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 85 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 85 |
| Conor Mullee R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.28 | 17.7% | 7.2% | 1.4% | .290 | 2.64 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 55 | -0.64 | 2.17 | 110 | 85 |
| Pedro Beato R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.46 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 1.6% | .276 | 3.94 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 192 | +0.48 | 3.46 | 295 | 85 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.55 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.15 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.40 | 4.02 | 328 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.18 | 18.6% | 6.7% | 1.5% | .294 | 4.05 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 106 | +0.87 | 3.18 | 253 | 84 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2037 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $6M | $1.0M | -$5M | ||