Joe La Sorsa

P Worcester Red Sox

Age 29 LHP 6'5" / 224 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	58	0	74	2.81	4.12	18.4%	4.7%	0.4	K 16.5% · BB 4.3% · FIP 4.43
2025	27	MIX2 levels	54	0	55	3.58	4.31	19.1%	11.2%	0.2	K 18.2% · BB 10.8% · FIP 3.43
2026	28	MIX2 levels	29	2	33	3.03	3.28	20.9%	5.4%	0.5	K 17.6% · BB 5.0% · FIP 3.19
2027PROJ	29	MLBBOS	53	0	56	4.52	4.65	15.3%	8.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBBOS	18	0	19	4.69	4.83	15.4%	8.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBBOS	26	0	27	4.87	5.02	15.3%	9.2%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control40Command40FB velo37

CompsChad Zerbe (age 29) · Colt Hynes (age 28) · Jose Meraz (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 122

ERA4.52

FIP4.65

K%15.3%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%6.8%

Proj IP56

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†3030

SI (39%)

SL-1.6 (22%)

FB-1.7 (64%)

CH-2.4 (14%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	6	70	286	69	19	10	19%	2.3	18.2%	7.7%	10.5%	4.5%	3.60	4.99	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	6	70	286	69	19	10	19%	2.3	24.1%	6.6%	17.5%	3.5%	3.60	3.80	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	73	277	87	8	6	2%	1.8	24.7%	3.3%	21.4%	2.7%	2.33	2.89	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	73	277	87	8	6	2%	1.8	31.4%	2.9%	28.5%	2.2%	2.33	2.12	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	3	69	309	57	21	8	6%	1.4	17.2%	6.6%	10.5%	2.8%	4.02	4.00	+0.5
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	3	69	309	57	21	8	6%	1.4	18.4%	6.8%	11.7%	2.6%	4.02	3.86	+0.6
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	74	299	55	14	11	0%	1.3	16.5%	4.3%	12.1%	3.9%	2.81	4.43	+0.1
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	74	299	55	14	11	0%	1.3	16.5%	4.3%	12.1%	3.9%	2.81	4.43	+0.1
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	74	299	55	14	11	0%	1.3	18.4%	4.7%	13.7%	3.7%	2.81	4.12	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	55	241	46	27	6	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	0.9%	3.58	3.43	+0.7
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	55	241	46	27	6	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	0.9%	3.58	3.43	+0.7
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	55	241	46	27	6	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.2%	7.9%	2.5%	3.58	4.31	+0.2
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	2	33	129	27	7	3	7%	1.1	17.6%	5.0%	12.6%	1.7%	3.03	3.19	+0.5
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	2	33	129	27	7	3	7%	1.1	17.6%	5.0%	12.6%	1.7%	3.03	3.19	+0.5
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	2	33	129	27	7	3	7%	1.1	20.9%	5.4%	15.5%	2.3%	3.03	3.28	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			47	0	57	254	45	15	12	0%	1.2	17.7%	5.9%	11.8%	4.7%	5.34	5.04	-0.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	BOS	53	0	56	236	36	20	6	0%	1.1	15.3%	8.5%	6.8%	2.5%	4.52	4.65	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	BOS	50	0	52	221	34	20	6	0%	1.0	15.4%	8.8%	6.6%	2.8%	4.69	4.83	-0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	BOS	47	0	49	206	32	19	6	0%	1.0	15.3%	9.2%	6.0%	3.0%	4.87	5.02	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	BOS	18	0	19	80	12	7	2	0%	1.1	15.4%	8.8%	6.6%	2.8%	4.69	4.83	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	BOS	26	0	27	114	17	11	3	0%	1.0	15.3%	9.2%	6.0%	3.0%	4.87	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		91	0	104	449	75	33	18	0%	1.1	16.7%	7.3%	9.4%	3.9%	5.10	4.78	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		176	0	200	867	145	64	35	0%	1.1	16.7%	7.3%	9.4%	3.9%	5.10	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		260	12	374	1541	289	97	45	5%	1.4	18.8%	6.3%	12.5%	2.9%	3.22	3.91	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	6	200	823	155	52	24	5%	1.4	18.8%	6.3%	12.5%	2.9%	3.22	3.91	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe La Sorsa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	15.3%	8.5%	2.5%	—	4.92	15.3%	6.3%	101	+0.27	—	—	—
Chad Zerbe L 2001 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	.299	3.88	9.4%	2.6%	106	+0.13	3.75	145	77
Colt Hynes L 2013 · 4.76 FIP	28	SU	4.76	15.5%	8.3%	3.5%	.361	3.49	19.3%	12.8%	96	-1.27	3.42	169	77
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	77
Doug Slaten L 2008 · 4.56 FIP	28	SU	4.56	13.6%	8.8%	2.7%	.264	3.63	19.2%	10.2%	57	-0.93	3.22	139	76
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	73
Tom Martin L 2000 · 4.16 FIP	30	SU	4.16	14.7%	9.1%	2.1%	.274	4.29	21.8%	12.3%	68	+0.12	3.40	303	73
Darin Downs L 2014 · 3.78 FIP	29	SU	3.78	18.2%	11.5%	1.4%	.255	4.06	12.9%	8.7%	16	+0.28	2.83	107	72
Jeremy Bleich L 2016 · 4.35 FIP	29	SU	4.35	10.1%	7.8%	2.1%	.333	3.64	19.1%	13.1%	146	-0.71	3.20	241	72
Tyler Olson L 2019 · 3.86 FIP	29	SU	3.86	20.0%	10.0%	2.1%	.326	3.96	21.6%	12.9%	31	+0.10	3.15	263	71
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	71
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.76	239	69
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	68
Cesar Jimenez L 2014 · 4.21 FIP	29	SU	4.21	12.3%	10.8%	1.4%	.265	3.73	18.0%	10.3%	80	-0.48	3.49	148	68
Ozzie Mendez L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	29	SU	3.95	10.3%	9.4%	1.0%	.321	7.57	11.3%	3.3%	38	+3.62	3.95	161	68
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	68
Dario Alvarez L 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	20.7%	12.4%	1.0%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	160	67
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	67
Mike Gallo L 2006 · 5.31 FIP	29	SU	5.31	8.5%	7.3%	3.7%	.379	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	116	67
Erasmo Ramirez L 2005 · 4.68 FIP	29	SU	4.68	6.2%	3.1%	3.1%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	108	67
Josh Osich L 2018 · 3.73 FIP	29	SU	3.73	17.3%	9.5%	1.6%	.377	5.05	22.2%	15.9%	115	+1.32	3.41	315	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	54	16.0%	8.1%	1.28	4.86
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*