Brian Metoyer

P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 173 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	25	AANYM	6	7	9.82	8.69	31.4%	22.9%	—	K 31.4% · BB 22.9% · FIP 8.05
2025	28	MIX2 levels	33	42	1.70	1.94	34.9%	13.6%	—	K 27.7% · BB 15.3% · FIP 2.70
2026	29	MIX2 levels	50	56	4.37	2.27	36.0%	14.0%	—	K 29.7% · BB 14.3% · FIP 2.92
2027PROJ	30	MLBNYM	33	35	4.06	4.06	28.9%	13.9%	0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBNYM	10	10	4.21	4.29	28.0%	13.8%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Hirokazu Sawamura (age 33) · Leonel Campos (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA4.06

FIP4.06

K%28.9%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%15.1%

Proj IP35

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Kingsport Mets	12	0	12	63	11	9	2	0%	1.0	11.9%	17.9%	-6.0%	4.4%	5.11	6.80	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Kingsport Mets	12	0	12	63	11	9	2	0%	1.0	17.5%	14.3%	3.2%	3.2%	5.11	5.61	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	36	144	52	18	1	0%	1.6	27.2%	13.3%	14.0%	1.0%	2.25	3.05	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	36	144	52	18	1	0%	1.6	36.1%	12.5%	23.6%	0.7%	2.25	2.07	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	6	0	7	35	11	8	3	0%	1.2	31.4%	22.9%	8.6%	8.6%	9.82	8.05	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	6	0	7	35	11	8	3	0%	1.2	31.4%	22.9%	8.6%	8.6%	9.82	8.69	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	42	169	59	23	0	0%	1.3	27.7%	15.3%	12.4%	0.0%	1.70	2.70	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	42	169	59	23	0	0%	1.3	27.7%	15.3%	12.4%	0.0%	1.70	2.70	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	42	169	59	23	0	0%	1.3	34.9%	13.6%	21.3%	0.0%	1.70	1.94	—
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	56	242	87	34	2	0%	1.1	29.7%	14.3%	15.4%	1.0%	4.37	2.92	—
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	56	242	87	34	2	0%	1.1	29.7%	14.3%	15.4%	1.0%	4.37	2.92	—
2026	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	56	242	87	34	2	0%	1.1	36.0%	14.0%	21.9%	0.8%	4.37	2.27	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	NYM	33	0	35	148	43	20	3	0%	1.1	28.9%	13.9%	15.1%	2.3%	4.06	4.06	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	NYM	31	0	32	137	38	19	4	0%	1.0	28.0%	13.8%	14.2%	2.6%	4.21	4.29	+0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	NYM	10	0	10	42	12	6	1	0%	1.0	28.0%	13.8%	14.2%	2.6%	4.21	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	12	6	1	0%	1.0	28.0%	13.8%	14.2%	2.6%	4.21	3.91	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	236	118	20	0%	1.1	28.0%	13.8%	14.2%	2.6%	4.21	3.91	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		124	0	154	653	176	99	10	0%	1.2	27.0%	15.1%	11.9%	1.5%	3.46	3.54	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	0	200	850	230	129	12	0%	1.2	27.0%	15.1%	11.9%	1.5%	3.46	3.54	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brian Metoyer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.06	28.9%	13.9%	2.3%	—	4.29	28.0%	14.2%	32	+0.23	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	79
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	75
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	75
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2000 · 3.93 FIP	32	SU	3.93	29.4%	9.8%	3.8%	.212	2.88	24.9%	19.3%	161	-1.05	2.76	223	75
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	74
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	335	74
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	73
Cody Hall R 2018 · 3.92 FIP	30	SU	3.92	25.9%	17.5%	1.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	134	73
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	73
C.C. Lee R 2017 · 3.14 FIP	30	SU	3.14	28.4%	9.6%	2.2%	.359	3.03	34.7%	25.6%	25	-0.11	2.59	149	73
Chad Fox R 2001 · 3.17 FIP	30	SU	3.17	27.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.221	3.70	23.2%	9.6%	43	+0.53	2.82	194	72
Jason Bulger R 2009 · 3.78 FIP	30	SU	3.78	26.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.247	4.36	22.5%	9.0%	24	+0.58	3.78	106	72
Erik Goeddel R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	29	SU	3.45	28.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	2.01	193	71
Aquilino López R 2005 · 3.10 FIP	30	SU	3.10	30.6%	8.3%	2.8%	.333	3.89	16.2%	10.5%	96	+0.79	3.10	207	71
Simon Castro R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	29	SU	3.99	28.3%	10.3%	3.6%	.256	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	185	70
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.27	300	70
Chris Smith R 2018 · 3.72 FIP	29	SU	3.72	24.1%	9.3%	2.7%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	199	69
Jumbo Diaz R 2014 · 2.87 FIP	30	SU	2.87	26.1%	7.0%	2.0%	.283	3.64	23.0%	15.0%	186	+0.77	2.80	319	69
Gregory Infante R 2017 · 2.97 FIP	30	SU	2.97	22.8%	8.2%	1.4%	.251	4.07	22.0%	17.4%	50	+1.10	2.97	230	69
Parker Markel R 2021 · 4.23 FIP	30	SU	4.23	31.3%	18.5%	2.6%	.274	4.47	25.5%	10.0%	40	+0.24	3.18	266	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	28.5%	13.8%	0.95	4.13
Chad Fox ('09)	1.1	57	25.8%	13.2%	0.87	3.79
Kyle Barraclough ('23)	1.4	56	28.2%	13.9%	0.99	3.86
Rex Brothers ('21)	1.6	54	27.6%	13.5%	0.98	4.08
Marshall Bridges ('59-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	49	26.7%*	12.3%*	0.88*	4.15*
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Rod Scurry ('80-'88, 5 WAR*)	2.3	58	29.6%*	13.6%*	0.91*	3.67*