Joe Jacques

P Syracuse Mets

Age 32 LHP 6'4" / 210 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	29	MIX3 levels	42	1	46	5.72	2.95	20.1%	10.3%	0.9	K 17.8% · BB 9.8% · FIP 2.84
2025	30	AAASEA	47	1	52	6.02	3.27	24.8%	8.9%	—	K 21.3% · BB 8.0% · FIP 3.34
2026	31	MIX2 levels	30	0	30	5.10	4.13	21.3%	15.4%	—	K 16.3% · BB 13.0% · FIP 3.91
2027PROJ	32	MLBNYM	51	0	54	4.53	4.58	17.3%	10.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBNYM	17	0	18	4.71	4.84	17.0%	10.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBNYM	14	0	15	4.93	5.10	16.6%	10.9%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50Command50FB velo41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Adam Liberatore (age 31) · Zach Phillips (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 120

ERA4.53

FIP4.58

K%17.3%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4040

SI (64%)

SL-0.7 (26%)

CT-0.8 (10%)

FB-1.1 (64%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	23	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	17	0	21	107	19	19	1	0%	1.3	12.1%	22.2%	-10.1%	1.3%	6.33	5.61	—
2018	23	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	17	0	21	107	19	19	1	0%	1.3	17.8%	17.8%	0.0%	0.9%	6.33	4.60	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	2	66	276	59	33	3	6%	1.9	16.5%	13.3%	3.2%	1.4%	2.58	4.15	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	2	66	276	59	33	3	6%	1.9	21.4%	12.0%	9.4%	1.1%	2.58	3.40	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	37	0	48	214	53	20	5	0%	1.3	21.8%	9.8%	12.0%	2.3%	4.31	3.79	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	37	0	48	214	53	20	5	0%	1.3	24.8%	9.3%	15.4%	2.3%	4.31	3.50	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	43	173	35	14	4	3%	1.3	15.5%	8.2%	7.3%	2.8%	3.12	4.39	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	1	43	173	35	14	4	3%	1.3	20.2%	8.1%	12.1%	2.3%	3.12	3.65	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	2	66	284	55	20	6	4%	1.2	17.6%	6.6%	11.0%	2.3%	3.56	3.69	+0.7
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	2	66	284	55	20	6	4%	1.2	19.4%	7.0%	12.3%	2.1%	3.56	3.53	+0.8
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	1	46	214	43	22	1	2%	1.1	17.8%	9.8%	8.0%	0.0%	5.72	2.84	+0.9
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	1	46	214	43	22	1	2%	1.1	17.8%	9.8%	8.0%	0.0%	5.72	2.84	+0.9
2024	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	1	46	214	43	22	1	2%	1.1	20.1%	10.3%	9.8%	0.5%	5.72	2.95	+0.9
2025	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	47	1	52	246	61	22	5	2%	1.1	21.3%	8.0%	13.3%	1.9%	6.02	3.34	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	47	1	52	246	61	22	5	2%	1.1	21.3%	8.0%	13.3%	1.9%	6.02	3.34	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	47	1	52	246	61	22	5	2%	1.1	24.8%	8.9%	15.9%	2.0%	6.02	3.27	—
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	30	136	29	21	2	0%	1.0	16.3%	13.0%	3.3%	1.0%	5.10	3.91	—
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	30	136	29	21	2	0%	1.0	16.3%	13.0%	3.3%	1.0%	5.10	3.91	—
2026	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	30	136	29	21	2	0%	1.0	21.3%	15.4%	5.9%	1.5%	5.10	4.13	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			25	1	30	138	22	9	3	4%	1.2	15.9%	6.5%	9.4%	2.2%	5.46	3.84	+0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	NYM	51	0	54	228	39	23	5	0%	1.1	17.3%	10.2%	7.1%	2.3%	4.53	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	NYM	48	0	50	211	36	22	6	0%	1.0	17.0%	10.5%	6.5%	2.7%	4.71	4.84	-0.2
2029	34	MLB MLE	NYM	43	0	45	192	32	21	6	0%	1.1	16.6%	10.9%	5.7%	3.0%	4.93	5.10	-0.3
2030	35	MLB MLE	NYM	39	0	41	172	27	20	6	0%	1.0	16.0%	11.4%	4.6%	3.3%	5.20	5.40	-0.4
2028	33	MLB CTX	NYM	17	0	18	76	13	8	2	0%	1.1	17.0%	10.5%	6.5%	2.7%	4.71	4.84	-0.1
2029	34	MLB CTX	NYM	14	0	15	63	11	7	2	0%	1.1	16.6%	10.9%	5.7%	3.0%	4.93	5.10	-0.1
2030	35	MLB CTX	NYM	10	0	11	46	7	5	2	0%	1.1	16.0%	11.4%	4.6%	3.3%	5.20	5.40	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	1	74	325	53	29	9	1%	1.1	16.3%	9.0%	7.3%	2.6%	5.13	4.30	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		182	3	200	879	143	78	24	1%	1.1	16.3%	9.0%	7.3%	2.6%	5.13	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		297	7	373	1650	295	173	27	2%	1.3	17.9%	10.5%	7.4%	1.7%	4.32	3.83	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		159	4	200	886	158	93	15	2%	1.3	17.9%	10.5%	7.4%	1.7%	4.32	3.83	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe Jacques (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	17.3%	10.2%	2.3%	—	5.09	16.6%	5.7%	136	+0.51	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	81
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	77
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	76
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	75
Tommy Phelps L 2005 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	13.2%	7.5%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	120	74
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	73
Jack Taschner L 2010 · 4.74 FIP	32	SU	4.74	18.1%	11.7%	3.1%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	189	73
Hideki Okajima L 2008 · 3.49 FIP	32	SU	3.49	23.3%	8.5%	2.3%	.253	4.09	18.4%	11.4%	107	+0.60	3.05	238	72
Yorkis Perez L 2000 · 4.85 FIP	32	SU	4.85	18.9%	10.8%	3.6%	.284	4.54	20.8%	10.0%	27	-0.31	3.18	269	71
Dan Runzler L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	32	SU	4.20	17.5%	11.0%	2.1%	.325	4.84	16.0%	3.0%	27	+0.64	2.84	187	71
Doug Creek L 2001 · 4.48 FIP	32	SU	4.48	23.7%	15.8%	2.5%	.272	4.99	20.3%	7.6%	69	+0.51	4.48	277	68
Chad Zerbe L 2003 · 3.89 FIP	31	SU	3.89	7.8%	5.5%	1.4%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	145	68
Pedro Borbón L 2000 · 5.20 FIP	32	SU	5.20	13.6%	15.5%	2.4%	.274	4.23	21.1%	15.5%	104	-0.97	2.26	264	67
Tom Martin L 2001 · 5.68 FIP	31	SU	5.68	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	.311	4.25	19.8%	11.1%	96	-1.43	3.40	303	67
Marlon Arias L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	32	SU	3.73	17.2%	7.7%	2.0%	.443	4.83	19.8%	8.6%	74	+1.10	3.73	154	67
Luis Perez L 2015 · 4.00 FIP	30	SU	4.00	15.2%	12.6%	1.1%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.32	173	67
Valerio De Los Santos L 2005 · 5.03 FIP	32	SU	5.03	15.5%	8.7%	3.9%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	239	66
Jamie Walker L 2003 · 4.26 FIP	32	SU	4.26	16.5%	5.9%	3.3%	.256	3.76	17.6%	14.1%	161	-0.50	3.48	442	66
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	66
Jeremy Bleich L 2019 · 4.41 FIP	32	SW	4.41	20.1%	7.0%	3.9%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	241	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	44	16.7%	10.3%	1.05	4.90
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Dave Leiper ('84-'96, 0 WAR*)	1.4	46	15.6%*	9.1%*	0.94*	4.28*
Mike Munoz ('89-'00, 1 WAR*)	1.8	46	17.6%*	10.2%*	0.93*	4.46*