Penn Murfee
P
Charlotte Knights
+0.0
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AAA
ERA4.71
FIP4.72
xFIP4.94
SIERA4.10
K%20.6%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%9.2%
IP25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL5050
CMD6060
K†4040
FB Velo
p1088.1
Whiff%
p5325.7%
K%
p3920.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.380
SI (13%)
FB-0.8 (51%)
SL-4.3 (49%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 32 | 20 | 113 | 472 | 136 | 30 | 6 | 22.5% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 3.57 | 2.61 | +3.5 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 26 | 14 | 79 | 344 | 97 | 35 | 11 | 23.6% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 4.23 | 4.86 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 69 | 1 | 77 | 299 | 86 | 19 | 7 | 27.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.68 | 2.93 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 18 | 0 | 16 | 66 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 27.6% | 12.1% | 1.7% | 1.10 | 3.25 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 108.00 | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 37 | 0 | 35 | 165 | 29 | 23 | 3 | 16.4% | 14.5% | 1.9% | 5.45 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 25 | — | 25 | 104 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 16.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 24 | — | 24 | 100 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 16.7% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 183 | 36 | 321 | 1351 | 317 | 118 | 32 | 23.5% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 3.53 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 22 | 200 | 843 | 198 | 74 | 20 | 23.5% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 3.53 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Penn Murfee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 16.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.04 | 16.7% | 5.8% | 24 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.33 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 200 | 72 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.75 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.7% | .265 | 3.96 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.79 | 2.89 | 227 | 71 |
| Joe Smith R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.66 | 18.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | .253 | 2.84 | 28.4% | 23.0% | 125 | -1.82 | 1.95 | 309 | 70 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 16.6% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 299 | 70 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.99 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .243 | 4.44 | 17.6% | 3.6% | 14 | +0.45 | 3.10 | 256 | 69 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 69 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.86 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 3.5% | .351 | 5.87 | 14.4% | -1.1% | 13 | +1.01 | 4.19 | 166 | 69 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.31 | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 131 | 68 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.50 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .347 | 3.82 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.68 | 3.32 | 119 | 68 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 68 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.82 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.26 | 3.17 | 272 | 68 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.22 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 4.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 261 | 67 |
| Jeff Manship R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 114 | 67 |
| Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.30 | 14.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% | .330 | 3.24 | 19.4% | 9.4% | 33 | -1.06 | 2.98 | 598 | 67 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 67 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 67 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.49 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 149 | 67 |
| Tyson Ross R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.72 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 4.6% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 449 | 66 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | .362 | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.05 | 2.99 | 227 | 65 |
| Scott Carroll R 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.63 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.96 | 248 | 65 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.