Penn Murfee — OGILVIE

Penn Murfee P Charlotte Knights

Age 33 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 133 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.58

FIP4.98

K%16.6%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%6.0%

ROS IP133

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 133 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1088.1

Whiff%

p5325.7%

p3920.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.380

SI (13%)

FB-0.8 (51%)

SL-4.3 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	20	113	472	136	30	6	62%	3.5	22.5%	6.1%	16.4%	1.2%	3.57	2.61	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	20	113	472	136	30	6	62%	3.5	28.8%	6.4%	22.5%	1.3%	3.57	2.18	—
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	14	79	344	97	35	11	54%	3.0	23.6%	11.0%	12.6%	4.2%	4.23	4.80	—
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	14	79	344	97	35	11	54%	3.0	28.2%	10.2%	18.0%	3.2%	4.23	3.79	—
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	1	77	299	86	19	7	1%	1.1	27.9%	6.2%	21.7%	2.6%	2.68	2.98	+1.5
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	69	1	77	299	86	19	7	1%	1.1	28.8%	6.4%	22.4%	2.3%	2.68	2.79	+1.6
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	16	66	19	8	1	0%	0.9	27.6%	12.1%	15.5%	1.8%	1.10	3.27	+0.2
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	16	66	19	8	1	0%	0.9	28.8%	12.1%	16.7%	1.5%	1.10	3.04	+0.3
2024	30	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	1	1	0	5	1	1	0	100%	0.3	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.0%	108.00	3.94	—
2024	30	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	1	1	0	5	1	1	0	100%	0.3	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.0%	108.00	3.94	—
2024	30	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	1	1	0	5	1	1	0	100%	0.3	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.0%	108.00	6.10	—
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	35	165	29	23	3	0%	0.9	16.2%	12.8%	3.4%	1.8%	5.45	4.34	+0.1
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	35	165	29	23	3	0%	0.9	16.2%	12.8%	3.4%	1.8%	5.45	4.34	+0.1
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	35	165	29	23	3	0%	0.9	17.6%	13.9%	3.6%	1.8%	5.45	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			95	1	96	393	105	29	11	1%	1.0	26.7%	7.4%	19.3%	2.8%	3.38	3.31	+1.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	CWS	127	0	133	562	93	59	16	0%	1.0	16.6%	10.6%	6.0%	2.8%	4.58	4.98	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	CWS	116	0	121	512	83	55	16	0%	1.0	16.2%	10.8%	5.5%	3.2%	4.93	5.21	-0.9
2029	35	MLB MLE	CWS	104	0	109	460	72	51	16	0%	1.0	15.7%	11.1%	4.6%	3.5%	5.22	5.47	-1.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	CWS	7	0	7	30	5	3	1	0%	1.0	16.2%	10.8%	5.5%	3.2%	4.93	5.21	-0.1
2029	35	MLB CTX	CWS	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	15.7%	11.1%	4.6%	3.5%	5.22	5.47	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		102	1	104	426	110	33	12	1%	1.0	25.9%	7.6%	18.3%	2.8%	3.49	3.43	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	2	200	821	212	64	23	1%	1.0	25.9%	7.6%	18.3%	2.8%	3.49	3.43	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		183	36	321	1351	317	115	32	20%	1.8	23.4%	8.5%	14.9%	2.4%	3.70	3.50	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	22	200	843	197	72	20	20%	1.8	23.4%	8.5%	14.9%	2.4%	3.70	3.50	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Penn Murfee (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	16.6%	10.6%	2.8%	—	5.33	16.0%	5.0%	230	+0.35	—	—	—
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	63
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	61
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	59
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	59
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	58
Kazuhisa Makita R 2018 · 3.93 FIP	33	SU	3.93	21.6%	7.9%	3.0%	.270	2.81	18.9%	15.2%	70	-1.12	2.81	132	58
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	2.16	306	57
Angel Castro R 2016 · 5.42 FIP	33	SW	5.42	12.3%	9.1%	4.0%	.304	3.51	14.5%	7.1%	139	-1.91	3.51	292	57
Scott Atchison R 2010 · 4.59 FIP	34	SU	4.59	16.2%	6.7%	3.6%	.263	2.98	15.7%	11.1%	127	-1.61	2.52	340	56
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	56
Fernando Villalobos R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	32	SU	4.70	10.6%	8.0%	2.7%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	152	56
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	54
Jared Burton R 2014 · 3.90 FIP	33	SU	3.90	16.9%	8.1%	2.2%	.263	3.99	25.1%	15.7%	14	+0.09	3.09	367	53
Rafael Betancourt R 2008 · 4.12 FIP	33	SU	4.12	20.7%	6.5%	3.6%	.304	2.37	31.4%	27.3%	181	-1.75	1.79	686	53
Luis Angel Daniel R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	32	SU	4.16	9.8%	9.5%	1.2%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	156	52
Joe Roa R 2004 · 4.36 FIP	32	SU	4.36	14.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.28	258	52
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	52
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	52
Giovanni Carrara R 2001 · 4.06 FIP	33	SU	4.06	20.1%	6.0%	3.5%	.249	4.28	15.7%	7.9%	173	+0.22	2.50	462	51
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2017 · 5.96 FIP	32	SW	5.96	10.0%	13.0%	3.8%	.316	4.50	21.3%	16.2%	15	-1.46	3.39	212	51

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,251 pitcher careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	115	18.3%	10.3%	1.19	4.57
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81
Micah Owings ('12)	2.4	97	16.4%	9.8%	1.19	4.86
Adam Conley ('21)	2.2	87	19.8%	9.4%	1.16	4.71
Brian Tallet ('11)	2.3	92	16.5%	10.4%	1.13	4.79
Roansy Contreras ('25)	1.2	82	19.3%	9.8%	1.38	4.77
Scott Sanders ('99)	3.4	97	21.2%	9.3%	1.23	4.86