Andrew Wantz

P Iowa Cubs

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 235 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	MIX2 levels	8	6	25	6.20	4.68	32.7%	14.2%	0.1	K 27.3% · BB 12.6% · FIP 4.94
2025	29	MIX2 levels	12	0	13	0.69	2.64	29.4%	15.7%	—	K 29.4% · BB 15.7% · FIP 2.60
2026	30	MIX2 levels	34	10	76	5.33	4.15	20.5%	12.6%	0.4	K 18.4% · BB 11.3% · FIP 4.05
2027PROJ	31	MLBCHC	62	0	65	4.61	4.72	21.1%	11.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBCHC	21	0	22	4.83	4.97	20.3%	11.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBCHC	29	0	30	5.08	5.25	19.5%	12.0%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023

Whiff%56

xwOBA vs50

FB Velo43

K%39

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Dustin Molleken (age 31) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.61

FIP4.72

K%21.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.0%

Proj IP65

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4394.0

Whiff%

p5626.3%

p3920.6%

xwOBA vs

p500.312

SL (29%)

CT (23%)

SI (29%)

FB-1.5 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	23	99	47	15	2	0%	1.3	35.5%	19.4%	16.1%	3.9%	2.74	4.72	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	23	99	47	15	2	0%	1.3	47.5%	15.2%	32.3%	2.0%	2.74	2.10	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	96	435	112	43	16	75%	4.0	20.3%	11.1%	9.3%	4.4%	5.34	5.19	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	18	96	435	112	43	16	75%	4.0	25.7%	9.9%	15.9%	3.7%	5.34	4.28	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	5	58	236	68	16	7	15%	1.7	27.3%	6.9%	20.4%	3.1%	3.28	3.38	+0.8
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	5	58	236	68	16	7	15%	1.7	28.8%	6.8%	22.0%	3.0%	3.28	3.15	+1.0
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	1	66	264	69	24	11	2%	1.3	25.4%	9.1%	16.2%	4.2%	3.14	4.45	+0.1
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	1	66	264	69	24	11	2%	1.3	26.1%	9.1%	17.0%	4.2%	3.14	4.27	+0.2
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	3	65	271	62	27	9	6%	1.3	21.4%	9.5%	11.9%	3.5%	4.18	4.40	+0.1
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	3	65	271	62	27	9	6%	1.3	22.9%	10.0%	12.9%	3.3%	4.18	4.24	+0.2
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	6	25	113	37	16	5	75%	3.1	27.3%	12.6%	14.7%	4.6%	6.20	4.94	-0.0
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	6	25	113	37	16	5	75%	3.1	27.3%	12.6%	14.7%	4.6%	6.20	4.94	-0.0
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	6	25	113	37	16	5	75%	3.1	32.7%	14.2%	18.6%	4.4%	6.20	4.68	+0.1
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	13	51	15	8	0	0%	1.1	29.4%	15.7%	13.7%	0.0%	0.69	2.60	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	13	51	15	8	0	0%	1.1	29.4%	15.7%	13.7%	0.0%	0.69	2.60	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	13	51	15	8	0	0%	1.1	29.4%	15.7%	13.7%	0.0%	0.69	2.64	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	10	76	356	73	45	7	29%	2.2	18.4%	11.3%	7.2%	2.0%	5.33	4.05	+0.5
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	10	76	356	73	45	7	29%	2.2	18.4%	11.3%	7.2%	2.0%	5.33	4.05	+0.5
2026	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	10	76	356	73	45	7	29%	2.2	20.5%	12.6%	7.9%	2.0%	5.33	4.15	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			93	4	122	510	127	49	19	4%	1.3	24.9%	9.6%	15.3%	3.7%	4.20	4.25	+0.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	CHC	62	0	65	274	58	31	8	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.1%	10.0%	2.9%	4.61	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	CHC	57	0	60	254	52	29	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	11.5%	8.8%	3.2%	4.83	4.97	-0.3
2029	33	MLB MLE	CHC	53	0	55	233	45	28	8	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.0%	7.5%	3.5%	5.08	5.25	-0.4
2028	32	MLB CTX	CHC	21	0	22	93	19	11	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	11.5%	8.8%	3.2%	4.83	4.97	-0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	CHC	29	0	30	127	25	15	4	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.0%	7.5%	3.5%	5.08	5.25	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		143	4	175	732	171	75	26	3%	1.2	23.4%	10.3%	13.1%	3.6%	4.44	4.41	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		164	5	200	839	196	86	30	3%	1.2	23.4%	10.3%	13.1%	3.6%	4.44	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		230	43	421	1825	424	196	63	19%	1.8	23.2%	10.7%	12.5%	3.5%	4.30	4.39	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	20	200	867	202	93	30	19%	1.8	23.2%	10.7%	12.5%	3.5%	4.30	4.39	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Wantz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	21.1%	11.1%	2.9%	—	5.10	19.9%	8.2%	115	+0.38	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	76
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	75
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	74
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	72
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	72
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	71
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	71
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	71
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	70
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	70
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	69
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	69
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	68
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	68
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	67
Al Reyes R 2001 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	19.2%	10.0%	2.5%	.305	3.40	21.8%	11.1%	34	-0.72	2.60	411	67
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	67
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	67
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	67
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	50	22.2%	10.9%	1.32	4.58
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*