Wilderd PatiñoCF Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 315 proj PA
wRC+†27
AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .234 / .238
PA315
HR3
SB15
K%39
BB%5
ISO69
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -25.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-26BATRUN: +2.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +8.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -1.40-1.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-1.4-1.2-1.0-1.0262829
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 34
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER34
scouting grade only
EYE37
scouting grade only
SPEED61
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201817 ROKDSL D-backs 1 138117 23400 10349 65 197309231540 34271 257 247 47
201817 ROKDSL D-backs 1 138111 29600 16249 65 261397315712 54326 1712 335 115
201918 ROKACL D-backs 125111 29321 6462 133 261311351662 90406 375 283 75
201918 ROKACL D-backs 125106 37431 11322 133 349420472892 123462 269 380 149
202120 A2 teams 162149 21211 3829 65 141205188393 47303 512 180 -4
202120 A2 teams 162147 32322 5589 65 218286306592 88345 363 271 66
202221 A2 teams 418375 901717 1814418 679 240307347653 107366 344 285 76
202221 A2 teams 418366 1062129 2710918 679 290367432799 142386 266 354 129
202322 A+2 teams 475423 861115 2919023 5410 203291270560 66355 406 251 50
202322 A+2 teams 475402 1041417 5013323 5410 259373351723 92370 2811 337 116
202423 AA3 teams 321294 55903 161447 224 187246248494 61351 455 218 25
202423 AA3 teams 321286 631015 241127 224 220297315611 94341 357 278 71
▸ 2026 Season
202625 MLBARI 315288 49813 171247 153 170234236470 66282 395 221 27 -26 +2 +0 +1 +9 -1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBARI 31% 348317 571015 201318 163 180246265511 85283 386 235 38 -24 +2 +0 +1 +10 -1.1
202827 MLBARI 42% 375341 631116 231378 174 185253276528 91284 376 242 43 -24 +2 +0 +1 +11 -1.0
202928 MLBARI 48% 392356 671216 251418 174 188257278535 90284 366 245 46 -24 +2 -1 +1 +11 -1.1
202726 MLBARI 31% 10899 18302 6412 51 182243273516 91286 386 220 27 -9 +1 +0 +0 +3 -0.5
202827 MLBARI 42% 158144 27503 10583 71 188255285539 97287 376 228 33 -12 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.6
202928 MLBARI 48% 188170 33613 12684 82 194263294558 100287 366 232 36 -14 +1 -0 +1 +5 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career 454413 781418 281679 204 189256286541 97290 376 228 32 -35 +2 -0 +2 +13 -1.8
/ 162G 650591 11120111 4023913 296 188254281535 93290 376 228 32 -50 +3 -0 +2 +18 -2.6
Career 30692771 54087937 167117399 23350 195265273538 78318 385 243 44 -195 +27 -1 +11 +87 -7.2
/ 162G 650587 1141828 3524821 4911 194264273537 78316 385 243 44 -41 +5 -0 +2 +18 -1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201817 ROKDSL D-backs 1 138111 29600 16249 65 261397315712 54326 1712 335 115 +2 -1 +4 0.6
201918 ROKACL D-backs 125106 37431 11322 133 349420472892 123462 269 380 149 +7 +1 +4 1.2
202120 AVisalia Rawhide 132119 25212 5498 63 210288294582 84338 374 271 66 -5 +0 +4 -0.1
202120 ROKACL D-backs 3028 7110 091 02 250276357633 107368 300 272 66 -1 -1 +1 -0.1
202221 A+Hillsboro Hops 8073 21501 4252 132 288342397739 110426 315 329 110 +1 +2 +2 0.5
202221 AVisalia Rawhide 338293 851628 238416 547 290373440814 150377 257 360 134 +13 +8 +10 3.1
202322 A+Hillsboro Hops 449382 991315 4512622 4710 259370338707 79375 2810 331 112 +6 +5 +13 2.4
202322 ROKACL D-backs Black 2620 5102 571 70 2504236001.023 350273 2719 442 196 +3 +1 +1 0.5
202423 AAAReno Aces 1511 1000 341 01 9133391424 143 2720 249 49 -1 -0 +0 -0.1
202423 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 268244 54904 17943 173 221280307588 86340 356 265 61 -12 +2 +8 -0.2
202423 A+Hillsboro Hops 3831 8111 4143 50 258395452846 194438 3711 382 150 +2 +1 +1 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
1460721185250274+2+2-1.3-0.6
/1626641030+2.4+3.6-1.9pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Wilderd Patiño (OGILVIE) 25 20 34 61 37 170/234/238 68282 315 39% 5% 27 -1.7
Tanner English
2018 · AAA
25 35→42 41→40 60→55 36 167/242/266 98300 927 44% 7% 37 -2.6 171/224/270 99298 819 43% 5% 30 -3.1 152/195/2509825671942%4%9-1.9
Champ Stuart
2018 · AA
25 39→37 38→30 59→60 35 179/241/252 73317 631 43% 7% 33 -2.9 192/261/293 101323 1025 40% 8% 53 -1.5 104/200/20298167153746%11%3-1.1
Will Holland
2023 · AA
25 37→34 44→45 56→60 39 177/263/294 117312 1224 43% 9% 55 -1.4 190/273/300 110292 1029 36% 8% 59 -1.1 177/263/281104261103433%8%49-0.7
Justin Lavey
2023 · A
25 38 39→40 58→55 33 178/229/264 86313 718 43% 6% 30 -3.1 200/247/288 88324 716 38% 6% 44 -2.1 196/224/2616530362037%3%22-0.6
Ashton Creal
2023 · A
24 38 41→40 54→55 39 182/261/280 98290 822 38% 7% 50 -1.8 189/265/279 90345 815 44% 7% 51 -1.7 121/213/1654430071256%7%-2-1.2
Simon Whiteman
2023 · AA
26 39→44 36→30 58→55 42 181/261/245 65297 426 37% 9% 40 -2.4 198/267/279 81291 619 31% 8% 50 -1.7 189/255/2617226162028%8%38-1.0
Max George
2021 · A
25 39→36 40→45 54→55 41 187/268/274 87283 720 34% 7% 51 -1.7 193/279/325 132326 1515 42% 8% 69 -0.4 148/255/300152246202045%10%51-0.7
Aaron Whitefield
2022 · AA
25 44→47 38→40 56→60 39 206/261/285 79318 629 35% 6% 49 -1.8 214/271/329 115328 1130 35% 7% 66 -0.6 201/259/328127309124037%7%58-0.5
Luis Aviles Jr.
2019 · AA
24 40 38→50 54→55 33 192/233/268 76301 623 37% 4% 32 -3.0 202/249/289 87308 824 35% 6% 45 -2.1 196/238/335139267152232%4%50-1.1
Marland Williams
2006 · AA
25 41→39 42→45 62→60 38 203/248/309 106289 932 32% 6% 50 -1.8 184/243/301 117322 1230 43% 7% 46 -2.0 157/222/273116292133448%7%28-1.8
Delvin Zinn
2022 · AA
25 40→44 37→30 56→55 40 196/245/263 67267 532 28% 6% 37 -2.7 190/257/265 75276 526 31% 7% 43 -2.2 115/212/1523718903935%8%-3-1.2
Stephen Wrenn
2019 · AA
24 41→43 40→45 56→60 38 200/251/291 91288 824 32% 6% 46 -2.0 202/260/314 112305 924 35% 6% 56 -1.3 193/255/314121298112737%6%53-1.0
Jordyn Adams
2023 · AA
23 40 38→45 58→60 36 190/243/268 78298 524 36% 6% 37 -2.6 197/256/307 110301 1129 36% 7% 53 -1.5 186/248/297110286132638%7%45-1.1
T.J. Steele
2012 · AA
25 39→33 43→45 54→50 32 200/225/315 116275 1017 32% 3% 41 -2.3 201/239/311 110284 1015 32% 4% 46 -2.0 178/212/2658725771333%3%20-1.1
Casio Grider
2013 · A
25 41→40 38→40 56→55 37 195/251/284 89291 418 33% 5% 45 -2.1 201/258/286 85307 623 34% 6% 49 -1.8 192/251/2707829653035%5%38-1.3
Randolph Oduber
2014 · AA
25 39→44 39→40 51→55 29 184/225/263 80315 617 42% 4% 28 -3.2 204/244/288 84311 613 35% 3% 43 -2.2 210/240/2928331061333%2%37-2.1
Trey Martin
2017 · AA
24 37→39 36→40 53→55 34 182/220/242 60276 419 35% 4% 20 -3.8 195/237/286 91306 814 37% 5% 40 -2.4 188/231/28697298101439%4%36-1.7
Alfredo Reyes
2019 · AA
25 45 37→30 58→55 39 207/264/271 64333 528 37% 7% 46 -2.0 201/271/281 80346 619 40% 8% 53 -1.5 137/217/1986126241745%8%7-1.5
Jawuan Harris
2021 · A
24 36→24 39→40 54→55 40 166/257/253 87306 718 44% 9% 42 -2.3 177/257/259 82368 620 48% 9% 43 -2.2 92/195/1354323623855%10%-16-1.7
Mike Jarvis
2023 · AAA
25 37 43→40 58→60 39 188/248/302 114254 1123 30% 5% 50 -1.8 174/228/273 99241 1027 31% 5% 33 -2.9 150/204/2368621093432%5%11-2.0