Jake Stevenson — OGILVIE

Jake Stevenson P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%22.9%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	24	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	2	1	2	9	4	2	1	50%	1.0	44.4%	22.2%	22.2%	11.1%	4.50	8.26	—
2021	24	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	2	1	2	9	4	2	1	50%	1.0	44.4%	22.2%	22.2%	11.1%	4.50	8.60	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	26	0	27	144	29	36	5	0%	1.0	15.5%	28.7%	-13.2%	4.1%	10.12	7.68	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	26	0	27	144	29	36	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	25.0%	-4.9%	3.5%	10.12	7.41	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	22	1	24	103	26	17	0	5%	1.1	19.4%	19.0%	0.5%	0.0%	1.85	3.86	—
2023	26	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	22	1	24	103	26	17	0	5%	1.1	25.2%	16.5%	8.7%	0.0%	1.85	3.06	—
2024	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	29	0	30	142	39	17	2	0%	1.0	21.1%	13.8%	7.4%	1.3%	6.37	3.78	—
2024	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	29	0	30	142	39	17	2	0%	1.0	21.1%	13.8%	7.4%	1.3%	6.37	3.78	—
2024	27	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	29	0	30	142	39	17	2	0%	1.0	27.5%	12.0%	15.5%	1.4%	6.37	3.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	NYM	16	0	17	72	16	8	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.7%	12.2%	3.0%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.9%	11.6%	3.2%	4.63	4.71	-0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	NYM	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	10.9%	11.6%	3.2%	4.63	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	10.9%	11.6%	3.2%	4.63	4.33	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.9%	11.6%	3.2%	4.63	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		79	2	83	398	76	82	9	3%	1.0	19.2%	20.7%	-1.5%	2.2%	6.21	5.31	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		191	5	200	963	185	200	21	3%	1.0	19.2%	20.7%	-1.5%	2.2%	6.21	5.31	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Stevenson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	22.9%	10.7%	3.0%	—	4.71	22.5%	11.6%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	89
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	85
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	79
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	79
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	77
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	76
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	76
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	75
Kiko Calero R 2005 · 3.51 FIP	30	SU	3.51	22.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.252	3.23	23.3%	13.9%	99	-0.28	2.27	298	75
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	74
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	74
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	74
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	73
Chris Smith R 2018 · 3.72 FIP	29	SU	3.72	24.1%	9.3%	2.7%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	199	73
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	73
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	73
Jeremy Fikac R 2004 · 4.91 FIP	29	SU	4.91	19.6%	8.0%	4.5%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	136	73