Reid Birlingmair

P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 30 RHP 5'10" / 210 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	25	ROKOAK	2	1	3	10.80	3.40	37.5%	0.0%	—	K 37.5% · BB 0.0% · FIP 3.36
2023	26	MIX2 levels	25	0	40	2.68	2.85	28.0%	8.9%	—	K 21.8% · BB 9.2% · FIP 4.14
2024	27	MIX2 levels	41	0	53	5.77	4.61	22.5%	13.6%	—	K 18.6% · BB 13.3% · FIP 4.93
2027PROJ	30	MLBTEX	34	0	36	4.80	4.80	20.7%	11.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBTEX	10	0	11	4.87	4.95	20.6%	11.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsYoanner Negrin (age 31) · Edgar Alberto Garcia (age 29) · Rodolfo Aguirre (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%20.7%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%9.6%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	8	2	19	79	25	6	0	25%	2.3	21.5%	9.5%	12.0%	0.0%	1.45	2.49	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics	8	2	19	79	25	6	0	25%	2.3	31.6%	7.6%	24.1%	0.0%	1.45	1.39	—
2019	22	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	24	21	123	520	120	50	12	88%	5.1	17.1%	11.3%	5.7%	3.0%	4.02	4.72	—
2019	22	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	24	21	123	520	120	50	12	88%	5.1	23.1%	9.6%	13.5%	2.3%	4.02	3.64	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	21	21	103	443	84	52	13	100%	4.9	14.6%	13.5%	1.1%	3.8%	4.54	5.68	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	21	21	103	443	84	52	13	100%	4.9	19.0%	11.7%	7.2%	2.9%	4.54	4.62	—
2022	25	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	2	1	3	16	6	0	1	50%	1.7	37.5%	0.0%	37.5%	6.2%	10.80	3.36	—
2022	25	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	2	1	3	16	6	0	1	50%	1.7	37.5%	0.0%	37.5%	6.2%	10.80	3.40	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	40	168	47	15	3	0%	1.6	21.8%	9.2%	12.5%	3.1%	2.68	4.14	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	40	168	47	15	3	0%	1.6	28.0%	8.9%	19.0%	1.8%	2.68	2.85	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	53	258	58	35	7	0%	1.3	18.6%	13.3%	5.3%	3.1%	5.77	4.93	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	53	258	58	35	7	0%	1.3	18.6%	13.3%	5.3%	3.1%	5.77	4.93	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	53	258	58	35	7	0%	1.3	22.5%	13.6%	8.9%	2.7%	5.77	4.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	TEX	34	0	36	152	32	17	5	0%	1.1	20.7%	11.1%	9.6%	3.0%	4.80	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	TEX	32	0	34	142	29	16	5	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.3%	9.3%	3.2%	4.87	4.95	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	TEX	10	0	11	46	10	5	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.3%	9.3%	3.2%	4.87	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	44	9	5	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.3%	9.3%	3.2%	4.87	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	95	19	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.3%	9.3%	3.2%	4.87	4.57	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		121	45	341	1484	261	176	47	37%	2.8	17.6%	11.9%	5.7%	3.1%	4.22	4.84	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	26	200	870	153	103	27	37%	2.8	17.6%	11.9%	5.7%	3.1%	4.22	4.84	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reid Birlingmair (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	20.7%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.95	20.6%	9.3%	34	+0.15	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	74
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	70
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	70
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	69
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	69
Eder Llamas R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	11.4%	6.8%	2.0%	.301	3.23	11.3%	4.6%	64	-0.89	3.23	171	68
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	313	68
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	67
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	67
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	67
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	67
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	66
Jared Fernandez R 2002 · 4.23 FIP	30	SP-	4.23	15.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.323	3.57	11.8%	5.6%	38	-0.66	3.57	101	66
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	66
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	65
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	65
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	65
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	64
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	64
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	35	20.7%	11.2%	1.21	4.83
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*