Clayton Andrews

P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 30 LHP 5'6" / 160 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	25	MIX2 levels	9	0	10	7.84	1.45	42.2%	15.6%	—	K 42.2% · BB 15.6% · FIP 1.50
2023	26	MIX2 levels	52	1	60	3.88	3.61	30.0%	12.3%	0.7	K 26.7% · BB 11.3% · FIP 3.40
2024	27	MIX3 levels	23	1	26	7.52	5.83	25.6%	19.0%	-0.4	K 22.3% · BB 17.5% · FIP 5.04
2027PROJ	30	MLBNYY	13	0	14	4.63	4.63	23.0%	11.5%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBNYY	7	0	7	4.72	4.80	22.7%	11.6%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Clay Rapada (age 30) · Nick Hagadone (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%23.0%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%11.6%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

CH (60%)

SL (20%)

SI (13%)

FB-1.6 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	33	132	54	6	3	0%	1.7	29.9%	4.5%	25.3%	3.7%	2.18	3.17	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	33	132	54	6	3	0%	1.7	40.9%	4.5%	36.4%	2.3%	2.18	1.55	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	59	242	77	25	5	0%	1.5	25.0%	11.6%	13.5%	2.4%	3.19	3.78	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	59	242	77	25	5	0%	1.5	31.8%	10.3%	21.5%	2.1%	3.19	2.86	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	7	0	9	42	11	6	1	0%	1.3	26.2%	14.3%	11.9%	2.4%	4.82	4.00	—
2021	24	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	7	0	9	42	11	6	1	0%	1.3	26.2%	14.3%	11.9%	2.4%	4.82	4.06	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	10	45	19	7	0	0%	1.1	42.2%	15.6%	26.7%	0.0%	7.84	1.50	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	0	10	45	19	7	0	0%	1.1	42.2%	15.6%	26.7%	0.0%	7.84	1.45	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	1	60	260	78	32	7	2%	1.2	26.7%	11.3%	15.4%	2.0%	3.88	3.40	+0.8
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	1	60	260	78	32	7	2%	1.2	30.0%	12.3%	17.7%	2.7%	3.88	3.61	+0.7
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	1	26	121	31	23	5	4%	1.1	22.3%	17.5%	4.8%	2.9%	7.52	5.04	-0.2
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	1	26	121	31	23	5	4%	1.1	22.3%	17.5%	4.8%	2.9%	7.52	5.04	-0.2
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	1	26	121	31	23	5	4%	1.1	25.6%	19.0%	6.6%	4.1%	7.52	5.83	-0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	4	25	5	2	4	0%	0.7	20.0%	8.0%	12.0%	16.0%	27.00	16.19	-0.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	NYY	13	0	14	59	14	7	2	0%	1.1	23.0%	11.5%	11.6%	3.0%	4.63	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.6%	11.1%	3.2%	4.72	4.80	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	NYY	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	11.6%	11.1%	3.2%	4.72	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	11	56	12	6	5	0%	0.9	21.5%	10.0%	11.5%	8.9%	12.13	7.45	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		218	0	200	1017	218	109	91	0%	0.9	21.5%	10.0%	11.5%	8.9%	12.13	7.45	-6.7
Career	—	MLE		149	2	199	842	227	98	21	1%	1.3	26.9%	11.6%	15.3%	2.4%	4.12	3.64	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	2	200	848	228	98	21	1%	1.3	26.9%	11.6%	15.3%	2.4%	4.12	3.64	-4.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Clayton Andrews (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	23.0%	11.5%	3.0%	—	4.80	22.7%	11.1%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	82
Clay Rapada L 2011 · 4.34 FIP	30	SU	4.34	26.1%	10.1%	3.9%	.268	3.00	24.5%	14.2%	38	-1.34	3.00	120	78
Nick Hagadone L 2015 · 3.65 FIP	29	SU	3.65	22.6%	8.9%	2.4%	.329	3.74	22.6%	13.3%	33	+0.09	2.97	141	75
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	74
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	74
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	74
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	74
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	72
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	72
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	72
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	72
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	72
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	71
Armando Almanza L 2003 · 4.95 FIP	30	SU	4.95	21.3%	10.0%	4.3%	.331	5.29	24.1%	14.8%	12	+0.34	2.90	211	71
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	71
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	71
Dario Alvarez L 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	20.7%	12.4%	1.0%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	160	70
Sammy Solís L 2019 · 4.05 FIP	30	SU	4.05	26.2%	8.9%	3.7%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	190	70
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	70
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	69