Ty Tice

P Rochester Red Wings

Age 31 RHP 5'9" / 185 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	26	AAARI	22	0	22	6.45	5.03	24.3%	9.3%	—	K 19.7% · BB 10.3% · FIP 5.55
2023	27	MIX2 levels	45	2	54	6.37	3.19	30.6%	11.4%	—	K 25.5% · BB 11.3% · FIP 3.90
2024	28	MIX2 levels	48	1	57	5.18	5.05	24.7%	15.8%	—	K 20.6% · BB 15.6% · FIP 5.55
2027PROJ	31	MLBWSH	35	0	37	4.87	4.87	21.9%	12.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBWSH	12	0	13	4.95	5.04	21.6%	12.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Joe Nelson (age 31) · Mike Broadway (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%21.9%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%9.6%

Proj IP37

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

SL+1.5

FB-3.4

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	23	0	26	107	35	11	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	12.9%	9.4%	2.6%	1.05	4.29	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	23	0	26	107	35	11	2	0%	1.1	32.7%	10.3%	22.4%	1.9%	1.05	2.67	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	59	239	56	21	3	0%	1.3	16.6%	10.1%	6.5%	1.6%	2.29	3.86	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	59	239	56	21	3	0%	1.3	23.4%	8.8%	14.6%	1.3%	2.29	2.93	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	58	251	64	28	2	0%	1.3	21.8%	11.9%	9.9%	0.9%	2.34	3.24	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	58	251	64	28	2	0%	1.3	25.5%	11.2%	14.3%	0.8%	2.34	2.79	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	30	142	25	19	8	0%	1.1	16.2%	14.3%	2.0%	7.8%	7.89	7.82	-1.1
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	30	142	25	19	8	0%	1.1	17.6%	13.4%	4.2%	5.6%	7.89	6.84	-0.8
2022	26	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	22	0	22	107	26	10	5	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.3%	9.4%	5.1%	6.45	5.55	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	22	0	22	107	26	10	5	0%	1.0	24.3%	9.3%	15.0%	4.7%	6.45	5.03	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	2	54	271	83	31	6	4%	1.2	25.5%	11.3%	14.1%	2.8%	6.37	3.90	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	2	54	271	83	31	6	4%	1.2	30.6%	11.4%	19.2%	2.2%	6.37	3.19	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	1	57	259	64	41	9	2%	1.2	20.6%	15.6%	5.0%	4.0%	5.18	5.55	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	1	57	259	64	41	9	2%	1.2	20.6%	15.6%	5.0%	4.0%	5.18	5.55	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	1	57	259	64	41	9	2%	1.2	24.7%	15.8%	8.9%	3.5%	5.18	5.05	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	8	39	6	5	1	0%	1.6	15.4%	12.8%	2.6%	2.6%	4.50	5.10	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	WSH	35	0	37	156	34	19	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.3%	9.6%	3.1%	4.87	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	WSH	33	0	34	146	31	18	5	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.3%	9.3%	3.3%	4.95	5.04	-0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	WSH	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.3%	9.3%	3.3%	4.95	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	21	93	18	12	3	0%	1.2	19.0%	12.5%	6.4%	3.0%	4.78	4.73	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		165	0	200	895	174	116	29	0%	1.2	19.0%	12.5%	6.4%	3.0%	4.78	4.73	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		256	3	305	1376	285	170	43	1%	1.2	20.7%	12.4%	8.3%	3.1%	4.30	4.65	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		168	2	200	901	186	112	28	1%	1.2	20.7%	12.4%	8.3%	3.1%	4.30	4.65	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ty Tice (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	21.9%	12.3%	3.1%	—	5.04	21.6%	9.3%	34	+0.17	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	82
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	82
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	81
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	80
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	77
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	76
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	76
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	76
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	76
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	75
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	75
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	74
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	73
Jason Bulger R 2010 · 4.36 FIP	31	SU	4.36	22.5%	13.5%	2.6%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	106	73
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	72
Dan Winkler R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	31	SU	4.76	21.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.233	3.87	24.4%	10.4%	46	-0.89	2.40	231	72
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	72
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	21.1%	12.4%	1.21	4.87
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68