Josh Roberson

P San Antonio Missions

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	26	MIX2 levels	35	3	38	7.17	4.37	25.0%	16.0%	—	K 19.3% · BB 16.1% · FIP 5.17
2023	27	AAACHC	36	0	40	6.08	3.95	25.4%	16.1%	—	K 21.8% · BB 14.5% · FIP 4.06
2024	28	MIX2 levels	29	0	30	5.04	3.79	22.1%	13.6%	—	K 18.3% · BB 13.6% · FIP 4.18
2027PROJ	31	MLBSD	16	0	17	4.64	4.64	21.4%	10.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	32	MLBSD	6	0	6	4.74	4.83	21.2%	10.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Joe Nelson (age 31) · Dustin Molleken (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%21.4%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%10.8%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	11	8	42	166	31	12	0	73%	3.8	12.7%	9.0%	3.7%	0.0%	1.06	3.17	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	11	8	42	166	31	12	0	73%	3.8	18.7%	7.2%	11.4%	0.0%	1.06	2.49	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	14	63	258	63	23	3	100%	4.5	17.7%	9.4%	8.3%	1.6%	2.14	3.67	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	14	63	258	63	23	3	100%	4.5	24.4%	8.9%	15.5%	1.2%	2.14	2.81	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	30	3	45	205	64	27	6	10%	1.5	24.7%	16.3%	8.4%	4.6%	6.40	5.63	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	30	3	45	205	64	27	6	10%	1.5	31.2%	13.2%	18.0%	2.9%	6.40	3.79	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	3	38	188	47	30	4	9%	1.1	19.3%	16.1%	3.2%	3.0%	7.17	5.17	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	3	38	188	47	30	4	9%	1.1	25.0%	16.0%	9.0%	2.1%	7.17	4.37	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	193	49	31	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	14.5%	7.4%	1.8%	6.08	4.06	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	193	49	31	3	0%	1.1	25.4%	16.1%	9.3%	1.6%	6.08	3.95	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	30	140	31	19	2	0%	1.0	18.3%	13.6%	4.6%	1.6%	5.04	4.18	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	30	140	31	19	2	0%	1.0	18.3%	13.6%	4.6%	1.6%	5.04	4.18	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	30	140	31	19	2	0%	1.0	22.1%	13.6%	8.6%	1.4%	5.04	3.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	SD	16	0	17	72	15	8	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.7%	10.8%	3.0%	4.64	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.74	4.83	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	SD	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.74	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.74	4.45	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.74	4.45	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		155	28	258	1150	221	150	25	18%	1.7	19.2%	13.0%	6.2%	2.2%	4.39	4.32	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	22	200	890	171	116	19	18%	1.7	19.2%	13.0%	6.2%	2.2%	4.39	4.32	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Roberson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	21.4%	10.7%	3.0%	—	4.83	21.2%	10.3%	20	+0.19	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	82
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	81
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	80
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	78
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	75
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	74
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	74
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	74
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	73
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	73
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	73
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	31	SU	3.50	16.4%	8.4%	1.3%	.308	4.77	19.3%	7.3%	90	+1.27	3.50	170	73
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	72
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	72
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	72
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	71
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	71
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	71