Trevor Richards

P Chicago White Sox

Age 34 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

MLBRP40M40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	31	MIX2 levels	56	2	66	4.75	4.40	22.3%	12.8%	0.1	K 22.4% · BB 12.6% · FIP 4.19
2025	32	MIX2 levels	43	1	58	5.46	3.46	23.3%	8.2%	0.7	K 20.7% · BB 7.5% · FIP 4.06
2026	33	MIX2 levels	63	0	97	3.43	3.84	25.1%	6.3%	0.8	K 24.1% · BB 6.3% · FIP 3.95
2027PROJ	34	MLBCWS	57	0	60	4.20	4.36	22.0%	7.2%	0.1
2028PROJ	35	MLBCWS	61	0	64	4.50	4.70	21.1%	7.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ	36	MLBCWS	54	0	57	4.84	5.07	20.0%	8.3%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.7 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs49

K%43

Whiff%24

FB Velo14

CompsJean Machi (age 34) · Fernando Rodriguez Jr. (age 34) · Chris Jakubauskas (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 96

ERA4.20

FIP4.36

K%22.0%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%14.8%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4560

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1491.9

Whiff%

p2421.7%

p4321.2%

xwOBA vs

p490.313

FB (59%)

SL-1.0 (15%)

CH-1.8 (27%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	23	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	8	8	44	178	38	14	3	100%	5.5	15.8%	9.3%	6.5%	1.6%	2.68	3.81	—
2016	23	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	8	8	44	178	38	14	3	100%	5.5	21.3%	7.9%	13.5%	1.7%	2.68	3.21	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	146	597	158	29	6	93%	5.4	20.9%	5.4%	15.5%	1.1%	2.53	2.64	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	25	146	597	158	29	6	93%	5.4	26.5%	4.9%	21.6%	1.0%	2.53	2.07	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	31	166	698	167	53	19	100%	5.3	23.3%	7.6%	15.7%	2.9%	3.86	3.70	+2.4
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	31	166	698	167	53	19	100%	5.3	23.9%	7.6%	16.3%	2.7%	3.86	3.53	+2.8
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	26	141	604	135	54	19	79%	4.3	21.9%	8.6%	13.3%	3.4%	3.97	4.19	+1.2
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	26	141	604	135	54	19	79%	4.3	22.4%	8.9%	13.4%	3.1%	3.97	4.09	+1.4
2020	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	9	4	32	150	27	11	6	44%	3.6	18.0%	7.3%	10.7%	4.1%	5.91	4.77	-0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	9	4	32	150	27	11	6	44%	3.6	18.0%	7.3%	10.7%	4.0%	5.91	4.88	-0.1
2021	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	0	72	277	90	22	12	0%	1.2	31.1%	8.4%	22.7%	4.8%	3.14	4.16	+0.3
2021	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	60	0	72	277	90	22	12	0%	1.2	32.5%	7.9%	24.5%	4.3%	3.14	3.69	+0.7
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	4	65	287	83	34	11	6%	1.0	29.2%	12.1%	17.1%	3.2%	5.68	3.93	+0.5
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	4	65	287	83	34	11	6%	1.0	28.9%	11.8%	17.1%	3.8%	5.68	4.32	+0.2
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	3	74	318	106	33	13	5%	1.3	33.3%	10.2%	23.2%	4.1%	4.89	3.84	+0.6
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	3	74	318	106	33	13	5%	1.3	33.3%	10.4%	23.0%	4.1%	4.89	3.86	+0.6
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	2	66	282	63	36	8	4%	1.2	22.4%	12.6%	9.7%	2.5%	4.75	4.19	+0.3
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	2	66	282	63	36	8	4%	1.2	22.4%	12.6%	9.7%	2.5%	4.75	4.19	+0.3
2024	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	2	66	282	63	36	8	4%	1.2	22.3%	12.8%	9.6%	2.8%	4.75	4.40	+0.1
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	1	58	257	60	21	6	2%	1.3	20.7%	7.5%	13.2%	3.2%	5.46	4.06	+0.3
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	1	58	257	60	21	6	2%	1.3	20.7%	7.5%	13.2%	3.2%	5.46	4.06	+0.3
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	1	58	257	60	21	6	2%	1.3	23.3%	8.2%	15.2%	2.3%	5.46	3.46	+0.7
2026	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	97	395	99	25	15	0%	1.5	24.1%	6.3%	17.9%	3.8%	3.43	3.95	+0.7
2026	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	97	395	99	25	15	0%	1.5	24.1%	6.3%	17.9%	3.8%	3.43	3.95	+0.7
2026	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	97	395	99	25	15	0%	1.5	25.1%	6.3%	18.7%	3.8%	3.43	3.84	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			349	61	649	2775	689	256	93	17%	1.9	24.8%	9.2%	15.6%	3.4%	4.43	4.02	+4.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	34	MLB	CWS	57	0	60	253	56	18	8	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.2%	14.8%	3.3%	4.20	4.36	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	CWS	61	0	64	270	57	21	10	0%	1.0	21.1%	7.7%	13.3%	3.7%	4.50	4.70	-0.1
2029	36	MLB MLE	CWS	54	0	57	239	48	20	10	0%	1.0	20.0%	8.3%	11.7%	4.1%	4.84	5.07	-0.3
2028	35	MLB CTX	CWS	61	0	64	270	57	21	10	0%	1.0	21.1%	7.7%	13.3%	3.7%	4.50	4.70	-0.1
2029	36	MLB CTX	CWS	54	0	57	241	48	20	10	0%	1.1	20.0%	8.3%	11.7%	4.1%	4.84	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		464	61	769	3284	794	297	113	13%	1.7	24.2%	9.0%	15.1%	3.4%	4.46	4.09	+4.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		121	16	200	854	206	77	29	13%	1.7	24.2%	9.0%	15.1%	3.4%	4.46	4.09	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		450	104	959	4043	962	335	122	23%	2.1	23.8%	8.3%	15.5%	3.0%	3.95	3.80	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	22	200	843	201	70	26	23%	2.1	23.8%	8.3%	15.5%	3.0%	3.95	3.80	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trevor Richards (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.36	22.0%	7.2%	3.3%	—	4.87	20.6%	12.6%	120	+0.51	—	—	—
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	2.16	306	70
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	34	SW	4.07	23.7%	9.9%	3.1%	.253	5.11	25.0%	13.8%	32	+1.04	3.34	335	67
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	65
Brendan Donnelly R 2005 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	19.6%	5.9%	3.3%	.264	4.02	17.6%	8.5%	98	-0.00	2.23	385	65
Rafael Martín R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	33	SU	3.40	20.4%	5.1%	2.5%	.305	4.71	22.5%	16.5%	47	+1.31	2.94	227	64
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	62
Giovanni Carrara R 2002 · 4.78 FIP	34	SU	4.78	14.5%	7.2%	3.6%	.239	3.83	17.1%	7.9%	158	-0.95	2.50	462	61
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	61
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	61
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	191	60
Blake Parker R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	34	SU	4.65	25.5%	8.6%	4.8%	.258	4.26	24.9%	15.4%	87	-0.39	2.52	406	59
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	59
Scott Atchison R 2010 · 4.59 FIP	34	SU	4.59	16.2%	6.7%	3.6%	.263	2.98	15.7%	11.1%	127	-1.61	2.52	340	59
Anthony Telford R 2000 · 3.87 FIP	34	SU	3.87	20.6%	6.7%	3.0%	.287	4.54	16.2%	5.1%	24	+0.67	3.16	441	59
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	58
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	58
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	58
Greg Burke R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	22.1%	7.3%	2.7%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	139	58
Tiago Da Silva R 2019 · 3.95 FIP	34	SW	3.95	15.0%	7.2%	2.2%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	287	57
Dale Thayer R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	34	SU	4.34	15.8%	7.0%	3.1%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.75	239	57

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.1	75	24.0%	9.5%	1.33	4.44
Ed Nunez ('82-'94, 2 WAR*)	3.3	54	24.5%*	9.5%*	1.24*	4.37*
Doug Bair ('76-'90, 7 WAR*)	4.5	76	25.2%*	10.4%*	1.22*	4.12*
Wes Stock ('59-'67, 2 WAR*)	2.6	74	22.3%*	9.6%*	1.29*	4.22*
David Hernandez ('19)	3.2	65	23.9%	9.1%	1.22	4.12
Mike Trombley ('02)	4.0	80	19.4%	9.2%	1.29	4.48
Brett Cecil ('18)	3.8	76	20.7%	8.3%	1.14	4.29