Wyatt Mills

P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 32 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	27	MIX2 levels	56	0	63	3.29	3.07	25.2%	9.9%	1.1	K 23.4% · BB 10.2% · FIP 3.35
2025	30	AAABOS	32	7	52	3.12	4.89	21.7%	12.8%	—	K 18.6% · BB 11.5% · FIP 5.16
2026	31	MIX2 levels	39	0	44	2.89	2.28	29.5%	13.5%	1.2	K 28.5% · BB 10.3% · FIP 2.00
2027PROJ	32	MLBLAD	51	0	54	4.42	4.49	22.4%	11.9%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBLAD	17	0	18	4.61	4.75	21.6%	12.0%	-0.0
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBLAD	14	0	15	4.85	5.02	20.9%	12.3%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.3 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022

Whiff%67

xwOBA vs39

K%37

FB Velo19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · James Hoyt (age 32) · Arcenio Leon (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.42

FIP4.49

K%22.4%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%10.5%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1992.3

Whiff%

p6728.0%

p3720.3%

xwOBA vs

p390.325

FB+2.1

SL-1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	11	0	13	52	18	6	0	0%	1.2	25.6%	13.6%	12.0%	0.0%	1.35	2.66	—
2017	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	11	0	13	52	18	6	0	0%	1.2	34.6%	11.5%	23.1%	0.0%	1.35	1.75	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	53	220	59	12	1	0%	1.2	20.8%	6.2%	14.6%	0.6%	3.57	2.46	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	53	220	59	12	1	0%	1.2	26.8%	5.5%	21.4%	0.5%	3.57	1.80	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	41	0	53	217	66	16	2	0%	1.3	24.6%	8.1%	16.5%	1.4%	4.27	2.82	—
2019	24	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	41	0	53	217	66	16	2	0%	1.3	30.4%	7.4%	23.0%	0.9%	4.27	2.00	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	41	178	62	13	3	3%	1.2	31.4%	7.5%	23.9%	1.9%	5.23	2.41	+1.1
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	1	41	178	62	13	3	3%	1.2	34.8%	7.3%	27.5%	1.7%	5.23	1.99	+1.3
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	63	262	66	26	4	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.2%	13.1%	1.7%	3.29	3.35	+0.9
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	63	262	66	26	4	0%	1.1	25.2%	9.9%	15.3%	1.5%	3.29	3.07	+1.1
2025	30	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	32	7	52	226	49	29	8	22%	1.6	18.6%	11.5%	7.1%	4.0%	3.12	5.16	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	32	7	52	226	49	29	8	22%	1.6	18.6%	11.5%	7.1%	4.0%	3.12	5.16	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	32	7	52	226	49	29	8	22%	1.6	21.7%	12.8%	8.8%	3.5%	3.12	4.89	—
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	44	193	57	26	0	0%	1.1	28.5%	10.3%	18.2%	0.0%	2.89	2.00	+1.3
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	44	193	57	26	0	0%	1.1	28.5%	10.3%	18.2%	0.0%	2.89	2.00	+1.3
2026	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	44	193	57	26	0	0%	1.1	29.5%	13.5%	16.1%	0.0%	2.89	2.28	+1.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			44	0	48	228	42	26	2	0%	1.1	18.4%	11.4%	7.0%	0.9%	6.14	3.51	+0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	LAD	51	0	54	228	51	27	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.9%	10.5%	2.5%	4.42	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAD	48	0	50	211	46	25	6	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.0%	9.6%	2.9%	4.61	4.75	-0.1
2029	34	MLB MLE	LAD	43	0	45	192	40	24	6	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.3%	8.5%	3.2%	4.85	5.02	-0.2
2030	35	MLB MLE	LAD	39	0	41	172	34	22	6	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.7%	7.3%	3.5%	5.12	5.33	-0.4
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAD	17	0	18	76	16	9	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.0%	9.6%	2.9%	4.61	4.75	-0.0
2029	34	MLB CTX	LAD	14	0	15	63	13	8	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.3%	8.5%	3.2%	4.85	5.02	-0.1
2030	35	MLB CTX	LAD	10	0	11	46	9	6	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.7%	7.3%	3.5%	5.12	5.33	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		86	0	93	415	81	49	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.8%	7.8%	1.9%	5.51	3.98	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		186	0	200	896	175	106	17	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.8%	7.8%	1.9%	5.51	3.98	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		257	8	319	1348	327	124	21	3%	1.2	24.2%	9.2%	15.0%	1.6%	3.58	3.08	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	5	200	845	205	78	13	3%	1.2	24.2%	9.2%	15.0%	1.6%	3.58	3.08	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wyatt Mills (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	22.4%	11.9%	2.5%	—	5.01	20.9%	8.6%	136	+0.52	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	80
James Hoyt R 2019 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.2%	9.9%	1.8%	.355	5.63	22.1%	10.4%	50	+2.18	1.61	312	78
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	77
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	77
Dan Winkler R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	32	SU	3.87	24.4%	14.0%	1.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	231	77
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	77
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	74
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	73
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	73
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	73
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	73
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	72
Dustin Molleken R 2017 · 3.38 FIP	32	SU	3.38	24.3%	12.4%	1.4%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	129	72
Rafael Martín R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	32	SU	4.74	20.5%	10.7%	3.7%	.265	3.96	21.3%	15.8%	110	-0.78	2.94	227	72
Jason Bulger R 2010 · 4.36 FIP	31	SU	4.36	22.5%	13.5%	2.6%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	106	71
Grant Sides R 2019 · 3.31 FIP	30	SU	3.31	21.7%	9.8%	1.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	159	70
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	70
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	70
A.J. Schugel R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	32	SU	4.82	16.6%	12.3%	2.9%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	299	70
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	48	20.7%	12.3%	0.98	5.01
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44